Fiscal Policies In High Debt Euro Area Countries

Author : Antonella Cavallo
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319702696
Total Pages : 178 pages
Book Rating : 4.98/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Fiscal Policies in High Debt Euro-Area Countries written by Antonella Cavallo and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-11-15 with total page 178 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explores the role of national fiscal policies in a selected group of Euro-area countries under the European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU). In particular, the authors characterize the response of output to fiscal consolidations and expansions in the small Euro-area open economies affected by high public and private debt. It is shown that the macroeconomic outcome of fiscal shocks is strongly related to debt levels. The Euro-area countries included in the investigation are Greece, Ireland, Italy, the Netherlands, Spain, and Portugal, over the sample period 1999–2016, i.e., the EMU period. The main econometric tools used in this research are structural vector autoregressive (VAR) models, including panel VAR models. The available literature relating to the subject is also fully reviewed. A further closely investigated topic is the potential spillover effects of German fiscal policies on the selected small Euro-area economies. Moreover, in the perspective of the evolution of the Euro Area towards a full Monetary and Fiscal Union, the authors study the effects of area-wide government spending shocks on aggregate output and other macroeconomic variables during the EMU period. The closing chapter of the book considers evidence on the consequences of austerity policies for European labour markets during recent years.

Author : Robert C. M. Beyer
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 27 pages
Book Rating : 4.51/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Shared Problem, Shared Solution: Benefits from Fiscal-Monetary Interactions in the Euro Area written by Robert C. M. Beyer and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-07-21 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper employs two established macroeconomic models to show that fiscal policy in the euro area can help monetary policy in reducing inflation. Specifically, a fiscal consolidation of 1 percent of GDP for two years and 0.5 percent in the third year across the euro area would ease the policy interest rate by 30-50 basis points relative to the baseline scenario, while lowering inflation. It would also put the public debt-to-GDP ratio on a downward path, with the output costs reversing after the second year. Additionally, a stronger fiscal contribution to the policy mix could mitigate financial fragmentation risks. In the current context of elevated inflation in all euro area economies, the findings suggest two key takeaways: first, synchronized fiscal and monetary policies offer gains even when monetary policy is unconstrained and, second, sharing the burden of lowering inflation through fiscal consolidation among euro area members is beneficial for union-wide inflation reduction, improving debt sustainability and inducing a lower policy rate path.

Author : Céline Allard
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484307372
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.73/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Toward A Fiscal Union for the Euro Area written by Céline Allard and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-09-25 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is on a highly topical issue and addresses a key policy issue for Europe—namely, reinforcing EMU institutional architecture along with the Banking Union. Some proposals have emerged in Europe, and it will be important to put out staff views on this issue. In that context, publication as an SDN is appropriate, given the high profile nature and relevance of the topic—much like the Banking Union paper done a few months ago.

Author : Sakai Ando
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 27 pages
Book Rating : 4.09/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Revisiting the Case for Debt Mutualization in the Euro Area: a Quantitative Exploration written by Sakai Ando and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-03-17 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Revisiting the Case for Debt Mutualization in the Euro Area: A Quantitative Exploration

Author : International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513523082
Total Pages : 112 pages
Book Rating : 4.88/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Euro Area Policies written by International Monetary Fund. European Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-07-27 with total page 112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Selected Issues paper discusses the risks of low growth and inflation over the medium term for the euro area. It examines the consequences of longer term trends that predate the crisis and the progress made in addressing the crisis legacies of high unemployment and debt. The paper illustrates, in a downside scenario, how low potential growth and crisis legacies leave the euro area vulnerable to the risks of stagnation. The weak medium-term prospect and limited policy space leave the euro area vulnerable to shocks that could lead to a prolonged period of low growth and inflation. Model simulations suggest that a modest shock to investor confidence could push up risk premia and real interest rates, as policy space is constrained at the zero lower bound and fiscal policy space to provide stimulus is limited. Moreover, the lingering crisis legacies of high debt and unemployment could amplify the original shocks, creating a bad feedback loop and keeping the economy stuck in equilibrium of stagnation.

Author : Ms.Era Dabla-Norris
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484328264
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.62/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Fiscal Spillovers in the Euro Area: Letting the Data Speak written by Ms.Era Dabla-Norris and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-11-15 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We estimate a panel VAR model that captures cross-country, dynamic interlinkages for 10 euro area countries using quarterly data for the period 1999-2016. Our analysis suggests that fiscal spillovers are significant and tend to be larger for countries with close trade and financial links as well, as for fiscal shocks originating from larger countries. The current account appears to be the main channel of transmission, although strong trade integration among countries in the euro area and spillback effects tend to zero-out the net trade impact in some cases. A subsample analysis shows that the effects of fiscal policy have changed over time, with larger estimated domestic multipliers and spillovers between 2011 and 2014.

Author : Bas van Aarle
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3790819700
Total Pages : 241 pages
Book Rating : 4.00/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Economic Spillovers, Structural Reforms and Policy Coordination in the Euro Area written by Bas van Aarle and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-10-31 with total page 241 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book analyzes economic interdependence in the Euro Area. It offers expert estimates of the sign and size of economic spillovers. Moreover, the authors explore the impact of economic policy coordination on economic performance in the Euro Area. Among the many topics explored are the link between fiscal and monetary policies in the Euro Area and the coordination of fiscal policies and of structural reforms.

Author : Giancarlo Corsetti
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475516800
Total Pages : 49 pages
Book Rating : 4.07/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Sovereign Risk and Belief-Driven Fluctuations in the Euro Area written by Giancarlo Corsetti and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-11-06 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Sovereign risk premia in several euro area countries have risen markedly since 2008, driving up credit spreads in the private sector as well. We propose a New Keynesian model of a two-region monetary union that accounts for this “sovereign risk channel.” The model is calibrated to the euro area as of mid-2012. We show that a combination of sovereign risk in one region and strongly procyclical fiscal policy at the aggregate level exacerbates the risk of belief-driven deflationary downturns. The model provides an argument in favor of coordinated, asymmetric fiscal stances as a way to prevent selffulfilling debt crises.

Author : International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484347854
Total Pages : 72 pages
Book Rating : 4.50/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Euro Area Policies written by International Monetary Fund. European Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-07-25 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Selected Issues paper on Euro Area Policies 2013 Article IV Consultation highlights the monetary transmission mechanism and monetary policies. The European Central Bank has announced the Outright Monetary Transactions framework to address severe distortions in sovereign bond markets and safeguard monetary transmission. The cost of unsecured bond issuance remains elevated for both core and periphery banks, but there is a growing divergence between the two, driven mainly by rising periphery spreads. Weak growth and high levels of private balance sheet debt in the periphery are weighing on the health of bank balance sheets.

Author : Luc Eyraud
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475572913
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.19/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Fiscal Politics in the Euro Area written by Luc Eyraud and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-01-30 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides evidence of fiscal procyclicality, excessive deficits, distorted budget composition and poor compliance with fiscal rules in the euro area. Our analysis relies on real-time data for 19 countries participating in the euro area over 1999–2015. We look for, but do not find, conclusive evidence of bias in procedures in relation to country size. The paper also briefly reviews the literature on political economy factors and policy biases, and offers some reflections on the euro area architecture.