Rational Analysis For A Problematic World Revisited

Author : John Mingers
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 388 pages
Book Rating : 4.50/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Rational Analysis for a Problematic World Revisited written by John Mingers and published by . This book was released on 2001-11-28 with total page 388 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Now, more than ever, planning and managing in the real world is beset by change and uncertainty. Knowledge is incomplete, values are in dispute, decisions of others are often unpredictable. Sheathed in opaque technicalities, inflexible and over-ambitious, the highly mathematical methods of analysing problem situations are no longer considered acceptable. In their place a coherent alternative paradigm has emerged- a range of formal methodologies which aim not to produce 'optimal' solutions but to facilitate an enriched decision-making process. 'Low-tech' transparent and participatory, these methods assist in the formulation and reformulation of problem solving in an uncertain world. This fully revised and updated book brings together contributions from some of the great thinkers on this subject. The authors present the most influential methods (each illustrated with a case study), describe the principles on which the method operates, the step and the stages of analysis, and how these methods relate to the decision making process. The concluding section explores future developments and research issues, as well as links with other relevant domains.

Author : Jonathan Rosenhead
Publisher : Wiley
ISBN 13 : 9780471922865
Total Pages : 386 pages
Book Rating : 4.62/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Rational Analysis for a Problematic World written by Jonathan Rosenhead and published by Wiley. This book was released on 1999-04-22 with total page 386 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An up-to-date overview of a range of methods for structuring decisions and problems, useful for strategic thinking and management. Presents six problem-structuring methodologies in a way that makes it easy to determine if that method is appropriate for a given situation. Covers strategic options development and analysis, soft systems methodology, robustness analysis, metagame analysis, hypergame analysis, and strategic choice, including the analysis of interconnected decision areas.

Author : Saul I. Gass
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461304598
Total Pages : 774 pages
Book Rating : 4.93/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Encyclopedia of Operations Research and Management Science written by Saul I. Gass and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 774 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Operations Research: 1934-1941," 35, 1, 143-152; "British The goal of the Encyclopedia of Operations Research and Operational Research in World War II," 35, 3, 453-470; Management Science is to provide to decision makers and "U. S. Operations Research in World War II," 35, 6, 910-925; problem solvers in business, industry, government and and the 1984 article by Harold Lardner that appeared in academia a comprehensive overview of the wide range of Operations Research: "The Origin of Operational Research," ideas, methodologies, and synergistic forces that combine to 32, 2, 465-475. form the preeminent decision-aiding fields of operations re search and management science (OR/MS). To this end, we The Encyclopedia contains no entries that define the fields enlisted a distinguished international group of academics of operations research and management science. OR and MS and practitioners to contribute articles on subjects for are often equated to one another. If one defines them by the which they are renowned. methodologies they employ, the equation would probably The editors, working with the Encyclopedia's Editorial stand inspection. If one defines them by their historical Advisory Board, surveyed and divided OR/MS into specific developments and the classes of problems they encompass, topics that collectively encompass the foundations, applica the equation becomes fuzzy. The formalism OR grew out of tions, and emerging elements of this ever-changing field. We the operational problems of the British and U. s. military also wanted to establish the close associations that OR/MS efforts in World War II.

Author : Thierry Balzacq
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0192576623
Total Pages : 801 pages
Book Rating : 4.20/5 ( download)

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Download or read book The Oxford Handbook of Grand Strategy written by Thierry Balzacq and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2021-09-13 with total page 801 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A clearly articulated, well-defined, and relatively stable grand strategy is supposed to allow the ship of state to steer a steady course through the roiling seas of global politics. However, the obstacles to formulating and implementing grand strategy are, by all accounts, imposing. The Oxford Handbook of Grand Strategy addresses the conceptual and historical foundations, production, evolution, and future of grand strategy from a wide range of standpoints. The seven constituent sections present and critically examine the history of grand strategy, including beyond the West; six distinct theoretical approaches to the subject; the sources of grand strategy, ranging from geography and technology to domestic politics to individual psychology and culture; the instruments of grand strategy's implementation, from military to economic to covert action; political actors', including non-state actors', grand strategic choices; the debatable merits of grand strategy, relative to alternatives; and the future of grand strategy, in light of challenges ranging from political polarization to technological change to aging populations. The result is a field-defining, interdisciplinary, and comparative text that will be a key resource for years to come.

Author : John Mingers
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 038729841X
Total Pages : 315 pages
Book Rating : 4.12/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Realising Systems Thinking: Knowledge and Action in Management Science written by John Mingers and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-09-13 with total page 315 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book deals with the contribution of a systems approach to a range of disciplines from philosophy and biology to social theory and management. It weaves together material from some of the pre-eminent thinkers of the day. In doing so it creates a coherent path from fundamental work on philosophical issues of ontology and epistemology through specific domains of knowledge about the nature of information and meaning, human communication, and social intervention.

Author : Nicolas Berggruen
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0745663583
Total Pages : 218 pages
Book Rating : 4.86/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Intelligent Governance for the 21st Century written by Nicolas Berggruen and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2013-04-24 with total page 218 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For decades, liberal democracy has been extolled as the best system of governance to have emerged out of the long experience of history. Today, such a confident assertion is far from self-evident. Democracy, in crisis across the West, must prove itself. In the West today, the authors argue, we no longer live in "industrial democracies," but "consumer democracies" in which the governing ethos has ended up drowning households and governments in debt and resulted in paralyzing partisanship. In contrast, the long-term focus of the decisive and unified leadership of China is boldly moving its nation into the future. But China also faces challenges arising from its meteoric rise. Its burgeoning middle class will increasingly demand more participation, accountability of government, curbing corruption and the rule of law. As the 21st Century unfolds, both of these core systems of the global order must contend with the same reality: a genuinely multi-polar world where no single power dominates and in which societies themselves are becoming increasingly diverse. The authors argue that a new system of "intelligent governance" is required to meet these new challenges. To cope, the authors argue that both East and West can benefit by adapting each other’s best practices. Examining this in relation to widely varying political and cultural contexts, the authors quip that while China must lighten up, the US must tighten up. This highly timely volume is both a conceptual and practical guide of impressive scope to the challenges of good governance as the world continues to undergo profound transformation in the coming decades.

Author : Michael E. O'Hanlon
Publisher : Brookings Institution Press
ISBN 13 : 9780815798644
Total Pages : 204 pages
Book Rating : 4.44/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Protecting the American Homeland written by Michael E. O'Hanlon and published by Brookings Institution Press. This book was released on 2011-12-01 with total page 204 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The September 11 attacks forcefully brought home the need to better protect the U.S. homeland. But how can this be accomplished most effectively? Here, a team of Brookings scholars offers a four-tier plan to guide and bolster the efforts under way by the Bush administration and Congress. There has been some progress in making our homeland more secure. But the authors are concerned that the Bush administration may focus too narrowly on preventing attacks like those of the recent past and believe a broader and more structured approach to ensuring homeland security is needed. Given the vulnerability of our open society, the authors recommend four clear lines of direction. The first and last have received a good deal of attention from the Bush administration, though not yet enough; for the other two, a great deal remains to be done: Perimeter defense at the border to prevent entry by potential perpetrators and the weapons and hazardous materials they may use Prevention by detecting possible terrorists within the United States and securing dangerous materials they might obtain here Identification and defense of key sites within the county: population centers, critical economic assets and infrastructure, and locations of key political or symbolic importance Consequence management to give those directly involved in responding to an attack that may nevertheless occur the tools necessary to quickly identify and attack and limit its damage Included are specific recommendations on how much more to spend on homeland security, how much of the cost should be borne by the private sector, and how to structure the federal government to make the responsible agencies more efficient in addressing security concerns. Specifically, the authors believe that annual federal spending on homeland security may need to grow to about $45 billion, relative to a 2001 level of less than $20 billion and a Bush administration proposed budget for 2003 of $38 billion. They also

Author : John Friend
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1136373306
Total Pages : 412 pages
Book Rating : 4.05/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Planning Under Pressure written by John Friend and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2012-05-23 with total page 412 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Planning under Pressure offers managers, planners, consultants and students a comprehensive and authoritative guide to the Strategic Choice Approach, which has gradually been attracting worldwide recognition as a fresh, versatile and practical approach to collaborative decision-making under uncertainty. Starting from basic principles, the book uses helpful diagrams and clear explanations to demonstrate practical ways of approaching daunting decision problems; of devising possible ways forward; and of working effectively towards agreed courses of action. Along he way, decision makers are helped to cope with diverse sources of uncertainty – technical, political, managerial – in a strategic manner. In this extended third edition, the authors have added short contributions from 21 users from seven countries. These new contributors present lessons from their varied experiences in adapting the Strategic Choice Approach to guide decision-making and learning in settings ranging from the re-routing of a controversial city carnival procession to national policy for the management of nuclear waste.

Author : Frank Fischer
Publisher : Duke University Press
ISBN 13 : 082235263X
Total Pages : 401 pages
Book Rating : 4.31/5 ( download)

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Download or read book The Argumentative Turn Revisited written by Frank Fischer and published by Duke University Press. This book was released on 2012-06-04 with total page 401 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Sheds new light on the ways that policy is communicatively created, conveyed, understood, and implemented

Author : Mark Jancovich
Publisher : Manchester University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780719036231
Total Pages : 370 pages
Book Rating : 4.32/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Rational Fears written by Mark Jancovich and published by Manchester University Press. This book was released on 1996 with total page 370 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This re-assessment of 1950s American horror films relates them to the cultural debates of the period and to other examples of the horror genre: novels and comics.