Modeling And Forecasting Primary Commodity Prices

Author : Walter C. Labys
Publisher : Ashgate Publishing, Ltd.
ISBN 13 : 9780754646297
Total Pages : 268 pages
Book Rating : 4.97/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Modeling and Forecasting Primary Commodity Prices written by Walter C. Labys and published by Ashgate Publishing, Ltd.. This book was released on 2006 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides new insights into the modeling and forecasting of primary commodity prices by featuring comprehensive applications of the most recent methods of statistical time series analysis.

Author : L. Alan Winters
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521385503
Total Pages : 334 pages
Book Rating : 4.04/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Primary Commodity Prices written by L. Alan Winters and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1990-03-08 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Commodity markets are of considerable interest and importance to economists, econometricians and dealers. This book reports the proceedings of an international conference on 'Primary Commodity Prices: Economic Models and Policy', held in London under the auspices of the Centre for Economic Policy Research in March 1989. A range of papers by leading international authorities covers topics such as expectations formation in econometric commodity market models; price determination in the market for aluminium; the estimation of dynamic disequilibrium models with rational expectations; and a comparison of forward markets and buffer stocks as commodity earnings stabilizers. A key feature of this stock is its development of the policy implications of theoretical and empirical work in the field of commodity economics. Most papers are accompanied by discussant's comments to draw out their technical and policy implications. The book's readership will include commodity economists, commodity market practitioners and policy analysis, as well as professionals and advanced students interested in the fields of applied econometrics, economic development and international trade.

Author : Walter C. Labys
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1351917080
Total Pages : 247 pages
Book Rating : 4.87/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Modeling and Forecasting Primary Commodity Prices written by Walter C. Labys and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-03-02 with total page 247 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent economic growth in China and other Asian countries has led to increased commodity demand which has caused price rises and accompanying price fluctuations not only for crude oil but also for the many other raw materials. Such trends mean that world commodity markets are once again under intense scrutiny. This book provides new insights into the modeling and forecasting of primary commodity prices by featuring comprehensive applications of the most recent methods of statistical time series analysis. The latter utilize econometric methods concerned with structural breaks, unobserved components, chaotic discovery, long memory, heteroskedasticity, wavelet estimation and fractional integration. Relevant tests employed include neural networks, correlation dimensions, Lyapunov exponents, fractional integration and rescaled range. The price forecasting involves structural time series trend plus cycle and cyclical trend models. Practical applications focus on the price behaviour of more than twenty international commodity markets.

Author : Walter C. Labys
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
ISBN 13 : 100384670X
Total Pages : 222 pages
Book Rating : 4.03/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Commodity Models for Forecasting and Policy Analysis written by Walter C. Labys and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2024-02-01 with total page 222 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Originally published in 1984 this book remains as relevant as when it was first published. At that time the oil crises of the 1970s and the growing international debt burden highlighted the extent to which events in primary commodity markets continue to influence the economies of developing and industrialized economies alike. Commodity modelling has become a valuable tool in efforts to predict and understand the behaviour of commodity markets and thereby reduce their fluctuations. This book provides an overview of the nature of the different types of commodity model as well as their diverse applications. In non-technical language the reader is introduced to the underlying modelling methodologies, including their advantages, limitations and commodity specific implications. The book will be of interest to commodity economists, traders and analysts, economic planners and those involved in agricultural, mineral and energy modelling.

Author : Walter C. Labys
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 9780709916161
Total Pages : 209 pages
Book Rating : 4.67/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Commodity Models for Forecasting and Policy Analysis written by Walter C. Labys and published by Routledge. This book was released on 1984 with total page 209 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Author : Peter V. Schaeffer
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470447435
Total Pages : 442 pages
Book Rating : 4.37/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Commodity Modeling and Pricing written by Peter V. Schaeffer and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-12-03 with total page 442 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Commodity Modeling and Pricing provides extensions and applications of state-of-the-art methods for analyzing resource commodity behavior. Drawing from the seminal work of Professor Walter Labys on the development of econometric methods for forecasting commodity prices, this collection of essays features expert contributors ranging from practitioners in private industry, public sector, and nongovernmental organizations to scholars in higher education–all of whom were Labys's former students or collaborators. Filled with in-depth insights and expert advice, Commodity Modeling and Pricing contains the information you need to excel in this demanding environment.

Author : Theodosios B. Palaskas
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 57 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Download or read book Primary Commodity Prices and Macroeconomic Variables written by Theodosios B. Palaskas and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1989 with total page 57 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Author : Walter C. Labys
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 57 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Download or read book Recent Developments in Commodity Modeling written by Walter C. Labys and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1988 with total page 57 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A review of the state of the art of Bank commodity modeling for forecasting and analysis of supplies, demand, and prices.

Author : C. L. Gilbert
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 68 pages
Book Rating : 4.97/5 ( download)

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Download or read book The Rational Expectations Hypothesis in Models of Primary Commodity Prices written by C. L. Gilbert and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The standard linear model fails to account for primary commodity price movements in any significant area, so it is important to do more empirical work to learn to which commodities this nonlinear model applies.

Author : Boum Jong Choe
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.22/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Rational Expectations and Commodity Price Forecasts written by Boum Jong Choe and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasts for the primary commodity market by the Bank's International Commodity Markets Division - with significant but not excessive adaptation to spot- price movements - probably are reasonable, optimal short- term forecasts, superior to "naive" forecasts or futures prices.