Systemic Risk Assessment In Low Income Countries

Author : Daniela Marchettini
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513545884
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.82/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Systemic Risk Assessment in Low Income Countries written by Daniela Marchettini and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-08-12 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We propose a toolkit for the assessment of systemic risk buildup in low income countries. We show that, due to non-linearity in the relationship between credit and financial stability, the assessment should be conducted with different tools at different stages of financial development. In particular, when the level of financial depth is low, traditional leading indicators of banking crises have poor predictive performance and the analysis should be based on indicators that account for financial deepening while taking into consideration countries’ structural limits. By using this framework, we provide a preliminary assessment of systemic risk buildup in individual SSA countries.

Author : Mr.Ashvin Ahuja
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484302567
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.69/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Assessing Country Risk written by Mr.Ashvin Ahuja and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-06-01 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Assessing country risk is a core component of surveillance at the IMF. It is conducted through a comprehensive architecture, covering both bilateral and multilateral dimensions. This note describes some of the approaches used internally by Fund staff to examine a wide array of systemic risks across advanced, emerging, and low-income economies. It provides a high-level view of the theory and methodologies employed, with an on-line companion guide providing more technical details of implementation. The guide will be updated as Fund staff’s methodologies for assessing country risk continue to evolve with experience and feedback. While the results of these approaches are not published by the IMF for market sensitivity reasons, they inform risk assessments featured in bilateral surveillance as well as in the IMF’s flagship publications on global surveillance.

Author : Mr.Ashvin Ahuja
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513539639
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.38/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Assessing Country Risk written by Mr.Ashvin Ahuja and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-06-01 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Assessing country risk is a core component of surveillance at the IMF. It is conducted through a comprehensive architecture, covering both bilateral and multilateral dimensions. This note describes some of the approaches used internally by Fund staff to examine a wide array of systemic risks across advanced, emerging, and low-income economies. It provides a high-level view of the theory and methodologies employed, with an on-line companion guide providing more technical details of implementation. The guide will be updated as Fund staff’s methodologies for assessing country risk continue to evolve with experience and feedback. While the results of these approaches are not published by the IMF for market sensitivity reasons, they inform risk assessments featured in bilateral surveillance as well as in the IMF’s flagship publications on global surveillance.

Author : Joseph G. Haubrich
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226921964
Total Pages : 286 pages
Book Rating : 4.69/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Quantifying Systemic Risk written by Joseph G. Haubrich and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2013-01-24 with total page 286 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the aftermath of the recent financial crisis, the federal government has pursued significant regulatory reforms, including proposals to measure and monitor systemic risk. However, there is much debate about how this might be accomplished quantitatively and objectively—or whether this is even possible. A key issue is determining the appropriate trade-offs between risk and reward from a policy and social welfare perspective given the potential negative impact of crises. One of the first books to address the challenges of measuring statistical risk from a system-wide persepective, Quantifying Systemic Risk looks at the means of measuring systemic risk and explores alternative approaches. Among the topics discussed are the challenges of tying regulations to specific quantitative measures, the effects of learning and adaptation on the evolution of the market, and the distinction between the shocks that start a crisis and the mechanisms that enable it to grow.

Author : Daniela Marchettini
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513520350
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.53/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Systemic Risk Assessment in Low Income Countries written by Daniela Marchettini and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-08-12 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We propose a toolkit for the assessment of systemic risk buildup in low income countries. We show that, due to non-linearity in the relationship between credit and financial stability, the assessment should be conducted with different tools at different stages of financial development. In particular, when the level of financial depth is low, traditional leading indicators of banking crises have poor predictive performance and the analysis should be based on indicators that account for financial deepening while taking into consideration countries’ structural limits. By using this framework, we provide a preliminary assessment of systemic risk buildup in individual SSA countries.

Author : Mr.Luc Laeven
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484363728
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.20/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Bank Size and Systemic Risk written by Mr.Luc Laeven and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-05-08 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The proposed SDN documents the evolution of bank size and activities over the past 20 years. It discusses whether this evolution can be explained by economies of scale or “too big to fail” subsidies. The paper then presents evidence on the extent to which bank size and market-based activities contribute to systemic risk. The paper concludes with policy messages in the area of capital regulation and activity restrictions to reduce the systemic risk posed by large banks. The analysis of the paper complements earlier Fund work, including SDN 13/04 and the recent GFSR chapter on “too big to fail” subsidies, and its policy message is in line with this earlier work.

Author : El Bachir Boukherouaa
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1589063953
Total Pages : 35 pages
Book Rating : 4.52/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Powering the Digital Economy: Opportunities and Risks of Artificial Intelligence in Finance written by El Bachir Boukherouaa and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-10-22 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper discusses the impact of the rapid adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) in the financial sector. It highlights the benefits these technologies bring in terms of financial deepening and efficiency, while raising concerns about its potential in widening the digital divide between advanced and developing economies. The paper advances the discussion on the impact of this technology by distilling and categorizing the unique risks that it could pose to the integrity and stability of the financial system, policy challenges, and potential regulatory approaches. The evolving nature of this technology and its application in finance means that the full extent of its strengths and weaknesses is yet to be fully understood. Given the risk of unexpected pitfalls, countries will need to strengthen prudential oversight.

Author : Otaviano Canuto
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 1464800030
Total Pages : 307 pages
Book Rating : 4.30/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Dealing with the Challenges of Macro Financial Linkages in Emerging Markets written by Otaviano Canuto and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2013-10-29 with total page 307 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book deals with the challenges of macro financial linkages in the emerging markets.

Author : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484361350
Total Pages : 63 pages
Book Rating : 4.51/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Romania written by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-06-08 with total page 63 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) took place against a backdrop of improved resilience and recovery after the crisis. Romanian banks enjoy one of the highest capitalization ratios in Europe, significantly strengthened since the crisis. NPLs have declined to 6.4 percent as of December 2017 from their peak of 21.5 percent following the crisis. Banks’ reliance on parent funding has also reduced significantly, and the share of foreign currency-denominated loans has declined. The banking sector’s profitability is strong and liquidity appears ample.

Author : Mr.Plamen K Iossifov
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513568655
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.52/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Cyclical Patterns of Systemic Risk Metrics: Cross-Country Analysis written by Mr.Plamen K Iossifov and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-02-05 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We analyze a range of macrofinancial indicators to extract signals about cyclical systemic risk across 107 economies over 1995–2020. We construct composite indices of underlying liquidity, solvency and mispricing risks and analyze their patterns over the financial cycle. We find that liquidity and solvency risk indicators tend to be counter-cyclical, whereas mispricing risk ones are procyclical, and they all lead the credit cycle. Our results lend support to high-level accounts that risks were underestimated by stress indicators in the run-up to the 2008 global financial crisis. The policy implications of conflicting risk signals would depend on the phase of the credit cycle.