Simplicity Inference And Modelling

Author : Arnold Zellner
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139432389
Total Pages : 314 pages
Book Rating : 4.82/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Simplicity, Inference and Modelling written by Arnold Zellner and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2002-02-07 with total page 314 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The idea that simplicity matters in science is as old as science itself, with the much cited example of Ockham's Razor, 'entia non sunt multiplicanda praeter necessitatem': entities are not to be multiplied beyond necessity. A problem with Ockham's razor is that nearly everybody seems to accept it, but few are able to define its exact meaning and to make it operational in a non-arbitrary way. Using a multidisciplinary perspective including philosophers, mathematicians, econometricians and economists, this 2002 monograph examines simplicity by asking six questions: what is meant by simplicity? How is simplicity measured? Is there an optimum trade-off between simplicity and goodness-of-fit? What is the relation between simplicity and empirical modelling? What is the relation between simplicity and prediction? What is the connection between simplicity and convenience? The book concludes with reflections on simplicity by Nobel Laureates in Economics.

Author : Arnold Zellner
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9786610154869
Total Pages : 302 pages
Book Rating : 4.64/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Simplicity, Inference and Modeling written by Arnold Zellner and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 302 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The idea that simplicity matters in science is as old as science itself, with the much cited example of Ockham's Razor, 'entia non sunt multiplicanda praeter necessitatem': entities are not to be multiplied beyond necessity. Using a multidisciplinary perspective this monograph asks 'What is meant by simplicity?'

Author : Amos Golan
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0199349525
Total Pages : 489 pages
Book Rating : 4.24/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Foundations of Info-Metrics written by Amos Golan and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2018 with total page 489 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Foundations of Info-Metrics provides an overview of modeling and inference, rather than a problem specific model, and progresses from the simple premise that information is often insufficient to provide a unique answer for decisions we wish to make. Each decision, or solution, is derived from the available input information along with a choice of inferential procedure.

Author : Hugo A. Keuzenkamp
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 27 pages
Book Rating : 4.62/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Simplicity, Scientific Inference and Econometric Modelling written by Hugo A. Keuzenkamp and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Author : Mike Christie
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119960967
Total Pages : 285 pages
Book Rating : 4.66/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Simplicity, Complexity and Modelling written by Mike Christie and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-10-19 with total page 285 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Several points of disagreement exist between different modelling traditions as to whether complex models are always better than simpler models, as to how to combine results from different models and how to propagate model uncertainty into forecasts. This book represents the result of collaboration between scientists from many disciplines to show how these conflicts can be resolved. Key Features: Introduces important concepts in modelling, outlining different traditions in the use of simple and complex modelling in statistics. Provides numerous case studies on complex modelling, such as climate change, flood risk and new drug development. Concentrates on varying models, including flood risk analysis models, the petrol industry forecasts and summarizes the evolution of water distribution systems. Written by experienced statisticians and engineers in order to facilitate communication between modellers in different disciplines. Provides a glossary giving terms commonly used in different modelling traditions. This book provides a much-needed reference guide to approaching statistical modelling. Scientists involved with modelling complex systems in areas such as climate change, flood prediction and prevention, financial market modelling and systems engineering will benefit from this book. It will also be a useful source of modelling case histories.

Author : Deborah G. Mayo
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108563309
Total Pages : 503 pages
Book Rating : 4.07/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Statistical Inference as Severe Testing written by Deborah G. Mayo and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2018-09-20 with total page 503 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mounting failures of replication in social and biological sciences give a new urgency to critically appraising proposed reforms. This book pulls back the cover on disagreements between experts charged with restoring integrity to science. It denies two pervasive views of the role of probability in inference: to assign degrees of belief, and to control error rates in a long run. If statistical consumers are unaware of assumptions behind rival evidence reforms, they can't scrutinize the consequences that affect them (in personalized medicine, psychology, etc.). The book sets sail with a simple tool: if little has been done to rule out flaws in inferring a claim, then it has not passed a severe test. Many methods advocated by data experts do not stand up to severe scrutiny and are in tension with successful strategies for blocking or accounting for cherry picking and selective reporting. Through a series of excursions and exhibits, the philosophy and history of inductive inference come alive. Philosophical tools are put to work to solve problems about science and pseudoscience, induction and falsification.

Author : James H. Stapleton
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470183403
Total Pages : 466 pages
Book Rating : 4.03/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Models for Probability and Statistical Inference written by James H. Stapleton and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2007-12-14 with total page 466 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This concise, yet thorough, book is enhanced with simulations and graphs to build the intuition of readers Models for Probability and Statistical Inference was written over a five-year period and serves as a comprehensive treatment of the fundamentals of probability and statistical inference. With detailed theoretical coverage found throughout the book, readers acquire the fundamentals needed to advance to more specialized topics, such as sampling, linear models, design of experiments, statistical computing, survival analysis, and bootstrapping. Ideal as a textbook for a two-semester sequence on probability and statistical inference, early chapters provide coverage on probability and include discussions of: discrete models and random variables; discrete distributions including binomial, hypergeometric, geometric, and Poisson; continuous, normal, gamma, and conditional distributions; and limit theory. Since limit theory is usually the most difficult topic for readers to master, the author thoroughly discusses modes of convergence of sequences of random variables, with special attention to convergence in distribution. The second half of the book addresses statistical inference, beginning with a discussion on point estimation and followed by coverage of consistency and confidence intervals. Further areas of exploration include: distributions defined in terms of the multivariate normal, chi-square, t, and F (central and non-central); the one- and two-sample Wilcoxon test, together with methods of estimation based on both; linear models with a linear space-projection approach; and logistic regression. Each section contains a set of problems ranging in difficulty from simple to more complex, and selected answers as well as proofs to almost all statements are provided. An abundant amount of figures in addition to helpful simulations and graphs produced by the statistical package S-Plus(r) are included to help build the intuition of readers.

Author : Kenneth P. Burnham
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387224564
Total Pages : 512 pages
Book Rating : 4.65/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Model Selection and Multimodel Inference written by Kenneth P. Burnham and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-05-28 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A unique and comprehensive text on the philosophy of model-based data analysis and strategy for the analysis of empirical data. The book introduces information theoretic approaches and focuses critical attention on a priori modeling and the selection of a good approximating model that best represents the inference supported by the data. It contains several new approaches to estimating model selection uncertainty and incorporating selection uncertainty into estimates of precision. An array of examples is given to illustrate various technical issues. The text has been written for biologists and statisticians using models for making inferences from empirical data.

Author : National Research Council
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309089522
Total Pages : 393 pages
Book Rating : 4.24/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Dynamic Social Network Modeling and Analysis written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2003-08-01 with total page 393 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the summer of 2002, the Office of Naval Research asked the Committee on Human Factors to hold a workshop on dynamic social network and analysis. The primary purpose of the workshop was to bring together scientists who represent a diversity of views and approaches to share their insights, commentary, and critiques on the developing body of social network analysis research and application. The secondary purpose was to provide sound models and applications for current problems of national importance, with a particular focus on national security. This workshop is one of several activities undertaken by the National Research Council that bears on the contributions of various scientific disciplines to understanding and defending against terrorism. The presentations were grouped in four sessions â€" Social Network Theory Perspectives, Dynamic Social Networks, Metrics and Models, and Networked Worlds â€" each of which concluded with a discussant-led roundtable discussion among the presenters and workshop attendees on the themes and issues raised in the session.

Author : Addisson Salazar
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642307523
Total Pages : 200 pages
Book Rating : 4.22/5 ( download)

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Download or read book On Statistical Pattern Recognition in Independent Component Analysis Mixture Modelling written by Addisson Salazar and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-07-20 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A natural evolution of statistical signal processing, in connection with the progressive increase in computational power, has been exploiting higher-order information. Thus, high-order spectral analysis and nonlinear adaptive filtering have received the attention of many researchers. One of the most successful techniques for non-linear processing of data with complex non-Gaussian distributions is the independent component analysis mixture modelling (ICAMM). This thesis defines a novel formalism for pattern recognition and classification based on ICAMM, which unifies a certain number of pattern recognition tasks allowing generalization. The versatile and powerful framework developed in this work can deal with data obtained from quite different areas, such as image processing, impact-echo testing, cultural heritage, hypnograms analysis, web-mining and might therefore be employed to solve many different real-world problems.