Uncertainty, Constraints, and Decision Making

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Author :
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3031363949
Total Pages : 437 pages
Book Rating : 4.48/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty, Constraints, and Decision Making by : Martine Ceberio

Download or read book Uncertainty, Constraints, and Decision Making written by Martine Ceberio and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-10-20 with total page 437 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the first approximation, decision making is nothing else but an optimization problem: We want to select the best alternative. This description, however, is not fully accurate: it implicitly assumes that we know the exact consequences of each decision, and that, once we have selected a decision, no constraints prevent us from implementing it. In reality, we usually know the consequences with some uncertainty, and there are also numerous constraints that needs to be taken into account. The presence of uncertainty and constraints makes decision making challenging. To resolve these challenges, we need to go beyond simple optimization, we also need to get a good understanding of how the corresponding systems and objects operate, a good understanding of why we observe what we observe – this will help us better predict what will be the consequences of different decisions. All these problems – in relation to different application areas – are the main focus of this book.

Decision Making under Constraints

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030408140
Total Pages : 222 pages
Book Rating : 4.45/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Making under Constraints by : Martine Ceberio

Download or read book Decision Making under Constraints written by Martine Ceberio and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-03-24 with total page 222 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents extended versions of selected papers from the annual International Workshops on Constraint Programming and Decision Making from 2016 to 2018. The papers address all stages of decision-making under constraints: (1) precisely formulating the problem of multi-criteria decision-making; (2) determining when the corresponding decision problem is algorithmically solvable; (3) finding the corresponding algorithms and making these algorithms as efficient as possible; and (4) taking into account interval, probabilistic, and fuzzy uncertainty inherent in the corresponding decision-making problems. In many application areas, it is necessary to make effective decisions under constraints, and there are several area-specific techniques for such decision problems. However, because they are area-specific, it is not easy to apply these techniques in other application areas. As such, the annual International Workshops on Constraint Programming and Decision Making focus on cross-fertilization between different areas, attracting researchers and practitioners from around the globe. The book includes numerous papers describing applications, in particular, applications to engineering, such as control of unmanned aerial vehicles, and vehicle protection against improvised explosion devices.

Hard Choices

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521386302
Total Pages : 266 pages
Book Rating : 4.06/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Hard Choices by : Isaac Levi

Download or read book Hard Choices written by Isaac Levi and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1990-04-27 with total page 266 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explores the consequences of denying the assumption and develops a general approach to decision-making under unresolved conflict.

Decision Making Under Uncertainty and Constraints

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3031164156
Total Pages : 286 pages
Book Rating : 4.56/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Making Under Uncertainty and Constraints by : Martine Ceberio

Download or read book Decision Making Under Uncertainty and Constraints written by Martine Ceberio and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-01-03 with total page 286 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book shows, on numerous examples, how to make decisions in realistic situations when we have both uncertainty and constraints. In most these situations, the book's emphasis is on the why-question, i.e., on a theoretical explanation for empirical formulas and techniques. Such explanations are important: they help understand why these techniques work well in some cases and not so well in others, and thus, help practitioners decide whether a technique is appropriate for a given situation. Example of applications described in the book ranges from science (biosciences, geosciences, and physics) to electrical and civil engineering, education, psychology and decision making, and religion—and, of course, include computer science, AI (in particular, eXplainable AI), and machine learning. The book can be recommended to researchers and students in these application areas. Many of the examples use general techniques that can be used in other application areas as well, so it is also useful for practitioners and researchers in other areas who are looking for possible theoretical explanations of empirical formulas and techniques.

Constraint Programming and Decision Making: Theory and Applications

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319617532
Total Pages : 128 pages
Book Rating : 4.34/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Constraint Programming and Decision Making: Theory and Applications by : Martine Ceberio

Download or read book Constraint Programming and Decision Making: Theory and Applications written by Martine Ceberio and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-09-07 with total page 128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book describes new algorithms and ideas for making effective decisions under constraints, including applications in control engineering, manufacturing (how to optimally determine the production level), econometrics (how to better predict stock market behavior), and environmental science and geosciences (how to combine data of different types). It also describes general algorithms and ideas that can be used in other application areas. The book presents extended versions of selected papers from the annual International Workshops on Constraint Programming and Decision Making (CoProd’XX) from 2013 to 2016. These workshops, held in the US (El Paso, Texas) and in Europe (Würzburg, Germany, and Uppsala, Sweden), have attracted researchers and practitioners from all over the world. It is of interest to practitioners who benefit from the new techniques, to researchers who want to extend the ideas from these papers to new application areas and/or further improve the corresponding algorithms, and to graduate students who want to learn more – in short, to anyone who wants to make more effective decisions under constraints.

Decision Making in Complex Environments

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1317153936
Total Pages : 595 pages
Book Rating : 4.31/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Making in Complex Environments by : Jan Noyes

Download or read book Decision Making in Complex Environments written by Jan Noyes and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2017-09-18 with total page 595 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many complex systems in civil and military operations are highly automated with the intention of supporting human performance in difficult cognitive tasks. The complex systems can involve teams or individuals working on real-time supervisory control, command or information management tasks where a number of constraints must be satisfied. Decision Making in Complex Environments addresses the role of the human, the technology and the processes in complex socio-technical and technological systems. The aim of the book is to apply a multi-disciplinary perspective to the examination of the human factors in complex decision making. It contains more than 30 contributions on key subjects such as military human factors, team decision making issues, situation awareness, and technology support. In addition to the major application area of military human factors there are chapters on business, medical, governmental and aeronautical decision making. The book provides a unique blend of expertise from psychology, human factors, industry, commercial environments, the military, computer science, organizational psychology and training that should be valuable to academics and practitioners alike.

Constraint Programming and Decision Making

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Author :
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319042807
Total Pages : 208 pages
Book Rating : 4.00/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Constraint Programming and Decision Making by : Martine Ceberio

Download or read book Constraint Programming and Decision Making written by Martine Ceberio and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-01-21 with total page 208 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In many application areas, it is necessary to make effective decisions under constraints. Several area-specific techniques are known for such decision problems; however, because these techniques are area-specific, it is not easy to apply each technique to other applications areas. Cross-fertilization between different application areas is one of the main objectives of the annual International Workshops on Constraint Programming and Decision Making. Those workshops, held in the US (El Paso, Texas), in Europe (Lyon, France) and in Asia (Novosibirsk, Russia), from 2008 to 2012, have attracted researchers and practitioners from all over the world. This volume presents extended versions of selected papers from those workshops. These papers deal with all stages of decision making under constraints: (1) formulating the problem of multi-criteria decision making in precise terms, (2) determining when the corresponding decision problem is algorithmically solvable; (3) finding the corresponding algorithms and making these algorithms as efficient as possible and (4) taking into account interval, probabilistic and fuzzy uncertainty inherent in the corresponding decision making problems. The resulting application areas include environmental studies (selecting the best location for a meteorological tower), biology (selecting the most probable evolution history of a species), and engineering (designing the best control for a magnetic levitation train).

Decision Making with Imperfect Decision Makers

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642246478
Total Pages : 207 pages
Book Rating : 4.70/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Making with Imperfect Decision Makers by : Tatiana Valentine Guy

Download or read book Decision Making with Imperfect Decision Makers written by Tatiana Valentine Guy and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-11-13 with total page 207 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Prescriptive Bayesian decision making has reached a high level of maturity and is well-supported algorithmically. However, experimental data shows that real decision makers choose such Bayes-optimal decisions surprisingly infrequently, often making decisions that are badly sub-optimal. So prevalent is such imperfect decision-making that it should be accepted as an inherent feature of real decision makers living within interacting societies. To date such societies have been investigated from an economic and gametheoretic perspective, and even to a degree from a physics perspective. However, little research has been done from the perspective of computer science and associated disciplines like machine learning, information theory and neuroscience. This book is a major contribution to such research. Some of the particular topics addressed include: How should we formalise rational decision making of a single imperfect decision maker? Does the answer change for a system of imperfect decision makers? Can we extend existing prescriptive theories for perfect decision makers to make them useful for imperfect ones? How can we exploit the relation of these problems to the control under varying and uncertain resources constraints as well as to the problem of the computational decision making? What can we learn from natural, engineered, and social systems to help us address these issues?

Multi-Level Decision Making

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3662460599
Total Pages : 385 pages
Book Rating : 4.97/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Multi-Level Decision Making by : Guangquan Zhang

Download or read book Multi-Level Decision Making written by Guangquan Zhang and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-02-07 with total page 385 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This monograph presents new developments in multi-level decision-making theory, technique and method in both modeling and solution issues. It especially presents how a decision support system can support managers in reaching a solution to a multi-level decision problem in practice. This monograph combines decision theories, methods, algorithms and applications effectively. It discusses in detail the models and solution algorithms of each issue of bi-level and tri-level decision-making, such as multi-leaders, multi-followers, multi-objectives, rule-set-based, and fuzzy parameters. Potential readers include organizational managers and practicing professionals, who can use the methods and software provided to solve their real decision problems; PhD students and researchers in the areas of bi-level and multi-level decision-making and decision support systems; students at an advanced undergraduate, master’s level in information systems, business administration, or the application of computer science.

Theory of Constraints

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Author :
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1351677462
Total Pages : 290 pages
Book Rating : 4.62/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Theory of Constraints by : Umesh P. Nagarkatte

Download or read book Theory of Constraints written by Umesh P. Nagarkatte and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2017-11-27 with total page 290 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book was written to assist professionals and students to become proactive in their own education, improve thinking, resolve personal and interpersonal conflicts, improve pedagogy, manage departmental affairs and guide administrative decisions. The text captures the practical experience of the authors with and formal training in TOC to address many of the issues facing today’s education stakeholders. The text is designed to teach methods for 1) "win-win" conflict resolution, 2) decision-making, 3) problem solving, and 4) analysis of systems using TOC’s powerful logic-based graphical Thinking Process tools. A creative thinker can identify, plan and achieve his or her goals just knowing the Thinking Process Tools.