The Politics Of Energy Forecasting

Author : Thomas Martin Baumgartner
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 336 pages
Book Rating : 4.64/5 ( download)

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Download or read book The Politics of Energy Forecasting written by Thomas Martin Baumgartner and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 1987 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book examines the process of model-building and forecasting with particular reference to energy.

Author : Thomas Baumgartner
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 51 pages
Book Rating : 4.56/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Negotiating Energy Futures written by Thomas Baumgartner and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Author : Georges Kariniotakis
Publisher : Woodhead Publishing
ISBN 13 : 0081005059
Total Pages : 386 pages
Book Rating : 4.57/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Renewable Energy Forecasting written by Georges Kariniotakis and published by Woodhead Publishing. This book was released on 2017-09-29 with total page 386 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Renewable Energy Forecasting: From Models to Applications provides an overview of the state-of-the-art of renewable energy forecasting technology and its applications. After an introduction to the principles of meteorology and renewable energy generation, groups of chapters address forecasting models, very short-term forecasting, forecasting of extremes, and longer term forecasting. The final part of the book focuses on important applications of forecasting for power system management and in energy markets. Due to shrinking fossil fuel reserves and concerns about climate change, renewable energy holds an increasing share of the energy mix. Solar, wind, wave, and hydro energy are dependent on highly variable weather conditions, so their increased penetration will lead to strong fluctuations in the power injected into the electricity grid, which needs to be managed. Reliable, high quality forecasts of renewable power generation are therefore essential for the smooth integration of large amounts of solar, wind, wave, and hydropower into the grid as well as for the profitability and effectiveness of such renewable energy projects. Offers comprehensive coverage of wind, solar, wave, and hydropower forecasting in one convenient volume Addresses a topic that is growing in importance, given the increasing penetration of renewable energy in many countries Reviews state-of-the-science techniques for renewable energy forecasting Contains chapters on operational applications

Author : Glenn R. DeSouza
Publisher : Lexington Books
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 250 pages
Book Rating : 4.76/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Energy Policy and Forecasting written by Glenn R. DeSouza and published by Lexington Books. This book was released on 1981 with total page 250 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Author : Rafal Weron
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470059990
Total Pages : 192 pages
Book Rating : 4.99/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Modeling and Forecasting Electricity Loads and Prices written by Rafal Weron and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2007-01-30 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers an in-depth and up-to-date review of different statistical tools that can be used to analyze and forecast the dynamics of two crucial for every energy company processes—electricity prices and loads. It provides coverage of seasonal decomposition, mean reversion, heavy-tailed distributions, exponential smoothing, spike preprocessing, autoregressive time series including models with exogenous variables and heteroskedastic (GARCH) components, regime-switching models, interval forecasts, jump-diffusion models, derivatives pricing and the market price of risk. Modeling and Forecasting Electricity Loads and Prices is packaged with a CD containing both the data and detailed examples of implementation of different techniques in Matlab, with additional examples in SAS. A reader can retrace all the intermediate steps of a practical implementation of a model and test his understanding of the method and correctness of the computer code using the same input data. The book will be of particular interest to the quants employed by the utilities, independent power generators and marketers, energy trading desks of the hedge funds and financial institutions, and the executives attending courses designed to help them to brush up on their technical skills. The text will be also of use to graduate students in electrical engineering, econometrics and finance wanting to get a grip on advanced statistical tools applied in this hot area. In fact, there are sixteen Case Studies in the book making it a self-contained tutorial to electricity load and price modeling and forecasting.

Author : David Listokin
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 9781138509580
Total Pages : 281 pages
Book Rating : 4.82/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Energy Forecasting for Planners written by David Listokin and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2020-12-18 with total page 281 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With the increased public awareness of a deepening energy crisis, governments at all levels have begun to examine their ability to act meaningfully in response to forms of short- and long-term energy-related political pressures. Emergency preparedness, conservation programs, and contingency planning have become watchwords in our new energy bureaus. The existence of a model provides an element of objectivity to the agency's policy pronouncements and, through the overlap in the energy agency's scope with that of other departments, the views of the energy agency are now made a part of regional development plans.This volume provides the tools to shape and implement community plans and programs relating to energy use in vehicular travel. Fully documented and effective fuel consumption forecasting models are clearly presented. These models range from static and flow adjustment equations delineating fuel consumption to analyses that explain patterns of change for vehicular use.This book shows the statistical procedures used to estimate the models, as well as the procedures used to test the models' significance. The authors include computer algorithms along with full, working examples; both are presented together with an analysis of all the principal alternative approaches. Finally, problems such as the distribution of fuel reserves to meet needs in particular areas within a jurisdiction are explored.

Author : United States. Congress. House. Committee on Science and Technology. Subcommittee on Investigations and Oversight
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 376 pages
Book Rating : 4.81/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Energy Demand Forecasting written by United States. Congress. House. Committee on Science and Technology. Subcommittee on Investigations and Oversight and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 376 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Author : Montana Legislature Study Committee on
Publisher : Palala Press
ISBN 13 : 9781341577758
Total Pages : 100 pages
Book Rating : 4.59/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Energy Forecasting--A Role for State Government? written by Montana Legislature Study Committee on and published by Palala Press. This book was released on 2015-09-05 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work. This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.

Author : Jean-Charles Hourcade
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.23/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Thirty-Five Years of Long-Run Energy Forecasting written by Jean-Charles Hourcade and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper sheds light on an implicit dimension of the climate policy debate: the extent to which supply-side response (emission-reducing energy technologies) may substitute for the transformation of consumption behavior and thus help get around the political difficulties surrounding such behavioral transformation. The paper performs a meta-review of long-term energy forecasts since the end of the 1960s in order to put in perspective the controversies around technological optimism about the potential for cheap, large-scale, carbon-free energy production. This retrospective analysis encompasses 116 scenarios conducted over 36 years and analyzes their predictions for a) fossil fuels, b) nuclear energy, and c) renewable energy. The analysis demonstrates how the predicted relative shares of these three types of energy have evolved since 1970, for two cases: a) predicted shares in 2010, which shows how the initial outlooks for the 2000-2010 period have been revised as a function of observed trends; and b) predicted shares for t+30, which shows how these revisions have affected medium-term prospects. The analysis shows a decrease, since 1970, in technological optimism about switching away from fossil fuels; this decrease is unsurprisingly correlated with a decline in modelers? beliefs in the suitability of nuclear energy. But, after a trend of increasing optimism, a declining trend also characterizes renewable energies in the 1980s and 1990s before a slight revival of technological optimism about renewables in the aftermath of Kyoto.

Author : Graham Duxbury
Publisher : Troubador Publishing Ltd
ISBN 13 : 1788032675
Total Pages : 264 pages
Book Rating : 4.74/5 ( download)

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Download or read book A Guide to Energy Forecasting written by Graham Duxbury and published by Troubador Publishing Ltd. This book was released on 2017-09-26 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explores the purposes, methodologies, modelling techniques and weaknesses in energy forecasting. It provides a rare appraisal of what is generally known as the ‘end use sector’ approach to global demand forecasting. It exposes the fallibilities that are hidden in the seductive power point presentations of forecasters and the false sense of accuracy bestowed upon them. It nevertheless stresses that forecasting remains crucial and of value to the industry. By raising awareness of the forecasting risks and the often ‘smoke and mirrors’ nature of the exercise as well as offering commentary on how the process and use of forecasts could be improved, although not necessarily the accuracy, this book is must-read for those in government, corporate planning and financing sectors of the energy industry who rely on forecasts to make policy, investment and trading decisions.