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Author : Celeste De Blasis
Publisher : Bantam
ISBN 13 : 9780553256925
Total Pages : 694 pages
Book Rating : 4.20/5 ( download)
Download or read book Swan's Chance written by Celeste De Blasis and published by Bantam. This book was released on 1986-08 with total page 694 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Terje Aven
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1317626311
Total Pages : 300 pages
Book Rating : 4.12/5 ( download)
Download or read book Risk, Surprises and Black Swans written by Terje Aven and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2014-08-13 with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk, Surprises and Black Swans provides an in depth analysis of the risk concept with a focus on the critical link to knowledge; and the lack of knowledge, that risk and probability judgements are based on. Based on technical scientific research, this book presents a new perspective to help you understand how to assess and manage surprising, extreme events, known as ‘Black Swans’. This approach looks beyond the traditional probability-based principles to offer a broader insight into the important aspects of uncertain events and in doing so explores the ways to manage them. This book recognises the fundamental issues surrounding risk assessment and risk management to help you to understand and prepare for black swan events. Complete with international examples to illustrate ideas and concepts Integrates risk management and resilience based thinking Suitable for a variety of applications including engineering, finance and security.
Author : Jung Chang
Publisher : Simon and Schuster
ISBN 13 : 1439106495
Total Pages : 592 pages
Book Rating : 4.95/5 ( download)
Download or read book Wild Swans written by Jung Chang and published by Simon and Schuster. This book was released on 2008-06-20 with total page 592 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The story of three generations in twentieth-century China that blends the intimacy of memoir and the panoramic sweep of eyewitness history—a bestselling classic in thirty languages with more than ten million copies sold around the world, now with a new introduction from the author. An engrossing record of Mao’s impact on China, an unusual window on the female experience in the modern world, and an inspiring tale of courage and love, Jung Chang describes the extraordinary lives and experiences of her family members: her grandmother, a warlord’s concubine; her mother’s struggles as a young idealistic Communist; and her parents’ experience as members of the Communist elite and their ordeal during the Cultural Revolution. Chang was a Red Guard briefly at the age of fourteen, then worked as a peasant, a “barefoot doctor,” a steelworker, and an electrician. As the story of each generation unfolds, Chang captures in gripping, moving—and ultimately uplifting—detail the cycles of violent drama visited on her own family and millions of others caught in the whirlwind of history.
Author : Vicki M. Bier
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 131702995X
Total Pages : 192 pages
Book Rating : 4.53/5 ( download)
Download or read book Risk in Extreme Environments written by Vicki M. Bier and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-10-19 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk in Extreme Environments presents a wide-ranging discussion of approaches for assessing and managing extreme risks. Extreme events are not only severe, but also outside the normal range of experience of the system in question, and can include environmental catastrophe; engineering failure; financial or business meltdown; and nuclear or other extreme terrorism. The book focuses on synthesizing research results in a way that provides insights useful to decision makers, and enables them to ask probing questions about the risks faced by their organizations, identify creative solutions, and minimize the neglect of extreme risks that can come from a focus on mundane or ordinary management challenges. The book details case studies on nuclear power, infectious diseases, and global catastrophic risks, in addition to sections on risk assessment, risk management, and risk perceptions. Since effective management benefits from an interdisciplinary perspective, the chapter authors include experts in economics, engineering, geography, law, political science, psychology, sociology, and science in addition to risk analysis. Risk in Extreme Environments is an accessible and valuable resource for risk managers and other decision makers responsible for large complex business and government decisions, while also providing enough detail and references to be informative for risk analysts interested in learning more about technical aspects of the various methods.
Author : Patricia Elliott
Publisher : Hachette Children's
ISBN 13 : 1444908510
Total Pages : 253 pages
Book Rating : 4.10/5 ( download)
Download or read book Ambergate written by Patricia Elliott and published by Hachette Children's. This book was released on 2011-10-06 with total page 253 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I am the girl with no name ... I have a secret I must never tell. If I do, they will come after me - the Protector and his men. Only a number branded on her arm betrays the orphan girl's past. When she arrives at Murkmere Hall to be a kitchen maid, they call her Scuff, and little guess she has committed a terrible crime. Haunted by her dark secret, all Scuff can do is pray to the divine beings - the birds - for forgiveness. Now, five years later, the past is catching up with Scuff. Hunted from all sides, she flees Murkmere, only to be forced back to the cruel confines of the Capital, and the Orphans' Home where it all began. Set in the capital city, this has a very different feel from Murkmere, but is still grounded in the bird tradition, superstition and religion that haunts the first book.
Author : Susann Ludwig
Publisher : transcript Verlag
ISBN 13 : 3839469899
Total Pages : 257 pages
Book Rating : 4.97/5 ( download)
Download or read book La chance written by Susann Ludwig and published by transcript Verlag. This book was released on 2024-06-30 with total page 257 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The concept of la chance accounts for everyday knowledge production in uncertain contexts in Bamako, Mali, where university graduates constitute an educational elite strongest affected by unemployment. Graduates know that la chance decides whether they succeed or fail. Susann Ludwig shows that this concept embodies common sense as much as it offers the possibility of the extraordinary. Graduates play »the game of la chance«, in which success is defined by a continuation of play rather than an end goal. Providing an explorative experience to the reader, this study accounts for the elusiveness of la chance in the Bamako context and beyond.
Author : Gilbert Ryle
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1134012071
Total Pages : 816 pages
Book Rating : 4.77/5 ( download)
Download or read book Collected Essays 1929 - 1968 written by Gilbert Ryle and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2009-06-16 with total page 816 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Gilbert Ryle was one of the most important and yet misunderstood philosophers of the Twentieth Century. Long unavailable, Collected Essays 1929-1968: Collected Papers Volume 2 stands as testament to the astonishing breadth of Ryle’s philosophical concerns. This volume showcases Ryle’s deep interest in the notion of thinking and contains many of his major pieces, including his classic essays ‘Knowing How and Knowing That’, ‘Philosophical Arguments’, ‘Systematically Misleading Expressions’, and ‘A Puzzling Element in the Notion of Thinking’. He ranges over an astonishing number of topics, including feelings, pleasure, sensation, forgetting and concepts and in so doing hones his own philosophical stance, steering a careful path between behaviourism and Cartesianism. Together with the Collected Papers Volume 1 and the new edition of The Concept of Mind, these outstanding essays represent the very best of Ryle’s work. Each volume contains a substantial preface by Julia Tanney, and both are essential reading for any student of twentieth-century philosophies of mind and language. Gilbert Ryle (1900 -1976) was Waynflete Professor of Metaphysics and Fellow of Magdalen College Oxford, an editor of Mind, and a president of the Aristotelian Society. Julia Tanney is Senior Lectuer at the University of Kent, and has held visiting positions at the University of Picardie and Paris-Sorbonne.
Author : Andreas Koenig
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642238629
Total Pages : 726 pages
Book Rating : 4.28/5 ( download)
Download or read book Knowledge-Based and Intelligent Information and Engineering Systems, Part II written by Andreas Koenig and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-09-06 with total page 726 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The four-volume set LNAI 6881-LNAI 6884 constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 15th International Conference on Knowledge-Based Intelligent Information and Engineering Systems, KES 2011, held in Kaiserslautern, Germany, in September 2011. Part 2: The total of 244 high-quality papers presented were carefully reviewed and selected from numerous submissions. The 70 papers of Part 2 are organized in topical sections on web intelligence, text and multimedia mining and retrieval, intelligent tutoring systems and e-learning environments, other / misc. intelligent systems topics, methods and techniques of artificial and computational intelligence in economics, finance and decision making, workshop on seamless integration of semantic technologies in computer-supported office work (sistcow), innovations in chance discovery, advanced knowledge-based systems, recent trends in knowledge engineering, smart systems, and their applications.
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Publisher : Boyds Mills Press
ISBN 13 : 9781590780565
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.66/5 ( download)
Download or read book Six Swans written by and published by Boyds Mills Press. This book was released on 2006 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A king's daughter undertakes a difficult task to rescue her six brothers from the enchantment imposed on them by their wicked stepmother.
Author : Terje Aven
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 0429756755
Total Pages : 184 pages
Book Rating : 4.57/5 ( download)
Download or read book Enterprise Risk Management written by Terje Aven and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2019-12-06 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Enterprise Risk Management: Advances on its Foundation and Practice relates the fundamental enterprise risk management (ERM) concepts and current generic risk assessment and management principles that have been influential in redefining the risk field over the last decade. It defines ERM with a particular focus on understanding the nexus between risk, uncertainty, knowledge and performance. The book argues that there is critical need for ERM concepts, principles and methods to adapt to the latest and most influential risk management developments, as there are several issues with outdated ERM theories and practices; problems include the inability to effectively and systematically balance both opportunity and downside performance, or relying too much on narrow probability-based perspectives for risk assessment and decision-making. It expands traditional loss-based risk principles into new and innovative performance-risk frameworks, and presents fundamental risk principles that have recently been developed by the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA). All relevant statistical and risk concepts are clearly explained and interpreted using minimal mathematical notation. The focus of the book is centered around ideas and principles, more than technicalities. The book is primarily intended for risk professionals, researchers and graduate students in the fields of engineering and business, and should also be of interest to executive managers and policy makers with some background in quantitative methods such as statistics.
