Toll Road Traffic And Revenue Forecasts

Author : Robert Bain
Publisher : Lulu.com
ISBN 13 : 0956152716
Total Pages : 126 pages
Book Rating : 4.18/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Toll Road Traffic and Revenue Forecasts written by Robert Bain and published by Lulu.com. This book was released on 2009 with total page 126 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Toll roads, bridges and tunnels represent the most popular class of infrastructure attracting international private finance today. Many deals, however, expose financiers, insurers and other project counterparties to demand risk. This moves traffic and revenue forecasts centre-stage in terms of being able to understand and test the investment proposition - yet the forecasting process itself often remains a mystery. Additionally, there are frequent concerns about predictive reliability. Written specifically for credit analysts, investors and other professionals whose primary expertise lies outside transportation, this book lifts the lid on the 'black box' of traffic and revenue forecasting. The author, Robert Bain (ex-S&P and a civil engineer with 20+ years of forecasting experience) has prepared a straightforward guide which highlights key issues to watch for and suggests ways in which the forecasts can be analysed to improve transparency and investor understanding.

Author : David S. Kriger
Publisher : Transportation Research Board
ISBN 13 : 0309097762
Total Pages : 113 pages
Book Rating : 4.65/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Estimating Toll Road Demand and Revenue written by David S. Kriger and published by Transportation Research Board. This book was released on 2006 with total page 113 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Author : Luis G. Willumsen
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780992843304
Total Pages : 215 pages
Book Rating : 4.08/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Better Traffic and Revenue Forecasting written by Luis G. Willumsen and published by . This book was released on 2014-07-26 with total page 215 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Demand and revenue forecasting for transport concessions has an inconsistent track record. There are several reasons for this: a possible optimism bias, the inherent uncertainty in any forecast, limited data and a poor choice of modelling tools. Therefore any better approach must acknowledge these constraints from the outset and be adapted to deal with revenue risk. This book addresses these issues on the basis of 20 years of international experience producing Traffic and Revenue projections for a range of transport concessions: Toll Roads, Managed Lanes, LRT, BRT, Metro and Rail projects with involvement of the private sector. It includes an additional chapter on Congestion Charging. The book is divided into three parts. Part I covers the context for the participation of the private sector and the requirements posed for demand forecasting. Part II is more technical and describes the strengths and limitations of the modelling tools used in both conventional and Traffic and Revenue forecasting models; it deals with issues like induced traffic, destination, mode and time of travel choice and, of course, discusses assignment in detail; willingness to pay is central to this part. Part III covers the practice of producing forecasts for different types of concessions: sound assumptions, modelling price and means of payment, growth models, treatment of congestion and travel time reliability, optimal pricing, annualisation, inflation and tariff escalation. This part also deals with the critical issue of future uncertainty with suggestions for peer reviews, sensitivity test, risk analysis and scenario planning. The book should be of interest to professionals working in procuring authorities preparing a transport concession, consortia bidding for such projects and financial specialists seeking to get a better understanding of the techniques used for Traffic and Revenue forecasting. Planners developing projects where price and revenue risk are important will also gain useful insights. The text contains a large number of tables and figures, all in colour, and suggestions on writing a good Final Report. A website, www.bettertandr.com, complements the book. About the author Dr. Luis (Pilo) Willumsen has 15 years of experience in transport teaching and research plus two decades producing traffic and revenue projections for more than 50 different private sector projects in over 30 countries. He is co-author of Modelling Transport, a Wiley text describing the state of the art in the field and now in its fourth edition; he has also made some helpful contributions to modelling and forecasting techniques. He is currently an independent consultant and a Visiting Professor at University College London.

Author : Benjamin Gerry Perez
Publisher : Transportation Research Board
ISBN 13 : 0309258286
Total Pages : 125 pages
Book Rating : 4.89/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Assessing Highway Tolling and Pricing Options and Impacts written by Benjamin Gerry Perez and published by Transportation Research Board. This book was released on 2012 with total page 125 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "TRB's National Cooperative Highway Research Program (NCHRP) Report 722: Assessing Highway Tolling and Pricing Options and Impacts provides state departments of transportation (DOTs) and other transportation agencies with a decision-making framework and analytical tools that describe likely impacts on revenue generation and system performance resulting from instituting or modifying user-based fees or tolling on segments of their highway system. Volume 2: Travel Demand Forecasting Tools provides an in-depth examination of the various analytical tools for direct or adapted use that are available to help develop the forecasts of potential revenue, transportation demand, and congestion and system performance based on tolling or pricing changes. Volume 1: Decision-Making Framework includes information on a decision-making framework that may be applied to a variety of scenarios in order to understand the potential impacts of tolling and pricing on the performance of the transportation system, and on the potential to generate revenue to pay for system improvements"--Publication information.

Author : Benjamin Gerry Perez
Publisher : Transportation Research Board National Research
ISBN 13 : 9780309258272
Total Pages : 132 pages
Book Rating : 4.78/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Assessing Highway Tolling and Pricing Options and Impacts written by Benjamin Gerry Perez and published by Transportation Research Board National Research. This book was released on 2012 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "TRB's National Cooperative Highway Research Program (NCHRP) Report 722: Assessing Highway Tolling and Pricing Options and Impacts provides state departments of transportation (DOTs) and other transportation agencies with a decision-making framework and analytical tools that describe likely impacts on revenue generation and system performance resulting from instituting or modifying user-based fees or tolling on segments of their highway system. Volume 2: Travel Demand Forecasting Tools provides an in-depth examination of the various analytical tools for direct or adapted use that are available to help develop the forecasts of potential revenue, transportation demand, and congestion and system performance based on tolling or pricing changes. Volume 1: Decision-Making Framework includes information on a decision-making framework that may be applied to a variety of scenarios in order to understand the potential impacts of tolling and pricing on the performance of the transportation system, and on the potential to generate revenue to pay for system improvements"--Publication information.

Author : Gregory D. Erhardt
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780309481434
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.30/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Traffic Forecasting Accuracy Assessment Research written by Gregory D. Erhardt and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Accurate traffic forecasts for highway planning and design help ensure that public dollars are spent wisely. Forecasts inform discussions about whether, when, how, and where to invest public resources to manage traffic flow, widen and remodel existing facilities, and where to locate, align, and how to size new ones. The TRB National Cooperative Highway Research Program's NCHRP Report 934: Traffic Forecasting Accuracy Assessment Research seeks to develop a process and methods by which to analyze and improve the accuracy, reliability, and utility of project-level traffic forecasts. The report also includes tools for engineers and planners who are involved in generating traffic forecasts, including: Quantile Regression Models, a Traffic Accuracy Assessment, a Forecast Archive Annotated Outline, a Deep Dive Annotated Outline, and Deep Dive Assessment Tables.

Author : Michigan Turnpike Authority
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.23/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Report written by Michigan Turnpike Authority and published by . This book was released on 1956 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Author : United States. Federal Highway Administration
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 92 pages
Book Rating : 4.35/5 ( download)

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Download or read book America's Challenge for Highway Transportation in the 21st Century written by United States. Federal Highway Administration and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 92 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) conducted an assessment of broad issues and trends that will shape the future of highway transportation in the United States. This report draws on the findings of 19 working papers prepared during 1987 and 1988, and presents options for meeting the most critical of the Nation's future needs. The report contains an Executive Summary, giving an overview of the report, and seven chapters. Chapter I examines the importance of highway transportation in meeting the Nation's economic and societal needs, discusses national objectives for the highway program and the Federal role in achieving those objectives, and describes past and present governmental roles and responsibilities in the construction and administration of highways. Chapters II and III examine demographic, economic, energy, and technological trends that will affect the future demand for highway transportation. Chapter IV analyzes factors influencing future passenger and freight travel demand, and Chapter V relates the travel demand factors described in earlier chapters to future capital investment requirements for highways. Chapter VI describes program alternatives for meeting future highway requirements and looks at regulatory and other nonconstruction requirements that relate to the operation of highways and the administration of the Federal-aid highway program. Chapter VII examines trends in highway finance and discusses future highway revenue requirements.

Author : Washington State Council for Highway Research
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 218 pages
Book Rating : 4.51/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Feasibility of Toll Roads in the State of Washington written by Washington State Council for Highway Research and published by . This book was released on 1952 with total page 218 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Author : José A. Gómez-Ibáñez
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 228 pages
Book Rating : 4.05/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Private Toll Roads in the United States written by José A. Gómez-Ibáñez and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: