Mindware

Author : Richard E. Nisbett
Publisher : Macmillan
ISBN 13 : 0374112673
Total Pages : 331 pages
Book Rating : 4.77/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Mindware written by Richard E. Nisbett and published by Macmillan. This book was released on 2015-08-18 with total page 331 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Scientific and philosophical concepts can change the way we solve problems by helping us to think more effectively about our behavior and our world. Surprisingly, despite their utility, many of these tools remain unknown to most of us. In Mindware, psychologist Richart E. Nisbett presents these ideas in clear and accessible detail. Nisbett has made a career of studying and teaching such powerful problem-solving concepts as the law of large numbers, statistical regression, cost-benefit analysis, sunk costs and opportunity costs, and causation and correlation, probing the best methods for teaching others how to use them effectively in their daily lives. In this book, Nisbett shows how to frame common problems in such a way that these scientific and staitistical principles can be applied to them. The result is a practical guide to the most essential tools of reasoning ever developed--tools that can easily be used to make better professional, business, and personal decisions.--From publisher description.

Author : Andy Clark
Publisher : OUP USA
ISBN 13 : 9780199828159
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.56/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Mindware written by Andy Clark and published by OUP USA. This book was released on 2013-12 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Ranging across both standard philosophical territory and the landscape of cutting-edge cognitive science, Mindware: An Introduction to the Philosophy of Cognitive Science, Second Edition, is a vivid and engaging introduction to key issues, research, and opportunities in the field.

Author : Philip E. Tetlock
Publisher : Crown
ISBN 13 : 080413670X
Total Pages : 352 pages
Book Rating : 4.09/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Superforecasting written by Philip E. Tetlock and published by Crown. This book was released on 2015-09-29 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST “The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow.”—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts’ predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught? In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people—including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer—who set out to forecast global events. Some of the volunteers have turned out to be astonishingly good. They’ve beaten other benchmarks, competitors, and prediction markets. They’ve even beaten the collective judgment of intelligence analysts with access to classified information. They are "superforecasters." In this groundbreaking and accessible book, Tetlock and Gardner show us how we can learn from this elite group. Weaving together stories of forecasting successes (the raid on Osama bin Laden’s compound) and failures (the Bay of Pigs) and interviews with a range of high-level decision makers, from David Petraeus to Robert Rubin, they show that good forecasting doesn’t require powerful computers or arcane methods. It involves gathering evidence from a variety of sources, thinking probabilistically, working in teams, keeping score, and being willing to admit error and change course. Superforecasting offers the first demonstrably effective way to improve our ability to predict the future—whether in business, finance, politics, international affairs, or daily life—and is destined to become a modern classic.

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781892069030
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.32/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Optidesigns written by and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Author : Evelyn B. Christensen
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781892069474
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.74/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Venn Perplexors written by Evelyn B. Christensen and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Presenting a fast, fun way to help kids build logical thinking and expand their vocabulary.

Author : Keith E. Stanovich
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262034840
Total Pages : 479 pages
Book Rating : 4.45/5 ( download)

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Download or read book The Rationality Quotient written by Keith E. Stanovich and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2016-09-30 with total page 479 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How to assess critical aspects of cognitive functioning that are not measured by IQ tests: rational thinking skills. Why are we surprised when smart people act foolishly? Smart people do foolish things all the time. Misjudgments and bad decisions by highly educated bankers and money managers, for example, brought us the financial crisis of 2008. Smart people do foolish things because intelligence is not the same as the capacity for rational thinking. The Rationality Quotient explains that these two traits, often (and incorrectly) thought of as one, refer to different cognitive functions. The standard IQ test, the authors argue, doesn't measure any of the broad components of rationality—adaptive responding, good judgment, and good decision making. The authors show that rational thinking, like intelligence, is a measurable cognitive competence. Drawing on theoretical work and empirical research from the last two decades, they present the first prototype for an assessment of rational thinking analogous to the IQ test: the CART (Comprehensive Assessment of Rational Thinking). The authors describe the theoretical underpinnings of the CART, distinguishing the algorithmic mind from the reflective mind. They discuss the logic of the tasks used to measure cognitive biases, and they develop a unique typology of thinking errors. The Rationality Quotient explains the components of rational thought assessed by the CART, including probabilistic and scientific reasoning; the avoidance of “miserly” information processing; and the knowledge structures needed for rational thinking. Finally, the authors discuss studies of the CART and the social and practical implications of such a test. An appendix offers sample items from the test.

Author : Essam Ahmed
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 532 pages
Book Rating : 4.40/5 ( download)

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Download or read book JScript? .NET Programming written by Essam Ahmed and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 532 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This expert guide covers the biggest change to JScript since 1996 -- a must-have for serious Microsoft Web developers. With JScript .NET Programming, you will quickly and easily harness the power of JScript .NET to build robust .NET applications. Expert coverage includes: * Using JScript .NET to build ASP.NET applications * Building JScript .NET Web services * Writing JScipt .NET components * Building Windows Forms applications with JScript .NET * And more

Author : Product Concept
Publisher : Product Concept
ISBN 13 : 9780998768526
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.29/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Quick & Easy Mosaics Color by Number written by Product Concept and published by Product Concept. This book was released on 2017-05 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: When you follow the numbers in each shape, designating a color from the common color pallet, abstract images become clear. From animals to still life images to patterns from nature, miraculous mosaics take shape.

Author : Evelyn B. Christensen
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780866519366
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.6X/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Clip Clue Puzzles written by Evelyn B. Christensen and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Help students develop and exercise deductive reasoning skills in a fun and interesting format! Presented with puzzles that necessitate arranging colored paper clips in a sequence to satisfy given clues. Students must: indentify superfluous clues, recognize contradictory clues, and write their own clues if a puzzle has two solutions. Use these puzzles for individual assignments or group activities. Solutions are included.

Author : Keith E. Stanovich
Publisher : Yale University Press
ISBN 13 : 0300142536
Total Pages : 325 pages
Book Rating : 4.32/5 ( download)

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Download or read book What Intelligence Tests Miss written by Keith E. Stanovich and published by Yale University Press. This book was released on 2009-01-27 with total page 325 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Critics of intelligence tests writers such as Robert Sternberg, Howard Gardner, and Daniel Goleman have argued in recent years that these tests neglect important qualities such as emotion, empathy, and interpersonal skills. However, such critiques imply that though intelligence tests may miss certain key noncognitive areas, they encompass most of what is important in the cognitive domain. In this book, Keith E. Stanovich challenges this widely held assumption.Stanovich shows that IQ tests (or their proxies, such as the SAT) are radically incomplete as measures of cognitive functioning. They fail to assess traits that most people associate with good thinking, skills such as judgment and decision making. Such cognitive skills are crucial to real-world behavior, affecting the way we plan, evaluate critical evidence, judge risks and probabilities, and make effective decisions. IQ tests fail to assess these skills of rational thought, even though they are measurable cognitive processes. Rational thought is just as important as intelligence, Stanovich argues, and it should be valued as highly as the abilities currently measured on intelligence tests.