Historical Dynamics

Author : Peter Turchin
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400889316
Total Pages : 264 pages
Book Rating : 4.10/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Historical Dynamics written by Peter Turchin and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2018-05-08 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many historical processes are dynamic. Populations grow and decline. Empires expand and collapse. Religions spread and wither. Natural scientists have made great strides in understanding dynamical processes in the physical and biological worlds using a synthetic approach that combines mathematical modeling with statistical analyses. Taking up the problem of territorial dynamics--why some polities at certain times expand and at other times contract--this book shows that a similar research program can advance our understanding of dynamical processes in history. Peter Turchin develops hypotheses from a wide range of social, political, economic, and demographic factors: geopolitics, factors affecting collective solidarity, dynamics of ethnic assimilation/religious conversion, and the interaction between population dynamics and sociopolitical stability. He then translates these into a spectrum of mathematical models, investigates the dynamics predicted by the models, and contrasts model predictions with empirical patterns. Turchin's highly instructive empirical tests demonstrate that certain models predict empirical patterns with a very high degree of accuracy. For instance, one model accounts for the recurrent waves of state breakdown in medieval and early modern Europe. And historical data confirm that ethno-nationalist solidarity produces an aggressively expansive state under certain conditions (such as in locations where imperial frontiers coincide with religious divides). The strength of Turchin's results suggests that the synthetic approach he advocates can significantly improve our understanding of historical dynamics.

Author : Guangbin Yang
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 9811913927
Total Pages : 393 pages
Book Rating : 4.21/5 ( download)

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Download or read book The Historical Dynamics of Chinese Politics written by Guangbin Yang and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-07-02 with total page 393 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book puts forward a new perspective, the historical dynamics of Chinese politics, for better understanding China’s politics, which is from the vertical history of China and the dimension of horizontal world politics, combining the historical analysis of how Chinese politics has come along the way and the comparative analysis of China's governance achievements in world politics. Based on this premise, this book attempts to explain the democratic discourse of contemporary Chinese political logic. The historical dynamics of Chinese politics comes from long-term communication between the author and Western scholars, which may help the global audience to understand China’s politics from all angles.

Author : Nicolas Bacaër
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0857291157
Total Pages : 160 pages
Book Rating : 4.58/5 ( download)

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Download or read book A Short History of Mathematical Population Dynamics written by Nicolas Bacaër and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-02-01 with total page 160 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As Eugene Wigner stressed, mathematics has proven unreasonably effective in the physical sciences and their technological applications. The role of mathematics in the biological, medical and social sciences has been much more modest but has recently grown thanks to the simulation capacity offered by modern computers. This book traces the history of population dynamics---a theoretical subject closely connected to genetics, ecology, epidemiology and demography---where mathematics has brought significant insights. It presents an overview of the genesis of several important themes: exponential growth, from Euler and Malthus to the Chinese one-child policy; the development of stochastic models, from Mendel's laws and the question of extinction of family names to percolation theory for the spread of epidemics, and chaotic populations, where determinism and randomness intertwine. The reader of this book will see, from a different perspective, the problems that scientists face when governments ask for reliable predictions to help control epidemics (AIDS, SARS, swine flu), manage renewable resources (fishing quotas, spread of genetically modified organisms) or anticipate demographic evolutions such as aging.

Author : Real Fillion
Publisher : University of Ottawa Press
ISBN 13 : 0776618288
Total Pages : 186 pages
Book Rating : 4.89/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Multicultural Dynamics and the Ends of History written by Real Fillion and published by University of Ottawa Press. This book was released on 2008-02-28 with total page 186 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Multicultural Dynamics and the Ends of History provides a strikingly original reading of key texts in the philosophy of history by Kant, Hegel, and Marx, as well as strong arguments for why these texts are still relevant to understanding history today. Réal Fillion offers a critical exposition of the theses of these three authors on the dynamics and the ends of history, in order to provide an answer to the question: "Where are we headed?" Grounding his answer in the twin observations that the world is becoming increasingly multicultural and increasingly unified, Fillion reasserts the task of the speculative philosophy of history as it had been understood by German philosophy: the articulation and understanding the historical process as a developmental whole. Fillion's interpretation engages many recent strands of social and political thought in order to provide a new understanding of current events, and possible futures, grounded in the understanding of the dynamics of the past and the present provided by Kant, Hegel, and Marx. The result is a rich and timely answer to the question of where our world is headed today.

Author : Peter Turchin
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691136963
Total Pages : 361 pages
Book Rating : 4.67/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Secular Cycles written by Peter Turchin and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2009-08-09 with total page 361 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Secular Cycles elaborates and expands upon the demographic-structural theory first advanced by Jack Goldstone, which provides an explanation of long-term oscillations. This book tests that theory's specific and quantitative predictions by tracing the dynamics of population numbers, prices and real wages, elite numbers and incomes, state finances, and sociopolitical instability. Turchin and Nefedov study societies in England, France, and Russia during the medieval and early modern periods, and look back at the Roman Republic and Empire. Incorporating theoretical and quantitative history, the authors examine a specific model of historical change and, more generally, investigate the utility of the dynamical systems approach in historical applications."--BOOK JACKET.

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.19/5 ( download)

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Download or read book National Bureau of Standards Miscellaneous Publication written by and published by . This book was released on 1945 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Author : Carlos G. Vélez-Ibáñez
Publisher : University of Arizona Press
ISBN 13 : 0816535159
Total Pages : 409 pages
Book Rating : 4.56/5 ( download)

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Download or read book The U.S.-Mexico Transborder Region written by Carlos G. Vélez-Ibáñez and published by University of Arizona Press. This book was released on 2017-04-11 with total page 409 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "One of the most complete collections of essays on U.S.-Mexico border studies"--Provided by publisher.

Author : Stefan Berger
Publisher : Berghahn Books
ISBN 13 : 180073610X
Total Pages : 267 pages
Book Rating : 4.08/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Dynamics of Emigration written by Stefan Berger and published by Berghahn Books. This book was released on 2022-08-12 with total page 267 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As a pioneering volume to consider the impact of exile on historical scholarship in the twentieth century in a systematic and global way, looking at Europe, North America, South America and Asia, Dynamics of Emigration asks about epistemic repercussions on the experience of exile and exiles. Analyzing both the impact that exile scholars had on their host societies and on the societies they had to leave, the volume investigates exiles’ pathways to integration into new host societies and the many difficulties they face establishing themselves in new surroundings. Focusing on the age of extremes and the realms of exile from fascist and right-wing dictatorships as well as communist regimes, the contributions look at the reasons scholars have for going into exile while providing side-by-side examination of the support organizations and paths for success involved with living in exile.

Author : David Grigg
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1000681513
Total Pages : 258 pages
Book Rating : 4.12/5 ( download)

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Download or read book The Dynamics of Agricultural Change written by David Grigg and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2019-08-06 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: First published in 1982. Until the nineteenth-century the history of agriculture was the history of mankind but it has not perhaps received the wide attention that this importance justifies. In this study, the author reviews for the student of agricultural history successive attempts to describe and explain agricultural changes that are not specific to a limited area or a particular time. In a sense The Dynamics of Agricultural Change is a systematic historical geography of agriculture. Some of the models the author explores have been developed within agricultural history; some, drawn from other disciplines, can be applied fruitfully to it. What is the relationship between population growth and agricultural development? Between environmental changes and those in agriculture? What was the effect of the industrial revolution? And has there been an agricultural revolution? This book suggests to university students of economic history, historical geography and agriculture, a number of stimulating ways of interpreting and reinterpreting agricultural history.

Author : Steffen Mischke
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781013275876
Total Pages : 536 pages
Book Rating : 4.7X/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Socio-Environmental Dynamics Along the Historical Silk Road written by Steffen Mischke and published by . This book was released on 2020-10-09 with total page 536 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book discusses socio-environmental interactions in the middle to late Holocene, covering specific areas along the ancient Silk Road regions. Over twenty chapters provide insight into this topic from various disciplinary angles and perspectives, ranging from archaeology, paleoclimatology, antiquity, historical geography, agriculture, carving art and literacy. The Silk Road is a modern concept for an ancient network of trade routes that for centuries facilitated and intensified processes of cultural interaction and goods exchange between West China, Central Asia, the Middle East, and the Mediterranean. Coherent patterns and synchronous events in history suggest possible links between social upheaval, resource utilization and climate or environment forces along the Silk Road and in a broader area. Post-graduates in studying will benefit from this work, as well as it will stimulate young researchers to further explore the role played by the environment in long-term socio-cultural changes. This work was published by Saint Philip Street Press pursuant to a Creative Commons license permitting commercial use. All rights not granted by the work's license are retained by the author or authors.