Transformation And Strategic Surprise

Author :
Publisher : DIANE Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1428910166
Total Pages : 46 pages
Book Rating : 4.64/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Transformation and Strategic Surprise written by and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2005 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Though discounted by Clausewitz in the circumstances of his era, strategic surprise has enjoyed considerable popularity over the past century. The possibility of achieving decisive results from attacks launched on short, or zero, warning has appeared to improve greatly with advances in technology. It follows that surprise has been recognized as offering what seem to be both golden opportunities and lethal dangers. Since surprise is an ironbound necessity for the tactical success of terrorism, it is understandable that it attracts a major degree of attention today. There is no real novelty about this. After all, for 40 years the United States and its North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) allies perpetually worried about surprise attack on the Central Front in Europe, as well as about a surprise first strike designed to disarm the United States of its ability to retaliate with its strategic nuclear forces.

Author : Colin S. Gray
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.06/5 ( download)

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Download or read book TRANSFORMATION AND STRATEGIC SURPRISE. written by Colin S. Gray and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Author : Paul Bracken
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521709606
Total Pages : 336 pages
Book Rating : 4.01/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Managing Strategic Surprise written by Paul Bracken and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2008-08-07 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The scope and applicability of risk management have expanded greatly over the past decade. Banks, corporations, and public agencies employ its new technologies both in their daily operations and long-term investments. It would be unimaginable today for a global bank to operate without such systems in place. Similarly, many areas of public management, from NASA to the Centers for Disease Control, have recast their programs using risk management strategies. It is particularly striking, therefore, that such thinking has failed to penetrate the field of national security policy. Venturing into uncharted waters, Managing Strategic Surprise brings together risk management experts and practitioners from different fields with internationally-recognized national security scholars to produce the first systematic inquiry into risk and its applications in national security. The contributors examine whether advance risk assessment and management techniques can be successfully applied to address contemporary national security challenges.

Author : Mark F. Cancian
Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN 13 : 1442280727
Total Pages : 151 pages
Book Rating : 4.24/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Coping with Surprise in Great Power Conflicts written by Mark F. Cancian and published by Rowman & Littlefield. This book was released on 2018-03-23 with total page 151 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Surprise has always been an element of warfare, but the return of great power competition—and the high-level threat that it poses—gives urgency to thinking about surprise now. Because the future is highly uncertain, and great powers have not fought each other for over 70 years, surprise is highly likely in a future great power conflict. This study, therefore, examines potential surprises in a great power conflict, particularly in a conflict’s initial stages when the interaction of adversaries’ technologies, prewar plans, and military doctrines first becomes manifest. It is not an attempt to project the future. Rather, it seeks to do the opposite: explore the range of possible future conflicts to see where surprises might lurk.

Author : Nathan Freier
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 56 pages
Book Rating : 4.53/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Known Unknowns written by Nathan Freier and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The current defense team confronted a game-changing "strategic shock" in its first 8 months in office. The next team would be well-advised to expect the same. Defense-relevant strategic shocks jolt convention to such an extent that they force sudden, unanticipated change in the Department of Defense's (DoD) perceptions about threat, vulnerability, and strategic response. Their unanticipated onset forces the entire defense enterprise to reorient and restructure institutions, employ capabilities in unexpected ways, and confront challenges that are fundamentally different than those routinely considered in defense calculations. The likeliest and most dangerous future shocks will be unconventional. They will not emerge from thunderbolt advances in an opponent's military capabilities. Rather, they will manifest themselves in ways far outside established defense convention. Most will be nonmilitary in origin and character, and not, by definition, defense-specific events conducive to the conventional employment of the DoD enterprise. They will rise from an analytical no man's land separating well-considered, stock and trade defense contingencies and pure defense speculation. Their origin is most likely to be in irregular, catastrophic, and hybrid threats of "purpose" (emerging from hostile design) or threats of "context" (emerging in the absence of hostile purpose or design). Of the two, the latter is both the least understood and the most dangerous. -- P. [vii].

Author : Ephraim KAM
Publisher : Harvard University Press
ISBN 13 : 0674039297
Total Pages : 295 pages
Book Rating : 4.92/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Surprise Attack written by Ephraim KAM and published by Harvard University Press. This book was released on 2009-06-30 with total page 295 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Ephraim Kam observes surprise attack through the eyes of its victim in order to understand the causes of the victim's failure to anticipate the coming of war. Emphasing the psychological aspect of warfare, Kam traces the behavior of the victim at various functional levels and from several points of view in order to examine the difficulties and mistakes that permit a nation to be taken by surprise. He argues that anticipation and prediction of a coming war are more complicated than any other issue of strategic estimation, involving such interdependent factors as analytical contradictions, judgemental biases, organizational obstacles, and political as well as military constraints. Surprise Attack: The Victim's Perspective offers implications based on the intelligence perspective, providing both historical background and scientific analysis that draws from the author's vast experience. The book is of utmost value to all those engaged in intelligence work, and to those whose operational or political responsibility brings them in touch with intelligence assessments and the need to authenticate and then adopt them or discount them. Similarly, the book will interest any reader intrigued by decision-making processes that influence individuals and nations at war, and sometimes even shape national destiny. --Ehud Barak, Former Prime Minister of Israel

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.61/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Surprise: Get Used To It written by and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Strategic surprise is one of the most feared dilemmas that a country can suffer. United States Army doctrine, FM 100-5, Operations, says that strategic surprise is extremely difficult to achieve. Empirical historical evidence does not support this position. In fact, strategic surprise is frightfully easy to accomplish. U.S. Army doctrine should be change reflect this not so uncommon phenomenon. The revised doctrine should address both the positive and negative aspects of surprise. It should also provide for the planning considerations for exploitation of the surprised to maximize/capitalize upon the effects and benefits that accrue to the surpriser.

Author : David Thomas Twining
Publisher : Transaction Publishers
ISBN 13 : 9781412835237
Total Pages : 330 pages
Book Rating : 4.32/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Strategic Surprise in the Age of Glasnost written by David Thomas Twining and published by Transaction Publishers. This book was released on with total page 330 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Author : L. Simon
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1137029137
Total Pages : 415 pages
Book Rating : 4.33/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Geopolitical Change, Grand Strategy and European Security written by L. Simon and published by Springer. This book was released on 2013-11-27 with total page 415 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Examining the interplay between geopolitics, the strategic priorities of Europe's most powerful nations, Britain, Germany and France, and the evolution of NATO and CSDP, this book unveils the mechanics of the tension between conflict and cooperation that lies at the heart of European security politics.

Author : Thomas H. Henriksen
Publisher : Hoover Institution Press
ISBN 13 : 0817927964
Total Pages : 159 pages
Book Rating : 4.67/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Foreign Policy for America in the Twenty-first Century written by Thomas H. Henriksen and published by Hoover Institution Press. This book was released on 2013-11-01 with total page 159 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In its unprecedented position as sole world superpower, the United States must judiciously consider what course to take in foreign affairs. Foreign Policy for America's Twenty-first Century: Alternative Perspectivespresents six carefully crafted and bold approaches to this problem from some of the nation's foremost foreign policy experts. Chosen not for their unanimity but for their conflicting visions, these essays are written in accessible prose without esoteric language or scholarly jargon. Such issues as grand strategy, globalization, isolationism, and free trade are discussed in the context of a post-cold war world and a new century.