Implications Of Modern Decision Science For Military Decision Support Systems

Author : Paul K. Davis
Publisher : Rand Corporation
ISBN 13 : 083304088X
Total Pages : 181 pages
Book Rating : 4.86/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Implications of Modern Decision Science for Military Decision-Support Systems written by Paul K. Davis and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2005-09-14 with total page 181 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A selective review of modern decision science and implications for decision-support systems. The study suggests ways to synthesize lessons from research on heuristics and biases with those from "naturalistic research." It also discusses modern tools, such as increasingly realistic simulations, multiresolution modeling, and exploratory analysis, which can assist decisionmakers in choosing strategies that are flexible, adaptive, and robust.

Author : Paul K. Davis
Publisher : Rand Corporation
ISBN 13 : 0833038087
Total Pages : 181 pages
Book Rating : 4.81/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Implications of Modern Decision Science for Military Decision-support Systems written by Paul K. Davis and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2005 with total page 181 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A selective review of modern decision science and implications for decision-support systems. The study suggests ways to synthesize lessons from research on heuristics and biases with those from "naturalistic research." It also discusses modern tools, such as increasingly realistic simulations, multiresolution modeling, and exploratory analysis, which can assist decisionmakers in choosing strategies that are flexible, adaptive, and robust.

Author : William P. Fox
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 303020569X
Total Pages : 498 pages
Book Rating : 4.90/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Applications of Operations Research and Management Science for Military Decision Making written by William P. Fox and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2019-08-28 with total page 498 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based on many years of applied research, modeling and educating future decision makers, the authors have selected the critical set of mathematical modeling skills for decision analysis to include in this book. The book focuses on the model formulation and modeling building skills, as well as the technology to support decision analysis. The authors cover many of the main techniques that have been incorporated into their three-course sequence in mathematical modeling for decision making in the Department of Defense Analysis at the Naval Postgraduate School. The primary objective of this book is illustrative in nature. It begins with an introduction to mathematical modeling and a process for formally thinking about difficult problems, illustrating many scenarios and illustrative examples. The book incorporates the necessary mathematical foundations for solving these problems with military applications and related military processes to reinforce the applied nature of the mathematical modeling process.

Author : Paul K. Davis
Publisher : Rand Corporation
ISBN 13 : 0833041266
Total Pages : 89 pages
Book Rating : 4.65/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Analysis, Analysis Practices, and Implications for Modeling and Simulation written by Paul K. Davis and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2007 with total page 89 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An examination of analysis and analysis practices for defense planning, the paper1s purpose is to delineate priorities for the way ahead, i.e., for investments and other actions to ensure that future models and simulations will serve the needs of decisionmakers. The analysis in question is accomplished for Quadrennial Reviews and for continuing work on capability assessments, requirements analysis, and program analysis.

Author : National Research Council
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309180732
Total Pages : 96 pages
Book Rating : 4.33/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Defense Modeling, Simulation, and Analysis written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2006-09-22 with total page 96 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Modeling, simulation, and analysis (MS&A) is a crucial tool for military affairs. MS&A is one of the announced pillars of a strategy for transforming the U.S. military. Yet changes in the enterprise of MS&A have not kept pace with the new demands arising from rapid changes in DOD processes and missions or with the rapid changes in the technology available to meet those demands. To help address those concerns, DOD asked the NRC to identify shortcomings in current practice of MS&A and suggest where and how they should be resolved. This report provides an assessment of the changing mission of DOD and environment in which it must operate, an identification of high-level opportunities for MS&A research to address the expanded mission, approaches for improving the interface between MS&A practitioners and decision makers, a discussion of training and continuing education of MS&A practitioners, and an examination of the need for coordinated military science research to support MS&A.

Author : James G. March
Publisher : Addison-Wesley Longman
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 364 pages
Book Rating : 4.32/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Ambiguity and Command written by James G. March and published by Addison-Wesley Longman. This book was released on 1986 with total page 364 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Author : Paul K. Davis
Publisher : Rand Corporation
ISBN 13 : 0833040391
Total Pages : 106 pages
Book Rating : 4.98/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Theory and Methods for Supporting High Level Military Decisionmaking written by Paul K. Davis and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2007 with total page 106 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report describes an approach to high-level decision support for a Joint Forces Air Component Commander in combat operations or a Chief of Staff in defense planning. Its central theme is the fundamental importance of dealing effectively with uncertainty, whether in effects-based operations, building the Air Force's Commander's Predictive Environment, or planning future forces with the methods of capabilities-based planning. Because many features of the future cannot be predicted with reasonable confidence, it is better to proceed with the expectation of surprise developments and to have skill in recognizing adaptations and making them than it is to treat uncertainty merely as an annoyance. This report sketches the framework of a high-level decision-support environment that is top-down, expresses concepts in simple and intuitive language, deals explicitly with risk and uncertainty, and provides the capability for decisionmakers to readily discover and question the bases for key assumptions and assessments. It can accommodate both "rational-analytic" and "naturalistic" decisionmakers, allowing them to produce strategies that are flexible, adaptive, and robust (FAR). Two explicit methods and their related tools are described. The first involves portfolio-style thinking and analysis, a good mechanism for balancing risks and other considerations in choosing a course of action. The second is a novel modification of foresight exercises that addresses the need to include humans effectively in dealing with uncertainty. A more extensive discussion of available methods and enabling technologies is also presented, along with some recommendations about investment priorities.

Author : James H. Centric
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.27/5 ( download)

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Download or read book The Division Level Military Decision-making Process (MDMP) written by James H. Centric and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This report documents the analysis, design, and development of the Division Level Military Decision-Making Process (MDMP) training product. The division level MDMP product is a computer-based, stand alone training support package envisioned to be used by the U.S. Army Command and General Staff College (CGSC) to augment existing CGSC instruction on the MDMP. The product, a computer disk, provides a self-paced, detailed discussion of the steps of the MDMP, focusing on the battle staff at the division-level. Field Manual 101-5 Staff Organization and Operations served as the doctrinal source reference. The course also contains selected tactics, techniques, and procedures (TTP) that aid the CGSC student in conducting staff integration and coordination during mission planning. This project was coordinated with the CGSC."--Stinet.

Author : Anthony E. Hartle
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780700604630
Total Pages : 196 pages
Book Rating : 4.34/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Moral Issues in Military Decision Making written by Anthony E. Hartle and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 196 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: " ... discussion of the basic justification for the role of the military in American society."--Book Cover.

Author : Franklin A. Long
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 1483189740
Total Pages : 221 pages
Book Rating : 4.41/5 ( download)

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Download or read book The Genesis of New Weapons written by Franklin A. Long and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2013-10-22 with total page 221 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Genesis of New Weapons: Decision Making for Military R&D covers the meeting held to convene military officers, civilian managers of R&D programs, and members of the research groups in industry and get insights from them regarding the decision-making process for initiation and carrying out of R&D programs. The book first gives an introductory overview of the decision making in the military R&D. Topics on the problems usually encountered are then examined. These problems include bureaucratic and other problems in planning and managing military, decision making, and defense. Then, the text discusses the birth of weapons and the R&D process. Finally, the book looks into the political intervention and its implications for the military R&D. The selection will be beneficial to those in the military, government offices, and related agencies or sectors.