Toward Rational Exuberance

Author : B. Mark Smith
Publisher : Farrar, Straus and Giroux
ISBN 13 : 1429930888
Total Pages : 464 pages
Book Rating : 4.88/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Toward Rational Exuberance written by B. Mark Smith and published by Farrar, Straus and Giroux. This book was released on 2002-05-30 with total page 464 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The True History, and Dangerous Myths, of the Modern Stock Market. The stock market is big news now, influencing every aspect of the modern economy. Accepted wisdom has it that the market will provide retirement security for anyone willing to diligently save and invest. Yet many people can remember a time when the stock market was little more than a primitive insiders' game, viewed by most Americans with skepticism and suspicion. In Toward Rational Exuberance, B. Mark Smith, a professional stock trader with two decades of practical experience, tells the fascinating story of how this stunning transformation occurred. Smith traces the evolution of popular theories of stock market behavior, showing how they have become widely accepted over time. He also clarifies some of these theories -- such as the notion that the market is often susceptible to speculative "bubbles" that will inevitably burst -- and explains how they are based on faulty interpretations of market history. The central thesis of Toward Rational Exuberance is that the modern stock market is the product of a dynamic evolutionary process; it cannot be predicted by extrapolating arbitrary historical standards into the future. It is only by understanding the way the modern market has been created that today's investor can begin to understand the market itself.

Author : Meredith E. Bagby
Publisher : Dutton Books
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 296 pages
Book Rating : 4.39/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Rational Exuberance written by Meredith E. Bagby and published by Dutton Books. This book was released on 1998 with total page 296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Generation X's most respected economic writer refutes the myths and stereotypes of her generation. CNN Financial News Network's Meredith Bagby--author of THE ANNUAL REPORT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA--examines the ways in which her generation, against the odds, is steering our economy in a new direction.

Author : Robert J. Shiller
Publisher : Broadway
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 356 pages
Book Rating : 4.35/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Irrational Exuberance written by Robert J. Shiller and published by Broadway. This book was released on 2001 with total page 356 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With a new Afterword on the current state of the stock market, the ongoing debate over the "new economy," and the larger implications of "irrational exuberance." In this controversial, hard-hitting account of today's explosive market, Robert J. Shiller, a leading expert on market volatility, evokes Alan Greenspan's infamous 1996 reference, "irrational exuberance," to explain the alternately soaring and declining stock market. Shiller's unconventional yet persuasive argument credits an unprecedented confluence of events with driving stocks to uncharted heights, and he analyzes the structural, cultural, and psychological factors behind these levels of growth not reflected in any other sector of the economy. Now more relevant than ever, this analysis is both chilling and convincing-a must-read for the individual investor, the policy maker, and the investment professional.

Author :
Publisher : Harper Collins
ISBN 13 : 006187759X
Total Pages : 300 pages
Book Rating : 4.99/5 ( download)

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Download or read book na written by and published by Harper Collins. This book was released on with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Author : Robert J. Shiller
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691173125
Total Pages : 392 pages
Book Rating : 4.22/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Irrational Exuberance written by Robert J. Shiller and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2016-08-16 with total page 392 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Why the irrational exuberance of investors hasn't disappeared since the financial crisis In this revised, updated, and expanded edition of his New York Times bestseller, Nobel Prize–winning economist Robert Shiller, who warned of both the tech and housing bubbles, cautions that signs of irrational exuberance among investors have only increased since the 2008–9 financial crisis. With high stock and bond prices and the rising cost of housing, the post-subprime boom may well turn out to be another illustration of Shiller's influential argument that psychologically driven volatility is an inherent characteristic of all asset markets. In other words, Irrational Exuberance is as relevant as ever. Previous editions covered the stock and housing markets—and famously predicted their crashes. This edition expands its coverage to include the bond market, so that the book now addresses all of the major investment markets. It also includes updated data throughout, as well as Shiller's 2013 Nobel Prize lecture, which places the book in broader context. In addition to diagnosing the causes of asset bubbles, Irrational Exuberance recommends urgent policy changes to lessen their likelihood and severity—and suggests ways that individuals can decrease their risk before the next bubble bursts. No one whose future depends on a retirement account, a house, or other investments can afford not to read this book.

Author : Ori Brafman
Publisher : Currency
ISBN 13 : 0385530609
Total Pages : 226 pages
Book Rating : 4.06/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Sway written by Ori Brafman and published by Currency. This book was released on 2009-06-02 with total page 226 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A fascinating journey into the hidden psychological influences that derail our decision-making, Sway will change the way you think about the way you think. Why is it so difficult to sell a plummeting stock or end a doomed relationship? Why do we listen to advice just because it came from someone “important”? Why are we more likely to fall in love when there’s danger involved? In Sway, renowned organizational thinker Ori Brafman and his brother, psychologist Rom Brafman, answer all these questions and more. Drawing on cutting-edge research from the fields of social psychology, behavioral economics, and organizational behavior, Sway reveals dynamic forces that influence every aspect of our personal and business lives, including loss aversion (our tendency to go to great lengths to avoid perceived losses), the diagnosis bias (our inability to reevaluate our initial diagnosis of a person or situation), and the “chameleon effect” (our tendency to take on characteristics that have been arbitrarily assigned to us). Sway introduces us to the Harvard Business School professor who got his students to pay $204 for a $20 bill, the head of airline safety whose disregard for his years of training led to the transformation of an entire industry, and the football coach who turned conventional strategy on its head to lead his team to victory. We also learn the curse of the NBA draft, discover why interviews are a terrible way to gauge future job performance, and go inside a session with the Supreme Court to see how the world’s most powerful justices avoid the dangers of group dynamics. Every once in a while, a book comes along that not only challenges our views of the world but changes the way we think. In Sway, Ori and Rom Brafman not only uncover rational explanations for a wide variety of irrational behaviors but also point readers toward ways to avoid succumbing to their pull.

Author : Robert J. Shiller
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780691123356
Total Pages : 336 pages
Book Rating : 4.57/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Irrational Exuberance written by Robert J. Shiller and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2005-03-14 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This first edition of this book was a broad study, drawing on a wide range of published research and historical evidence, of the enormous stock market boom that started around 1982 and picked up incredible speed after 1995. Although it took as its specific starting point this ongoing boom, it placed it in the context of stock market booms generally, and it also made concrete suggestions regarding policy changes that should be initiated in response to this and other such booms. The book argued that the boom represents a speculative bubble, not grounded in sensible economic fundamentals. Part one of the book considered structural factors behind the boom. A list of twelve precipitating factors that appear to be its ultimate causes was given. Amplification mechanisms, naturally-occurring Ponzi processes, that enlarge the effects of these precipitating factors, were described. Part Two discussed cultural factors, the effects of the news media, and of "new era" economic thinking. Part Three discussed psychological factors, psychological anchors for the market and herd behavior. Part Four discussed attempts to rationalize exuberance: efficient markets theory and theories that investors are learning. Part Five presented policy options and actions that should be taken. The second edition, 2005, added an analysis of the real estate bubble as similar to the stock market bubble that preceded it, and warned that "Significant further rises in these markets could lead, eventually, to even more significant declines. The bad outcome could be that eventual declines would result in a substantial increase in the rate of personal bankruptcies, which could lead to a secondary string of bankruptcies of financial institutions as well. Another long-run consequence could be a decline in consumer and business confidence, and another, possibly worldwide, recession." Thus, the second edition of this book was among the first to warn of the global financial crisis that began with the subprime mortgage debacle in 2007.

Author : Michael J. Mandel
Publisher : Harper Collins
ISBN 13 : 0060580496
Total Pages : 228 pages
Book Rating : 4.90/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Rational Exuberance written by Michael J. Mandel and published by Harper Collins. This book was released on 2004-05 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "BusinessWeek's" chief economist calls for a new era of aggressive growth to combat the growing economic pessimism in America.

Author : Joel Best
Publisher : Univ of California Press
ISBN 13 : 0520246268
Total Pages : 214 pages
Book Rating : 4.63/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Flavor of the Month written by Joel Best and published by Univ of California Press. This book was released on 2006-04-10 with total page 214 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Publisher Description

Author : Arnold Kling Ph.D.
Publisher : Xlibris Corporation
ISBN 13 : 1462834205
Total Pages : 378 pages
Book Rating : 4.04/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Learning Economics written by Arnold Kling Ph.D. and published by Xlibris Corporation. This book was released on 2004-09-13 with total page 378 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book introduces the subject of economics using clear prose, rather than the graphs and equations common in many textbooks. The focus is on contemporary issues, particularly technological innovation and growth. To browse through the book or read some endorsements of the book, click here. The link below only gives you a brief excerpt.