Forecasting Fundamentals

Author : Nada Sanders
Publisher : Business Expert Press
ISBN 13 : 1606498711
Total Pages : 122 pages
Book Rating : 4.12/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Forecasting Fundamentals written by Nada Sanders and published by Business Expert Press. This book was released on 2016-11-14 with total page 122 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is for everyone who wants to make better forecasts. It is not about mathematics and statistics. It is about following a well-established forecasting process to create and implement good forecasts. This is true whether you are forecasting global markets, sales of SKUs, competitive strategy, or market disruptions. Today, most forecasts are generated using software. However, no amount of technology and statistics can compensate for a poor forecasting process. Forecasting is not just about generating a number. Forecasters need to understand the problems they are trying to solve. They also need to follow a process that is justifiable to other parties and be implemented in practice. This is what the book is about. Accurate forecasts are essential for predicting demand, identifying new market opportunities, forecasting risks, disruptions, innovation, competition, market growth and trends. Companies can navigate this daunting landscape and improve their forecasts by following some well-established principles. This book is written to provide the fundamentals business leaders need in order to make good forecasts. These fundamentals hold true regardless of what is being forecast and what technology is being used. It provides the basic foundational principles all companies need to achieve competitive forecast accuracy.

Author : Rob J Hyndman
Publisher : OTexts
ISBN 13 : 0987507117
Total Pages : 380 pages
Book Rating : 4.12/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Forecasting: principles and practice written by Rob J Hyndman and published by OTexts. This book was released on 2018-05-08 with total page 380 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.

Author : Kenneth D. Lawrence
Publisher : Industrial Press Inc.
ISBN 13 : 9780831133351
Total Pages : 212 pages
Book Rating : 4.5X/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Fundamentals of Forecasting Using Excel written by Kenneth D. Lawrence and published by Industrial Press Inc.. This book was released on 2009 with total page 212 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting is an integral part of almost all business enterprises. This book provides readers with the tools to analyze their data, develop forecasting models and present the results in Excel. Progressing from data collection, data presentation, to a step-by-step development of the forecasting techniques, this essential text covers techniques that include but not limited to time series-moving average, exponential smoothing, trending, simple and multiple regression, and Box-Jenkins. And unlike other products of its kind that require either high-priced statistical software or Excel add-ins, this book does not require such software. It can be used both as a primary text and as a supplementary text. Highlights the use of Excel screen shots, data tables, and graphs. Features Full Scale Use of Excel in Forecasting without the Use of Specialized Forecast Packages Includes Excel templates. Emphasizes the practical application of forecasting. Provides coverage of Special Forecasting, including New Product Forecasting, Network Models Forecasting, Links to Input/Output Modeling, and Combination of Forecasting.

Author : Chaman L. Jain
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780983941309
Total Pages : 402 pages
Book Rating : 4.00/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Fundamentals of Demand Planning and Forecasting written by Chaman L. Jain and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Author : Jean Coiffier
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139502700
Total Pages : 363 pages
Book Rating : 4.02/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Fundamentals of Numerical Weather Prediction written by Jean Coiffier and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2011-12-01 with total page 363 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Numerical models have become essential tools in environmental science, particularly in weather forecasting and climate prediction. This book provides a comprehensive overview of the techniques used in these fields, with emphasis on the design of the most recent numerical models of the atmosphere. It presents a short history of numerical weather prediction and its evolution, before describing the various model equations and how to solve them numerically. It outlines the main elements of a meteorological forecast suite, and the theory is illustrated throughout with practical examples of operational models and parameterizations of physical processes. This book is founded on the author's many years of experience, as a scientist at Météo-France and teaching university-level courses. It is a practical and accessible textbook for graduate courses and a handy resource for researchers and professionals in atmospheric physics, meteorology and climatology, as well as the related disciplines of fluid dynamics, hydrology and oceanography.

Author : Stefan Luckner
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3834970859
Total Pages : 141 pages
Book Rating : 4.55/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Prediction Markets written by Stefan Luckner and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-11-04 with total page 141 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Accurate predictions are essential in many areas such as corporate decision making, weather forecasting and technology forecasting. Prediction markets help to aggregate information and gain a better understanding of the future by leveraging the wisdom of the crowds. Trading prices in prediction markets thus reflect the traders’ aggregated expectations on the outcome of uncertain future events and can be used to predict the likelihood of these events. This book demonstrates that markets are accurate predictors. Results from several empirical studies reported in this work show the importance of designing such markets properly in order to derive valuable predictions. Therefore, the findings are valuable for designing future prediction markets.

Author : William G. Sullivan
Publisher : Prentice Hall
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 312 pages
Book Rating : 4.0I/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Fundamentals of Forecasting written by William G. Sullivan and published by Prentice Hall. This book was released on 1977 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Textbook on forecasting techniques - deals with data collecting, statistical analysis (eg regression techniques, smoothing, delphi method), and statistical computing. Graphs, references and statistical tables.

Author : Shawn Milrad
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0128092564
Total Pages : 246 pages
Book Rating : 4.69/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Synoptic Analysis and Forecasting written by Shawn Milrad and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2017-11-16 with total page 246 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Synoptic Analysis and Forecasting: An Introductory Toolkit provides the bridge between the introductory fundamentals of a meteorology course and advanced synoptic-dynamic analysis for undergraduate students. It helps students to understand the principles of weather analysis, which will complement computer forecast models. This valuable reference also imparts qualitative weather analysis and forecasting tools and techniques to non-meteorologist end users, such as emergency/disaster managers, aviation experts, and environmental health and safety experts who need to have a foundational knowledge of weather forecasting. Presents the fundamentals of weather analysis and forecasting Offers clear accessible writing aimed at students from a variety of mathematical backgrounds Discusses the reading and interpretation of surface observations and METAR code, processes associated with the motion and intensity of cyclones and anticyclones, and quantitative and/or qualitative diagnosis of processes associated with ascent and descent

Author : H. Lee Willis
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 9780203910764
Total Pages : 770 pages
Book Rating : 4.61/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Spatial Electric Load Forecasting written by H. Lee Willis and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2002-08-09 with total page 770 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Containing 12 new chapters, this second edition offers increased coverage of weather correction and normalization of forecasts, anticipation of redevelopment, determining the validity of announced developments, and minimizing risk from over- or under-planning. It provides specific examples and detailed explanations of key points to consider for both standard and unusual utility forecasting situations, information on new algorithms and concepts in forecasting, a review of forecasting pitfalls and mistakes, case studies depicting challenging forecast environments, and load models illustrating various types of demand.

Author : William G. Sullivan
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 292 pages
Book Rating : 4.61/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Fundamentals of Forecasting written by William G. Sullivan and published by . This book was released on 1979 with total page 292 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: