Sources Of Economic Fluctuations In Latin America And Implications For Choice Of Exchange Rate Regimes

Author : Shaghil Ahmed
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.53/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Sources of Economic Fluctuations in Latin America and Implications for Choice of Exchange Rate Regimes written by Shaghil Ahmed and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies the sources of economic fluctuations in three key Latin American countries (Argentina, Brazil, and Mexico) using a dynamic panel model, distinguishing between external and domestic shocks. The primary motivation is to examine the implications for the choice of monetary and exchange rate regimes, including dollarization. The results do not provide a strong, clear case in favor of a particular policy choice. On the one hand, foreign output shocks, including those of the U.S., appear to have a quite limited role in driving output fluctuations in these Latin countries; this absence of common shocks undermines the case for a rigidly fixed exchange rate regime. On the other hand, the historical experience of these countries indicates that real exchange rates are not very responsive to external shocks, in general, and that exchange rate depreciations tend to be contractionary in the short run. This suggests that rigidity of exchange rates may not be as costly for these countries as economic theory leads us to expect. Although the historical experience of these countries is certainly relevant, the caveat that it is characterized by several failed fixed exchange rate regimes, thereby making it a less-than-ideal testing ground for evaluating a pure floating exchange rate system, should be noted.

Author : Andrew Berg
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 114 pages
Book Rating : 4.03/5 ( download)

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Download or read book An Evaluation of Monetary Regime Options for Latin America written by Andrew Berg and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2002-12 with total page 114 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We assess monetary regime options for Latin American countries. The costs of a common currency are likely to outweigh its benefits, as those countries face diverse economic shocks, do not trade much with each other, and are affected by common international financial shocks only to the same extent as the average pair of emerging markets. Unilateral dollarization would be desirable only for those countries where there are strong links to the U.S. economy, the credibility of the monetary authorities is irreversibly lost, and there is keen demand for dollar-denominated financial assets. Finally, some countries in the region seem to be good candidates for meaningful and useful floating.

Author : Mr.Michael G. Papaioannou
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451847963
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.63/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Determinants of the Choice of Exchange Rate Regimes in Six Central American Countries written by Mr.Michael G. Papaioannou and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-03-01 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines whether decisions about the appropriate exchange rate regime in six Central American countries were based on longer-run economic fundamentals or on the confluence of historical and political circumstances. To uncover any actual relationship both across countries and across time, we estimate several probit and multinomial logit models of exchange rate regime choice with data spanning the period 1974-2001. We find that theoretical long-run determinants, such as trade openness, export share with the major trading partner, economic size, and per capita income, are adequate, but not robust, predictors of exchange rate regime choice. However, we were not able to establish a statistically significant association between the terms of trade fluctuations or capital account openness and a particular regime in any specification using our sample.

Author : Mr.Marcos d Chamon
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484375688
Total Pages : 320 pages
Book Rating : 4.86/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Foreign Exchange Intervention in Inflation Targeters in Latin America written by Mr.Marcos d Chamon and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-02-28 with total page 320 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Foreign exchange intervention is widely used as a policy tool, particularly in emerging markets, but many facets of this tool remain limited, especially in the context of flexible exchange rate regimes. The Latin American experience can be informative because some of its largest countries adopted floating exchange rate regimes and inflation targeting while continuing to intervene in foreign exchange markets. This edited volume reviews detailed accounts from several Latin American countries’ central banks, and it provides insight into how and with what aim many interventions were decided and implemented. This book documents the effectiveness of intervention and pays special attention to the role of foreign exchange intervention policy within inflation-targeting monetary frameworks. The main lesson from Latin America’s foreign exchange interventions, in the context of inflation targeting, is that the region has had a considerable degree of success. Transparency and a clear communication policy have been key. For economies that are not highly dollarized, rules-based intervention helped contain financial instability and build international reserves while preserving inflation targets. The Latin American experience can help other countries in the design and implementation of their policies.

Author : Vittorio Corbo
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.61/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Another Look at Exchange Rate and Monetary Regime Options for Latin America written by Vittorio Corbo and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.74/5 ( download)

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Download or read book The Political Economy of Exchange Rate Policies in Latin America and the Caribbean written by and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Author : Mr.Kenneth Rogoff
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451875843
Total Pages : 85 pages
Book Rating : 4.43/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Evolution and Performance of Exchange Rate Regimes written by Mr.Kenneth Rogoff and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-12-01 with total page 85 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using recent advances in the classification of exchange rate regimes, this paper finds no support for the popular bipolar view that countries will tend over time to move to the polar extremes of free float or rigid peg. Rather, intermediate regimes have shown remarkable durability. The analysis suggests that as economies mature, the value of exchange rate flexibility rises. For countries at a relatively early stage of financial development and integration, fixed or relatively rigid regimes appear to offer some anti-inflation credibility gain without compromising growth objectives. As countries develop economically and institutionally, there appear to be considerable benefits to more flexible regimes. For developed countries that are not in a currency union, relatively flexible exchange rate regimes appear to offer higher growth without any cost in credibility.

Author : Mr.Marco Airaudo
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475523165
Total Pages : 65 pages
Book Rating : 4.64/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Management In Less Developed Countries written by Mr.Marco Airaudo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-03-08 with total page 65 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We analyze coordination of monetary and exchange rate policy in a two-sector model of a small open economy featuring imperfect substitution between domestic and foreign financial assets. Our central finding is that management of the exchange rate greatly enhances the efficacy of inflation targeting. In a flexible exchange rate system, inflation targeting incurs a high risk of indeterminacy where macroeconomic fluctuations can be driven by self-fulfilling expectations. Moreover, small inflation shocks may escalate into much larger increases in inflation ex post. Both problems disappear when the central bank leans heavily against the wind in a managed float.

Author : Shaghil Ahmed
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 56 pages
Book Rating : 4.84/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Sources of Economic Fluctuations in Latin America and Implications for Choice of Exchange Rate Regimes written by Shaghil Ahmed and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Author : Banco de Pagos Internacionales (Basilea, Suiza). Departamento Monetario y Económico
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9789291319626
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.27/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Market Volatility and Foreign Exchange Intervention in EMEs written by Banco de Pagos Internacionales (Basilea, Suiza). Departamento Monetario y Económico and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: