Emerging Markets Instability

Author : Sergio L. Schmukler
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.36/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Emerging Markets Instability: Do Sovereign Ratings Affect Country Risk and Stock Returns? written by Sergio L. Schmukler and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: September 2001 Changes in sovereign ratings affect country risk and stock returns. And these changes are transmitted across countries, with neighbor-country effects being more significant. Financial market instability has received attention from both academic and policy circles. Rating agencies have been under particular scrutiny lately as promoters of financial excesses, upgrading countries in good times and downgrading them in bad. Using a panel of emerging economies, Kaminsky and Schmukler examine whether sovereign ratings affect financial markets. The authors find that changes in sovereign ratings affect country risk and stock returns. They also find that these changes are transmitted across countries, with neighbor-country effects being more significant. Rating upgrades tend to follow market rallies; downgrades tend to follow market downturns. Countries with more vulnerable economies, as measured by low ratings, are more sensitive to changes in U.S. interest rates. This paper--a product of Macroeconomics and Growth, Development Research Group--is part of a larger effort in the group to understand how financial markets work in developing countries. The authors may be contacted at [email protected] or [email protected].

Author : Barry Eichengreen
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226194574
Total Pages : 305 pages
Book Rating : 4.78/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Other People's Money written by Barry Eichengreen and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2010-04-15 with total page 305 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent crises in emerging markets have been heavily driven by balance-sheet or net-worth effects. Episodes in countries as far-flung as Indonesia and Argentina have shown that exchange rate adjustments that would normally help to restore balance can be destabilizing, even catastrophic, for countries whose debts are denominated in foreign currencies. Many economists instinctually assume that developing countries allow their foreign debts to be denominated in dollars, yen, or euros because they simply don't know better. Presenting evidence that even emerging markets with strong policies and institutions experience this problem, Other People's Money recognizes that the situation must be attributed to more than ignorance. Instead, the contributors suggest that the problem is linked to the operation of international financial markets, which prevent countries from borrowing in their own currencies. A comprehensive analysis of the sources of this problem and its consequences, Other People's Money takes the study one step further, proposing a solution that would involve having the World Bank and regional development banks themselves borrow and lend in emerging market currencies.

Author : Graciela Kaminsky
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.35/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Emerging Markets Instability written by Graciela Kaminsky and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Changes in sovereign ratings affect country risk and stock returns. And these changes are transmitted across countries, with neighbor-country effects being more significant.Financial market instability has received attention from both academic and policy circles. Rating agencies have been under particular scrutiny lately as promoters of financial excesses, upgrading countries in good times and downgrading them in bad. Using a panel of emerging economies, Kaminsky and Schmukler examine whether sovereign ratings affect financial markets.The authors find that changes in sovereign ratings affect country risk and stock returns. They also find that these changes are transmitted across countries, with neighbor-country effects being more significant. Rating upgrades tend to follow market rallies; downgrades tend to follow market downturns. Countries with more vulnerable economies, as measured by low ratings, are more sensitive to changes in U.S. interest rates.This paper - a product of Macroeconomics and Growth, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to understand how financial markets work in developing countries. The authors may be contacted at [email protected] or [email protected].

Author : Masahiro Kawai
Publisher : Brookings Institution Press
ISBN 13 : 0815704895
Total Pages : 441 pages
Book Rating : 4.98/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Financial Market Regulation and Reforms in Emerging Markets written by Masahiro Kawai and published by Brookings Institution Press. This book was released on 2011 with total page 441 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "In the wake of the global financial crisis that began in 2008, offers a systematic overview of recent developments in regulatory frameworks in advanced and emerging-market countries, outlining challenges to improving regulation, markets, and access in developing economies"--Provided by publisher.

Author : G. Andrew Karolyi
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 0199336628
Total Pages : 313 pages
Book Rating : 4.23/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Cracking the Emerging Markets Enigma written by G. Andrew Karolyi and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2015 with total page 313 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Cracking the Emerging Markets Enigma outlines a rigorous, comprehensive, and practical framework for evaluating the opportunities and, more importantly, the risks of investing in emerging markets. Built on a foundation of sound research on foreign direct and portfolio capital flows, Andrew Karolyi's proposed system of evaluation incorporates multiple dimensions of the potential risks faced by prospective investors in an empirically coherent framework.

Author : Ms.Ratna Sahay
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498312616
Total Pages : 41 pages
Book Rating : 4.15/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Rethinking Financial Deepening written by Ms.Ratna Sahay and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-05-04 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global financial crisis experience shone a spotlight on the dangers of financial systems that have grown too big too fast. This note reexamines financial deepening, focusing on what emerging markets can learn from the advanced economy experience. It finds that gains for growth and stability from financial deepening remain large for most emerging markets, but there are limits on size and speed. When financial deepening outpaces the strength of the supervisory framework, it leads to excessive risk taking and instability. Encouragingly, the set of regulatory reforms that promote financial depth is essentially the same as those that contribute to greater stability. Better regulation—not necessarily more regulation—thus leads to greater possibilities both for development and stability.

Author : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498324029
Total Pages : 109 pages
Book Rating : 4.21/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Global Financial Stability Report, October 2019 written by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-10-16 with total page 109 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The October 2019 Global Financial Stability Report (GFSR) identifies the current key vulnerabilities in the global financial system as the rise in corporate debt burdens, increasing holdings of riskier and more illiquid assets by institutional investors, and growing reliance on external borrowing by emerging and frontier market economies. The report proposes that policymakers mitigate these risks through stricter supervisory and macroprudential oversight of firms, strengthened oversight and disclosure for institutional investors, and the implementation of prudent sovereign debt management practices and frameworks for emerging and frontier market economies.

Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513569678
Total Pages : 92 pages
Book Rating : 4.73/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Global Financial Stability Report, April 2021 written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-04-06 with total page 92 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Extraordinary policy measures have eased financial conditions and supported the economy, helping to contain financial stability risks. Chapter 1 warns that there is a pressing need to act to avoid a legacy of vulnerabilities while avoiding a broad tightening of financial conditions. Actions taken during the pandemic may have unintended consequences such as stretched valuations and rising financial vulnerabilities. The recovery is also expected to be asynchronous and divergent between advanced and emerging market economies. Given large external financing needs, several emerging markets face challenges, especially if a persistent rise in US rates brings about a repricing of risk and tighter financial conditions. The corporate sector in many countries is emerging from the pandemic overindebted, with notable differences depending on firm size and sector. Concerns about the credit quality of hard-hit borrowers and profitability are likely to weigh on the risk appetite of banks. Chapter 2 studies leverage in the nonfinancial private sector before and during the COVID-19 crisis, pointing out that policymakers face a trade-off between boosting growth in the short term by facilitating an easing of financial conditions and containing future downside risks. This trade-off may be amplified by the existing high and rapidly building leverage, increasing downside risks to future growth. The appropriate timing for deployment of macroprudential tools should be country-specific, depending on the pace of recovery, vulnerabilities, and policy tools available. Chapter 3 turns to the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on the commercial real estate sector. While there is little evidence of large price misalignments at the onset of the pandemic, signs of overvaluation have now emerged in some economies. Misalignments in commercial real estate prices, especially if they interact with other vulnerabilities, increase downside risks to future growth due to the possibility of sharp price corrections.

Author : Graciela Laura Kaminsky
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.47/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Emerging Markets Instability written by Graciela Laura Kaminsky and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2001 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The authors find that changes in sovereign ratings affect country risk and stock returns. They also find that these changes are transmitted across countries, with neighbor-country effects being more significant. Rating upgrades tend to follow market rallies; downgrades tend to follow market downturns. Countries with more vulnerable economies, as measured by low ratings, are more sensitive to changes in U.S. interest rates.

Author : Kevin P. Gallagher
Publisher : Cornell University Press
ISBN 13 : 0801454603
Total Pages : 274 pages
Book Rating : 4.08/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Ruling Capital written by Kevin P. Gallagher and published by Cornell University Press. This book was released on 2015-02-10 with total page 274 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Ruling Capital, Kevin P. Gallagher demonstrates how several emerging market and developing countries (EMDs) managed to reregulate cross-border financial flows in the wake of the global financial crisis, despite the political and economic difficulty of doing so at the national level. Gallagher also shows that some EMDs, particularly the BRICS coalition, were able to maintain or expand their sovereignty to regulate cross-border finance under global economic governance institutions. Gallagher combines econometric analysis with in-depth interviews with officials and interest groups in select emerging markets and policymakers at the International Monetary Fund, the World Trade Organization, and the G-20 to explain key characteristics of the global economy. Gallagher develops a theory of countervailing monetary power that shows how emerging markets can counter domestic and international opposition to the regulation of cross-border finance. Although many countries were able to exert countervailing monetary power in the wake of the crisis, such power was not sufficient to stem the magnitude of unstable financial flows that continue to plague the world economy. Drawing on this theory, Gallagher outlines the significant opportunities and obstacles to regulating cross-border finance in the twenty-first century.