Human Judgment

Author : Daniel Kahneman
Publisher : Little, Brown
ISBN 13 : 031645138X
Total Pages : 429 pages
Book Rating : 4.83/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Noise written by Daniel Kahneman and published by Little, Brown. This book was released on 2021-05-18 with total page 429 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the Nobel Prize-winning author of Thinking, Fast and Slow and the coauthor of Nudge, a revolutionary exploration of why people make bad judgments and how to make better ones—"a tour de force” (New York Times). Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients—or that two judges in the same courthouse give markedly different sentences to people who have committed the same crime. Suppose that different interviewers at the same firm make different decisions about indistinguishable job applicants—or that when a company is handling customer complaints, the resolution depends on who happens to answer the phone. Now imagine that the same doctor, the same judge, the same interviewer, or the same customer service agent makes different decisions depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday. These are examples of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical. In Noise, Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, and Cass R. Sunstein show the detrimental effects of noise in many fields, including medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, bail, child protection, strategy, performance reviews, and personnel selection. Wherever there is judgment, there is noise. Yet, most of the time, individuals and organizations alike are unaware of it. They neglect noise. With a few simple remedies, people can reduce both noise and bias, and so make far better decisions. Packed with original ideas, and offering the same kinds of research-based insights that made Thinking, Fast and Slow and Nudge groundbreaking New York Times bestsellers, Noise explains how and why humans are so susceptible to noise in judgment—and what we can do about it.

Author : Martin F. Kaplan
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 1483288722
Total Pages : 340 pages
Book Rating : 4.27/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Human Judgement and Decision Processes written by Martin F. Kaplan and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2013-10-22 with total page 340 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Human Judgment and Decision Processes is a collection of papers that covers the various theoretical frameworks that relate judgment to decision making. The book is comprised of 10 chapters that cover both mathematical models involved in decision making and interpersonal aspect of judgment process. The first five chapters cover papers about decision making. The subjects of the papers include multiattribute utility measurement for social decision making; portfolio theory and the measurement of risk; and information-integration analysis of risky decision making. The other half of the text deals with the judgment process, which includes topics such as interaction of judge and informational components; judgment and decision processes in the formation and change of social attitudes; and the role of probabilistic and syllogistic reasoning in cognitive organization and social inference. The book will be of great use to psychologists involved in research on human judgment and decision process.

Author : A.J. Maule
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 147576846X
Total Pages : 364 pages
Book Rating : 4.66/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Time Pressure and Stress in Human Judgment and Decision Making written by A.J. Maule and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-09 with total page 364 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Some years ago we, the editors of this volume, found out about each other's deeply rooted interest in the concept of time, the usage of time, and the effects of shortage of time on human thought and behavior. Since then we have fostered the idea of bringing together different perspectives in this area. We are now, there fore, very content that our idea has materialized in the present volume. There is both anecdotal and empirical evidence to suggest that time con straints may affect behavior. Managers and other professional decision makers frequently identify time pressure as a major constraint on their behavior (Isen berg, 1984). Chamberlain and Zika (1990) provide empirical support for this view, showing that complaints of insufficient time are the most frequently report ed everyday minor stressors or hassles for all groups of people except the elderly. Similarly, studies in occupational settings have identified time pressure as one of the central components of workload (Derrich, 1988; O'Donnel & Eggemeier, 1986).

Author : Michael A. Bishop
Publisher : Oxford University Press on Demand
ISBN 13 : 9780195162295
Total Pages : 219 pages
Book Rating : 4.93/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Epistemology and the Psychology of Human Judgment written by Michael A. Bishop and published by Oxford University Press on Demand. This book was released on 2005 with total page 219 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bishop & Trout present a new approach to epistemoloy, aiming to liberate the subject from the 'scholastic' debates of analytic philosophy. Rather, they wish to treat epistemology as a branch of the philosophy of science.

Author : B. Brehmer
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 9780080867083
Total Pages : 519 pages
Book Rating : 4.81/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Human Judgment written by B. Brehmer and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 1988-09-01 with total page 519 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There are four basic goals for research in SJT (Social Judgment Theory): - to analyze judgment tasks and judgmental processes; - to analyze the relations between judgmental systems (i.e. to analyze agreement and its structure), and between tasks and judgmental systems (i.e. to analyze achievement and its structure; - to understand how relations between judgmental systems and between judgmental systems and tasks come to be whatever they are (i.e. to understand processes of communication and learning and their effects upon achievement and agreement); - to find means of improving the relation between judgmental systems (improving agreement) and between judgmental systems and tasks (improving achievement).

Author : Richard E. Nisbett
Publisher : Prentice Hall
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 362 pages
Book Rating : 4.81/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Human Inference written by Richard E. Nisbett and published by Prentice Hall. This book was released on 1980 with total page 362 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Author : Andrew McAfee
Publisher : Harvard Business Press
ISBN 13 : 1422125874
Total Pages : 249 pages
Book Rating : 4.78/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Enterprise 2.0 written by Andrew McAfee and published by Harvard Business Press. This book was released on 2009 with total page 249 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In just a few years, Web 2.0 communities have demonstrated astonishing levels of innovation, knowledge accumulation, collaboration, and collective intelligence. Now, leading organizations are bringing the Web's novel tools and philosophies inside, creating Enterprise 2.0.

Author : Kenneth R. Hammond
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 0195143272
Total Pages : 449 pages
Book Rating : 4.70/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Human Judgment and Social Policy written by Kenneth R. Hammond and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 1996 with total page 449 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With numerous examples from law, medicine, engineering, and economics, the author presents a comprehensive examination of the underlying dynamics of judgment, dramatizing its important role in the formation of social policies which affect us all.

Author : Terry Connolly
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521626026
Total Pages : 814 pages
Book Rating : 4.21/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Judgment and Decision Making written by Terry Connolly and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2000 with total page 814 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work examines issues such as medical diagnosis, weather forecasting, labour negotiations, risk, public policy, business strategy, eyewitnesses, and jury decisions. This is a revision of Arkes and Hammond's 1986 collection of papers on judgment and decision-making. Updated and extended, the focus of this volume is interdisciplinary and applied.

Author : Thomas Gilovich
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521796798
Total Pages : 884 pages
Book Rating : 4.92/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Heuristics and Biases written by Thomas Gilovich and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2002-07-08 with total page 884 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book, first published in 2002, compiles psychologists' best attempts to answer important questions about intuitive judgment.