Growth Cycles

Author : George W. Evans
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 62 pages
Book Rating : 4.55/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Growth Cycles written by George W. Evans and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We construct a rational expectations model in which aggregate growth alternates between a low growth and a high growth state. When all agents expect growth to be slow, the returns on investment are low, and little investment takes place. This slows growth and confirms the prediction that the returns on investment will be low. But if agents expect fast growth, investment is high, returns are high, and growth is rapid. This expectational indeterminacy is induced by complementarity between different types of capital goods. In a growth cycle there are stochastic shifts between high and low growth states and agents take full account of these transitions. The rules that agents need to form rational expectations in this equilibrium are simple. The equilibrium with growth cycles is stable under the dynamics implied by a correspondingly simple learning rule.

Author : Alex Cukierman
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262031943
Total Pages : 430 pages
Book Rating : 4.49/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Political Economy, Growth, and Business Cycles written by Alex Cukierman and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1992 with total page 430 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: These original contributions by some of today's leading macroeconomists and political economists explore a broad spectrum of social, political, and technological variables that encourage or impede economic growth. What political and economic factors stimulate growth and make an economy expand? These original contributions by some of today's leading macroeconomists and political economists explore a broad spectrum of social, political, and technological variables that encourage or impede economic growth. Topics range from economic reform and price flexibility to the economic effects of political coups and include both theoretical analysis and empirical results.During the past decade, economists have seen important new developments linking growth and business cycles to government policy. These contributions provide a clear understanding of these processes and their effect in shaping economic policy. They look at the welfare side of economics and offer strong economic models to explain the connection between social policies and economic growth. For example, John Londregan and Keith Poole address the economic effects of political coups, Torsten Persson and Guido Tabellini explore the question of whether inequality is harmful for growth, and Stephen Parente and Edward Prescott look at the role of technology adoption in stimulating growth.The essays cover a wide range of approaches. Several focus on the interaction between growth and the choice of policy, where policy reacts to economic and distributional considerations through a majority rule process. Others take the policy as given and focus on the empirical estimation of the speed of convergence of rates of growth across states and regions and the importance of externalities and knowledge spillovers for rates of growth. Essays about the business cycle fall into two broad categories. One, arising from the new political economy tradition, examines the effects of elections and price decontrols on the business cycle. The other explores the implications of optimal economic policies in a representative agent framework for the cyclical behavior of the economy.

Author : Richard Murphey Goodwin
Publisher : Humanities Press International
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 192 pages
Book Rating : 4.73/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Essays in Linear Economic Structures written by Richard Murphey Goodwin and published by Humanities Press International. This book was released on 1983 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Author : Hiroaki Sasaki
Publisher : Apollo Books
ISBN 13 : 9781920901127
Total Pages : 198 pages
Book Rating : 4.24/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Growth, Cycles and Distribution written by Hiroaki Sasaki and published by Apollo Books. This book was released on 2014 with total page 198 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a collection of Hiroaki Sasaki's contributions to further developing the Kaleckian model of analyzing economic growth cycles and distribution. The Kaleckian model is a post-Keynesian type of growth model based on a principle of effective demand. It investigates how changes in income distribution affect microeconomic variables, such as economic growth, output, and employment. Although many discussions of the Kaleckian model focus on short-run economic growth, Sasaki's main contribution is that he also considers medium and long-runs. Sasaki also introduces a variety of factors, such as differentiating between profit-led and wage-led regimes and investigating how the wage gap between regular and non-regular types of employment affects economic growth. The earlier versions of the papers collected here have been previously published in esteemed academic journals, such as Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Journal of Economics, International Review of Applied Economics, and Metroeconomics.

Author : Piero Ferri
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1849809178
Total Pages : 223 pages
Book Rating : 4.77/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Macroeconomics of Growth Cycles and Financial Instability written by Piero Ferri and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2011-01-01 with total page 223 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In light of the recent economic crisis and in keeping with Hyman Minsky's analysis of financial instability, this book considers the important interaction between cycles and growth, via the interplay between demand, supply andreal-world financial issues. This challenging book will prove a thought-provoking read for students and scholars of macroeconomics, heterodox economics, labour markets andmoney, finance and banking.

Author : Gianni Ricci
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642492746
Total Pages : 134 pages
Book Rating : 4.47/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Growth Cycles and Multisectoral Economics: the Goodwin Tradition written by Gianni Ricci and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 134 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book contains a collection of the most significant contributions to some of R.M. Goodwin's ideas, which were presented on the occasion of the outstanding economist's 73rd birthday celebrations held in Modena on February 24th, 1986. The most important feature of this book is the unique combination of papers by economists, econometricians and mathematicians. Their papers deal with the different aspects of Goodwin's celebrated models. The book is divided into three parts. The first part contains five papers which describe Goodwin's scientific life. The second part is more quantitative and contains extensions and modifications to the nonlinear model of growth cycles. The third part is an economic reflection linked to Goodwin's themes. The book presents a combination of both qualitative and quantitative contributions to Goodwin's pioneering works.

Author : Victor Zarnowitz
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226978923
Total Pages : 613 pages
Book Rating : 4.25/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Business Cycles written by Victor Zarnowitz and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-11-01 with total page 613 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume presents the most complete collection available of the work of Victor Zarnowitz, a leader in the study of business cycles, growth, inflation, and forecasting.. With characteristic insight, Zarnowitz examines theories of the business cycle, including Keynesian and monetary theories and more recent rational expectation and real business cycle theories. He also measures trends and cycles in economic activity; evaluates the performance of leading indicators and their composite measures; surveys forecasting tools and performance of business and academic economists; discusses historical changes in the nature and sources of business cycles; and analyzes how successfully forecasting firms and economists predict such key economic variables as interest rates and inflation.

Author : Arvid Aulin
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642958613
Total Pages : 212 pages
Book Rating : 4.18/5 ( download)

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Download or read book The Impact of Science on Economic Growth and its Cycles written by Arvid Aulin and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 212 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The author shows that the enormous gap between theory and facts in modern macroeconomics can only be eliminated by nonlinear macroeconomic dynamics with the following special characteristics: First of all, only certain group-theoretical invariants generate the correct growth cycles with irregularly varying lengths, not any stochastic process as usually applied for this purpose. Furthermore, a special extended value function and generalized human capital are needed for a correct representation of scientific and technological innovation. Finally, the correct nonlinear macroeconomic dynamics are not reducible to microeconomics, for both of the above mentioned reasons.

Author : Vincent Barnett
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1349263273
Total Pages : 262 pages
Book Rating : 4.71/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Kondratiev and the Dynamics of Economic Development written by Vincent Barnett and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-01-06 with total page 262 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Barnett presents the first in-depth analysis in English of the pioneer of long cycle analysis, N.D. Kondratiev (1892-1938), who was a key policy adviser to the Soviet government in the early part of the 1920s. Kondratiev developed a market-led industrialization strategy for the USSR, in direct opposition to Stalin's centrally-planned industrialization programme, and was the director of the Conjuncture Institute, a centre for the study of business cycles and forecasting between 1920 and 1928. It was within the Conjuncture Institute that Kondratiev developed his analysis of long cycles. Barnett covers all aspects of Kondratiev's work.

Author : David Glasner
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1136545271
Total Pages : 800 pages
Book Rating : 4.76/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Business Cycles and Depressions written by David Glasner and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-12-16 with total page 800 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Experts define, review, and evaluate economic fluctuations Economic and business uncertainty dominate today's economic analyses. This new Encyclopedia illuminates the subject by offering 323 original articles on every major aspect of business cycles, fluctuations, financial crises, recessions, and depressions. The work of more than 200 experts, including many of the leading researchers in the field, the articles cover a broad range of subjects, including capsule biographies of leading economists born before 1920. Individual entries explore banking panics, the cobweb cycle, consumer durables, the depression of 1937-1938, Otto Eckstein, Friedrich Engels, experimental price bubbles, forced savings, lass-Steagall Act, Friedrich hagen, qualitative indicators, use of macro-econometric models, monetary neutrality, Phillips Curve, Paul Samuelson, Say's law, supply-side recessions, James Tokin, trend and random wages, Thorstein Veblen, worker-job turnover, and more.