Predicting Human Decision Making

Author : Ariel Geib
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3031015789
Total Pages : 134 pages
Book Rating : 4.86/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Predicting Human Decision-Making written by Ariel Geib and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-05-31 with total page 134 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Human decision-making often transcends our formal models of "rationality." Designing intelligent agents that interact proficiently with people necessitates the modeling of human behavior and the prediction of their decisions. In this book, we explore the task of automatically predicting human decision-making and its use in designing intelligent human-aware automated computer systems of varying natures—from purely conflicting interaction settings (e.g., security and games) to fully cooperative interaction settings (e.g., autonomous driving and personal robotic assistants). We explore the techniques, algorithms, and empirical methodologies for meeting the challenges that arise from the above tasks and illustrate major benefits from the use of these computational solutions in real-world application domains such as security, negotiations, argumentative interactions, voting systems, autonomous driving, and games. The book presents both the traditional and classical methods as well as the most recent and cutting edge advances, providing the reader with a panorama of the challenges and solutions in predicting human decision-making.

Author : Panel on Modeling Human Behavior and Command Decision Making: Representations for Military Simulations
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309523893
Total Pages : 433 pages
Book Rating : 4.99/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Modeling Human and Organizational Behavior written by Panel on Modeling Human Behavior and Command Decision Making: Representations for Military Simulations and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 1998-08-14 with total page 433 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Simulations are widely used in the military for training personnel, analyzing proposed equipment, and rehearsing missions, and these simulations need realistic models of human behavior. This book draws together a wide variety of theoretical and applied research in human behavior modeling that can be considered for use in those simulations. It covers behavior at the individual, unit, and command level. At the individual soldier level, the topics covered include attention, learning, memory, decisionmaking, perception, situation awareness, and planning. At the unit level, the focus is on command and control. The book provides short-, medium-, and long-term goals for research and development of more realistic models of human behavior.

Author : Daniel R. Sarewitz
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 434 pages
Book Rating : 4.09/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Prediction written by Daniel R. Sarewitz and published by . This book was released on 2000-04 with total page 434 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based upon ten case studies, Prediction explores how science-based predictions guide policy making and what this means in terms of global warming, biogenetically modifying organisms and polluting the environment with chemicals.

Author : Peter A. Facione
Publisher : Insight Assessment
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 236 pages
Book Rating : 4.92/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Thinking and Reasoning in Human Decision Making written by Peter A. Facione and published by Insight Assessment. This book was released on 2007 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Author : K.C. Santosh
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 9811596824
Total Pages : 137 pages
Book Rating : 4.27/5 ( download)

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Download or read book COVID-19: Prediction, Decision-Making, and its Impacts written by K.C. Santosh and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-12-11 with total page 137 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book aims to outline the issues of AI and COVID-19, involving predictions,medical support decision-making, and possible impact on human life. Starting withmajor COVID-19 issues and challenges, it takes possible AI-based solutions forseveral problems, such as public health surveillance, early (epidemic) prediction,COVID-19 positive case detection, and robotics integration against COVID-19.Beside mathematical modeling, it includes the necessity of changes in innovationsand possible COVID-19 impacts. The book covers a clear understanding of AI-driven tools and techniques, where pattern recognition, anomaly detection, machinelearning, and data analytics are considered. It aims to include the wide range ofaudiences from computer science and engineering to healthcare professionals.

Author : John Brockman
Publisher : Harper Collins
ISBN 13 : 0062258567
Total Pages : 294 pages
Book Rating : 4.64/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Thinking written by John Brockman and published by Harper Collins. This book was released on 2013-10-29 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Unlock your mind. From the bestselling authors of Thinking, Fast and Slow; The Black Swan; and Stumbling on Happiness comes a cutting-edge exploration of the mysteries of rational thought, decision-making, intuition, morality, willpower, problem-solving, prediction, forecasting, unconscious behavior, and beyond. Edited by John Brockman, publisher of Edge.org ("The world's smartest website"—The Guardian), Thinking presents original ideas by today's leading psychologists, neuroscientists, and philosophers who are radically expanding our understanding of human thought. Contributors include: Daniel Kahneman on the power (and pitfalls) of human intuition and "unconscious" thinking Daniel Gilbert on desire, prediction, and why getting what we want doesn't always make us happy Nassim Nicholas Taleb on the limitations of statistics in guiding decision-making Vilayanur Ramachandran on the scientific underpinnings of human nature Simon Baron-Cohen on the startling effects of testosterone on the brain Daniel C. Dennett on decoding the architecture of the "normal" human mind Sarah-Jayne Blakemore on mental disorders and the crucial developmental phase of adolescence Jonathan Haidt, Sam Harris, and Roy Baumeister on the science of morality, ethics, and the emerging synthesis of evolutionary and biological thinking Gerd Gigerenzer on rationality and what informs our choices

Author : George Mengov
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3662471221
Total Pages : 160 pages
Book Rating : 4.27/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Decision Science: A Human-Oriented Perspective written by George Mengov and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-05-15 with total page 160 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers a new perspective on human decision-making by comparing the established methods in decision science with innovative modelling at the level of neurons and neural interactions. The book presents a new generation of computer models, which can predict with astonishing accuracy individual economic choices when people make them by quick intuition rather than by effort. A vision for a new kind of social science is outlined, whereby neural models of emotion and cognition capture the dynamics of socioeconomic systems and virtual social networks. The exposition is approachable by experts as well as by advanced students. The author is an Associate Professor of Decision Science with a doctorate in Computational Neuroscience, and a former software consultant to banks in the City of London.

Author : Rob Ranyard
Publisher : Psychology Press
ISBN 13 : 9780415158183
Total Pages : 282 pages
Book Rating : 4.84/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Decision Making written by Rob Ranyard and published by Psychology Press. This book was released on 1997 with total page 282 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers an exciting new collection of recent research on the actual processes that humans use when making decisions in their everyday lives and in business situations. The contributors use cognitive psychological techniques to break down the constituent processes and set them in their social context. The contributors are from many different countries and draw upon a wide range of techniques, making this book a valuable resource to cognitive psychologists in applied settings, economists and managers.

Author : Kazuhisa Takemura
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 9811654530
Total Pages : 389 pages
Book Rating : 4.34/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Behavioral Decision Theory written by Kazuhisa Takemura and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-09-29 with total page 389 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is the second edition of Behavioral Decision Theory, published in 2014. The main approach and structure of this book have been retained in the new edition. However, this second edition provides a fresh overview of the idea of behavioral decision theory and related research findings such as theoretical and empirical discoveries of preference formation, time discounting, social interaction, and social decision making. The book covers a wide range from classical to relatively recent major studies concerning behavioral decision theory, which, in brief, is a general term for descriptive theories to explain the psychological knowledge related to people’s decision-making behavior. It is called a theory but is actually a combination of various psychological theories, for which no axiomatic systems—such as those associated with the utility theory widely used in economics—have been established. The utility theory is often limited to qualitative knowledge; however, as the studies of Nobel laureates H. A. Simon, D. Kahneman, and R. Thaler have suggested, the psychological methodology and knowledge of behavioral decision theory have been applied widely in such fields as economics, business administration, and engineering and are expected to become even more useful in the future. Research into people’s decision making represents an important part in those fields, various aspects of which overlap with the scope of behavioral decision theory. This theory is closely related to behavioral economics and behavioral finance, which have come into greater use in recent years. This book will appeal especially to graduate students, advanced undergraduate students, and researchers who are interested in decision-making phenomena.

Author : D. Wendt
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9401018340
Total Pages : 408 pages
Book Rating : 4.40/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Utility, Probability, and Human Decision Making written by D. Wendt and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 408 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Human decision making involves problems which are being studied with increasing interest and sophistication. They range from controversial political decisions via individual consumer decisions to such simple tasks as signal discriminations. Although it would seem that decisions have to do with choices among available actions of any kind, there is general agreement that decision making research should pertain to choice prob lems which cannot be solved without a predecisional stage of finding choice alternatives, weighing evidence, and judging values. The ultimate objective of scientific research on decision making is two-fold: (a) to develop a theoretically sound technology for the optimal solution of decision problems, and (b) to formulate a descriptive theory of human decision making. The latter may, in tum, protect decision makers from being caught in the traps of their own limitations and biases. Recently, in decision making research the strong emphasis on well defined laboratory tasks is decreasing in favour of more realistic studies in various practical settings. This may well have been caused by a growing awareness of the fact that decision-behaviour is strongly determined by situational factors, which makes it necessary to look into processes of interaction between the decision maker and the relevant task environ ment. Almost inevitably there is a parallel shift of interest towards problems of utility measurement and the evaluation of consequences.