Financial Development Exchange Rate Fluctuations And Debt Dollarization A Firm Level Evidence

Author : Minsuk Kim
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513511149
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.46/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Financial Development, Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Debt Dollarization: A Firm-Level Evidence written by Minsuk Kim and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-08-02 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines how financial development influences the debt dollarization of nonfinancial firms in a sample of emerging market economies (EMEs). The macroeconomic channels are identified from an optimal portfolio allocation model and assessed empirically using the accounting information of nonfinancial firms from 21 EMEs during 2009–2017. The results show that financial development, measured by the private credit-to-GDP ratio, mainly reduces the influence of exchange rate volatility in determining a firm's debt currency composition, among other channels. Furthermore, the effect of exchange rate volatility becomes statistically insignificant beyond an estimated threshold credit-to-GDP ratio of 100 percent.

Author : Minsuk Kim
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513508970
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.79/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Financial Development, Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Debt Dollarization: A Firm-Level Evidence written by Minsuk Kim and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-08-02 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines how financial development influences the debt dollarization of nonfinancial firms in a sample of emerging market economies (EMEs). The macroeconomic channels are identified from an optimal portfolio allocation model and assessed empirically using the accounting information of nonfinancial firms from 21 EMEs during 2009–2017. The results show that financial development, measured by the private credit-to-GDP ratio, mainly reduces the influence of exchange rate volatility in determining a firm's debt currency composition, among other channels. Furthermore, the effect of exchange rate volatility becomes statistically insignificant beyond an estimated threshold credit-to-GDP ratio of 100 percent.

Author : Mr.Geoffrey J Bannister
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484376501
Total Pages : 39 pages
Book Rating : 4.08/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Dollarization and Financial Development written by Mr.Geoffrey J Bannister and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-09-11 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Despite significant strides in financial development over the past decades, financial dollarization, as reflected in elevated shares of foreign currency deposits and credit in the banking system, remains common in developing economies. We study the impact of financial dollarization, differentiating across foreign currency deposits and credit on financial depth, access and efficiency for a large sample of emerging market and developing countries over the past two decades. Panel regressions estimated using system GMM show that deposit dollarization has a negative impact on financial deepening on average. This negative impact is dampened in cases with past periods of high inflation. There is also some evidence that dollarization hampers financial efficiency. The results suggest that policy efforts to reduce dollarization can spur faster and safer financial development.

Author : Kodjovi M. Eklou
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 45 pages
Book Rating : 4.50/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Dollar Exchange Rate Volatility and Productivity Growth in Emerging Markets: Evidence from Firm Level Data written by Kodjovi M. Eklou and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-05-26 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the impact of Dollar exchange rate volatility on firm productivity in Emerging Markets economies (EMs). Using firm level data covering 16 EMs over the period 1998 -2019, the paper shows that dollar exchange rate volatility reduces firm productivity growth. Exploring channels, its finds that the results are driven by countries with low level of financial development, high dollar invoicing, high bilateral trade with the US, high collective bargaining coverage and open capital account. Exploring the role of policy, it finds that Foreign Exchange Interventions (FXI) dampen this impact on firm productivty. Further, exploiting firm level data, the paper shows that dollar exchange rate volatility operates also through the financial friction channel, reducing contemporaneous investments, especially at firms with low liquidity buffers and weak balance sheet (high leverage). The role of financial frictions is confirmed through the finding that younger firms, more likely to face financial constraints, are also found to be more vulnerable to dollar exchange rate volatility. In addition, we also find evidence of a large and persistent effect on firms with highly irreversible investment, lending support for the real option channel of uncertainty on the dollar exchange rate. These findings are robust to a battery of tests, including controlling for uncertainty, financial crises and using an instrumental variable strategy exploiting US monetary policy shocks as an exogenous source of variation in dollar exchange rate volatility.

Author : Mr.Ilhyock Shim
Publisher : INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
ISBN 13 : 9781513560946
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.48/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Firm Leverage written by Mr.Ilhyock Shim and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2020-12-11 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We quantify the effect of exchange rate fluctuations on firm leverage. When home currency appreciates, firms who hold foreign currency debt and local currency assets observe higher net worth as appreciation lowers the value of their foreign currency debt. These firms can borrow more as a result and increase their leverage. When home currency depreciates, the reverse happens as firms have to de-lever with a negative shock to their balance sheets. Using firm-level data for leverage from 10 emerging market economies during the period from 2002 to 2015, we show that firms operating in countries whose non-financial sectors hold more of the debt in foreign currency, increase (decrease) their leverage relatively more after home currency appreciations (depreciations). Combining the leverage data with firm-level FX debt data for 4 emerging market countries, we further show that our results hold at the most granular level. Our quantitative results are asymmetric: the effects of depre-ciations, that are generally associated with sudden stops, are quantitatively larger than those of appreciations, which take place at a slower pace over time during capital inflow episodes. As our exercise compares depreciations and appreciations of similar size, these results are suggestive of financial frictions being more binding during depreciations than a possible relaxation of such frictions during appreciations.

Author : Mr.Romain Veyrune
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455202223
Total Pages : 52 pages
Book Rating : 4.25/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Dedollarization written by Mr.Romain Veyrune and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-08-01 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides a summary of the key policies that encourage dedollarization. It focuses on cases in which the authorities’ intention is to gain greater control of monetary policy and draws on the experiences of countries that have successfully dedollarized. Unlike previous work on the subject, this paper examines both macroeconomic stabilization policies and microeconomic measures, such as prudential regulation of the financial system. This study is also the first attempt to make extensive use of the foreign exchange regulation data reported in the IMF’s Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange Restrictions. The main conclusion is that durable dedollarization depends on a credible disinflation plan and specific microeconomic measures.

Author : Minsuk Kim
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781513557663
Total Pages : 35 pages
Book Rating : 4.61/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Do FX Interventions Lead to Higher FX Debt? Evidence from Firm-Level Data written by Minsuk Kim and published by . This book was released on 2020-09-25 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Central banks often buy or sell reserves---so called FX interventions (FXIs)---to dampen sharp exchange rate movements caused by volatile capital flows. At the same time, these interventions may entail unintended side effects. In this paper, we investigate whether FXIs incentivize firms to take on more unhedged FX debt, thereby increasing medium-term corporate vulnerabilities. Using a novel dataset with close to 5,000 nonfinancial firms across 19 emerging markets covering 2002--2017, we find that the firm-level share of FX debt rises following intensive use of FXIs, particularly for non-exporting firms in shallow financial markets with no FX debt to begin with. The magnitude of this effect is economically significant, with one standard deviation increase in FXI leading to an average 2 percentage points increase in the FX debt share. For reference, the median share of FX debt in the sample is zero.

Author : Ms. Elif C Arbatli Saxegaard
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 69 pages
Book Rating : 4.48/5 ( download)

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Download or read book U.S. Monetary Policy Shock Spillovers: Evidence from Firm-Level Data written by Ms. Elif C Arbatli Saxegaard and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-09-16 with total page 69 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine three main channels through which U.S. monetary policy shocks affect firm investment in foreign countries: (1) the balance sheet channel; (2) the financial channel of the exchange rate; and (3) the trade channel. For this purpose, we use quarterly firm-level data for 63 advanced economies (AEs) and emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) over 1996-2016. Our results suggest an important and independent role for all three key channels. U.S. monetary policy shocks have larger effects on investment for firms that are more leveraged (balance sheet channel), for firms that have a higher share of debt in foreign currency (financial channel of the exchange rate), and for firms that operate in sectors with higher export dependence (trade channel). Back-of-the-envelope calculations suggest that the balance sheet channel is the most important channel of transmission of U.S. monetary policy shocks on aggregate firm investment.

Author : Mr. Marco Airaudo
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475523165
Total Pages : 65 pages
Book Rating : 4.64/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Management In Less Developed Countries written by Mr. Marco Airaudo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-03-08 with total page 65 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We analyze coordination of monetary and exchange rate policy in a two-sector model of a small open economy featuring imperfect substitution between domestic and foreign financial assets. Our central finding is that management of the exchange rate greatly enhances the efficacy of inflation targeting. In a flexible exchange rate system, inflation targeting incurs a high risk of indeterminacy where macroeconomic fluctuations can be driven by self-fulfilling expectations. Moreover, small inflation shocks may escalate into much larger increases in inflation ex post. Both problems disappear when the central bank leans heavily against the wind in a managed float.

Author : Mr.Mauro Mecagni
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498368476
Total Pages : 75 pages
Book Rating : 4.76/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Dollarization in Sub-Saharan Africa written by Mr.Mauro Mecagni and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-05-15 with total page 75 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Dollarization—the use of foreign currencies as a medium of exchange, store of value, or unit of account—is a notable feature of financial development under macroeconomically fragile conditions. It has emerged as a key factor explaining vulnerabilities and currency crises, which have long been observed in Latin America, parts of Asia, and Eastern Europe. Dollarization is also present, prominently, in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) where it remains significant and persistent at over 30 percent rates for both bank loans and deposits—although it has not increased significantly since 2001. However, progress in reducing dollarization has lagged behind other regions and, in this regard, it is legitimate to ask whether this phenomenon is an important concern in SSA. This study fills a gap in the literature by analyzing these issues with specific reference to the SSA region on the basis of the evidence for the past decade.