Future Scenarios

Author : David Holmgren
Publisher : Chelsea Green Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1603582061
Total Pages : 138 pages
Book Rating : 4.63/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Future Scenarios written by David Holmgren and published by Chelsea Green Publishing. This book was released on 2012-04-04 with total page 138 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Future Scenarios, permaculture co-originator and leading sustainability innovator David Holmgren outlines four scenarios that bring to life the likely cultural, political, agricultural, and economic implications of peak oil and climate change, and the generations-long era of “energy descent” that faces us. “Scenario planning,” Holmgren explains, “allows us to use stories about the future as a reference point for imagining how particular strategies and structures might thrive, fail, or be transformed.” Future Scenarios depicts four very different futures. Each is a permutation of mild or destructive climate change, combined with either slow or severe energy declines. Probable futures, explains Holmgren, range from the relatively benign Green Tech scenario to the near catastrophic Lifeboats scenario. As Adam Grubb, founder of the influential Energy Bulletin website, says, “These aren’t two-dimensional nightmarish scenarios designed to scare people into environmental action. They are compellingly fleshed-out visions of quite plausible alternative futures, which delve into energy, politics, agriculture, social, and even spiritual trends. What they do help make clear are the best strategies for preparing for and adapting to these possible futures.” Future Scenarios provides brilliant and balanced consideration of the world’s options and will prove to be one of the most important books of the year.

Author : Liam Fahey
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 9780471303527
Total Pages : 478 pages
Book Rating : 4.26/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Learning from the Future written by Liam Fahey and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 1997-11-10 with total page 478 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Unter Szenarioplanung versteht man eine spezielle Methode der Vorhersage zukünftiger politischer, ökonomischer und demographischer Entwicklungen, die das Funktionieren eines Unternehmens beeinflussen können. Diese Technik wird hier von renommierten Vorreitern auf diesem Gebiet ausführlich beleuchtet - so lernt der Manager, verschiedene Implikationen plausibler Ereignisse und Einflüsse systematisch zu durchdenken. (11/97)

Author : Oecd
Publisher : Org. for Economic Cooperation & Development
ISBN 13 : 9789264958135
Total Pages : 74 pages
Book Rating : 4.34/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Back to the Future of Education written by Oecd and published by Org. for Economic Cooperation & Development. This book was released on 2020-09-08 with total page 74 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Author : Adam Kahane
Publisher : Berrett-Koehler Publishers
ISBN 13 : 1609944909
Total Pages : 150 pages
Book Rating : 4.02/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Transformative Scenario Planning written by Adam Kahane and published by Berrett-Koehler Publishers. This book was released on 2012-10-15 with total page 150 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Transformative scenario planning is a way that people can work together with others to transform themselves and their relationships with one another and their systems. In this simple and practical book, Kahane explains this methodology and how to use it.

Author : V. Kostakis
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1137406895
Total Pages : 133 pages
Book Rating : 4.97/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Network Society and Future Scenarios for a Collaborative Economy written by V. Kostakis and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-08-22 with total page 133 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book builds on the idea that peer-to-peer infrastructures are gradually becoming the general conditions of work, economy, and society. Using a four-scenario approach, the authors seek to simplify possible outcomes and to explore relevant trajectories of the current techno-economic paradigm within and beyond capitalism.

Author : Evan Hillebrand
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262028891
Total Pages : 245 pages
Book Rating : 4.99/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Energy, Economic Growth, and Geopolitical Futures written by Evan Hillebrand and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2015-03-27 with total page 245 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Top-drawer scenario builders map a unique array of 'big picture' global outcomes shaped by energy prices, economic growth, and global harmony. Better still, they give the reader tools to build her own scenarios. An essential reference for experts concerned with geopolitical and geoeconomic futures. -- Gary Clyde Hufbauer, Reginald Jones Senior Fellow, Peterson Institute for International Economics The way the authors have integrated the International Futures model into scenario analysis is very instructive and amounts to a useful methodological contribution to the literature on scenario analysis. As an energy economist, I also appreciate that the book adds to the usual energy market forecasting exercises that take economic growth as exogenous to the energy markets and ignore political factors. -- Peter Hartley, Mitchell Professor of Economics and Rice Scholar in Energy Studies at the Baker Institute, Rice University Evan Hillebrand and Stacy Closson have written an interesting and original book in which they analyze several different scenarios for economic growth, energy prices, and international conflict over the next forty years in an engaging and accessible style. I recommend this book to anyone who wishes to understand the range of possible futures. -- James Morrow, Professor of Political Science, University of Michigan

Author : Robert Goodspeed
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781558444003
Total Pages : 288 pages
Book Rating : 4.09/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Scenario Planning for Cities and Regions written by Robert Goodspeed and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ""Describes the emerging use of collaborative scenario planning practices in urban and regional planning, and includes case studies, an overview of digital tools, and a project evaluation framework. Concludes with a discussion of how scenarios can be used to address urban inequalities. Intended for a broad audience"--Provided by the publisher"--

Author : Kjell Nilsson
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642305296
Total Pages : 453 pages
Book Rating : 4.90/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Peri-urban futures: Scenarios and models for land use change in Europe written by Kjell Nilsson and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-02-05 with total page 453 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Presently, peri-urbanisation is one of the most pervasive processes of land use change in Europe with strong impacts on both the environment and quality of life. It is a matter of great urgency to determine strategies and tools in support of sustainable development. The book synthesizes the results of PLUREL, a large European Commission funded research project (2007-2010). Tools and strategies of PLUREL address main challenges of managing land use in peri-urban areas. These results are presented and illustrated by means of 7 case studies which are at the core of the book. This volume presents a novel, future oriented approach to the planning and management of peri-urban areas with a main focus on scenarios and sustainability impact analysis. The research is unique in that it focuses on the future by linking quantitative scenario modeling and sustainability impact analysis with qualitative and in-depth analysis of regional strategies, as well as including a study at European level with case study work also involving a Chinese case study.

Author : Jakkie Cilliers
Publisher : Jonathan Ball Publishers
ISBN 13 : 1868427986
Total Pages : 264 pages
Book Rating : 4.87/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Fate of the Nation written by Jakkie Cilliers and published by Jonathan Ball Publishers. This book was released on 2017-07-24 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: WHAT DOES OUR FUTURE HOLD? In these uncertain times, this is the question on many South Africans' lips. Will we become more prosperous and less divided as a nation or remain hugely unequal and generally poor? Will the ANC split or eventually be forced into an alliance with the EFF after 2019? Could the DA rule the country after the 2024 elections? In Fate of the Nation Jakkie Cilliers develops three scenarios for our immediate future and beyond: Bafana Bafana, Nation Divided and Mandela Magic. Cilliers says the ANC is currently paralysed by the power struggle between what he calls the Traditionalists and the Reformers. It is this power struggle that has led to the inept leadership, policy confusion and poor service delivery that has plagued the country in recent years. Key to which scenario could become our reality is who will be elected to the ANC's top leadership at the party's national conference in December 2017. Whichever group wins there will determine what our future looks like. This is a book for all concerned South Africans.

Author : Heiko A. von der Gracht
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3834997641
Total Pages : 309 pages
Book Rating : 4.47/5 ( download)

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Download or read book The Future of Logistics written by Heiko A. von der Gracht and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-07-22 with total page 309 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based on 51 interviews with logistics CEOs, strategists, and scenario experts, Heiko A. von der Gracht shows that the logistics service industry draws a backward picture of scenario planning practices as compared to other industries.