Decision Making And Change In Human Affairs

Author : H. Jungermann
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9401012768
Total Pages : 525 pages
Book Rating : 4.68/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Decision Making and Change in Human Affairs written by H. Jungermann and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 525 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is only just recently that people have the tools to judge how well they are doing when making decisions. These tools were conceptualized in the seventeenth century. Since then many people have worked to sharpen the concepts, and to explore how these can be applied further. The problems of decision-making and the theory developed correspondingly have drawn the interest of mathematicians, psychologists, statisticians, economists, philosophers, organizational experts, sociologists, not only for their general relevance, but also for a more intrinsic fascination. There are quite a few institutionalized activities to disseminate results and stimulate research in decision-making. For about a decade now a European organizational structure, centered mainly around the psy chological interest in decision-making. There have been conferences in Hamburg, Amsterdam, Uxbridge, Rome and Darmstadt. Conference papers have been partly published+. The organization has thus stabilized, and its re latively long history makes it interesting to see what kind of developments occurred, within the area of interest.

Author : Gerard de Zeeuw
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.18/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Decision Making and Change in Human Affairs written by Gerard de Zeeuw and published by . This book was released on 1977 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Author : Yehezkel Dror
Publisher : Transaction Publishers
ISBN 13 : 9781412832465
Total Pages : 436 pages
Book Rating : 4.62/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Public Policy Making Reexamined written by Yehezkel Dror and published by Transaction Publishers. This book was released on 1983-01-01 with total page 436 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Public Policymaking Reexamined is now recognized as a fundamental treatise for public policy studies. Although it caused much controversy when it was first published for its systematic approach to policy studies, the book is acknowledged as a modern classic of continuing importance for the teaching and research of public policy, planning and policy analysis, and public administration. The paperback includes a new introduction updating and supplementing many of the author's original ideas. Professor Dror combines the approaches of policy analysis, behavioral science, and systems analysis in his examination of the reality of public policymaking and his suggestions for its reform. Actual policymaking is carefully evaluated with the help of explicit criteria and standards based on an optimal model approach, resulting in detailed proposals for improvement. He applies a scientific orientation to the study of social facts and theory.

Author : Laszlo Zsolnai
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1351493213
Total Pages : 214 pages
Book Rating : 4.15/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Responsible Decision Making written by Laszlo Zsolnai and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-07-28 with total page 214 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What should I do?, How should I deal with this?, How should I behave?, How should I act? we ask ourselves daily. But, this is only the first part of the sentence, while the full sentence is What should I do ... to achieve such and such?, for example to complete an assigned task, to do well before my boss or a client, to be pleased with myself, to carry out my plans, to make money in the stock market, to pass an exam, to complete an application, etc. These and similar questions that people ask, consciously or not, openly or not, are decisions.What skills must we master, especially when there is a need to make not only elementary decisions, but also decisions that affect the existence, health, and even lives of people? First, Laszlo Zsolnai writes that we should acquire the skill of gaining knowledge. Only then will we stand a chance of reacting to things that are improbable today, but could become a fact tomorrow. Also essential is the skill of designing, i.e., preparing actions conceptually in order to make decisions before irreversible changes occur. Finally, it is essential to master the skill of multidimensional judgment within the space defined by effectiveness, efficiency, and ethics.This is Zsolnai's attempt to build a model of making ethical decisions both effectively and efficiently. Therefore, the model is much broader than purely an analytical framework would be. It must tell us how to act rather than limit us to reflection on actions already performed; it must combine decision and praxiological analysis of human conduct. The proposed model enlarges the scope of the debate and suggests new avenues of both rational and responsible decision making. This is an original statement of the crossover of policy and morality.

Author : William M. Goldstein
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521483346
Total Pages : 772 pages
Book Rating : 4.44/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Research on Judgment and Decision Making written by William M. Goldstein and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1997-06-13 with total page 772 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers an overview of recent research on the psychology of judgment and decision making, the field that investigates the processes by which people draw conclusions, reach evaluations, and make choices. An introductory, historically oriented chapter provides a way of viewing the overall structure of the field, its recent trends, and its possible directions. Subsequent sections present significant recent papers by prominent researchers, organized to reveal the currents, connections, and controversies that animate the field. Current trends in the field are illustrated with papers from ongoing streams of research. The papers on "connections" explore memory, explanation and argument, affect, attitudes, and motivation. Finally, a section on "controversies" presents problem representation, domain knowledge, content specificity, rule-governed versus rule-described behavior, and proposals for radical departures and new beginnings in the field. Students and researchers in psychology who have an interest in cognitive processes will find this text to be rewarding reading.

Author : G. L. S. Shackle
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521147491
Total Pages : 352 pages
Book Rating : 4.92/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Decision Order and Time in Human Affairs written by G. L. S. Shackle and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2010-06-24 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This second edition examines how one makes a decision and the factors that influence that decision.

Author : George Lennox Sharman Shackle
Publisher : CUP Archive
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 362 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Download or read book Decision, Order, and Time in Human Affairs written by George Lennox Sharman Shackle and published by CUP Archive. This book was released on 1961 with total page 362 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Author : P. Humphreys
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 9780080866680
Total Pages : 562 pages
Book Rating : 4.89/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Analysing and Aiding Decision Processes written by P. Humphreys and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2000-04-01 with total page 562 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book contains an edited selection of papers presented at the Eighth Research Conference on Subjective Probability, Utility and Decision Making, held in Budapest. Together they span a wide range of new developments in studies of decision making, the practice of decision analysis and the development of decision-aiding technology. The volume is arranged in sections: Societal Decision Making; Organizational Decision Making; Aiding the Structuring of Small Scale Decision Problems, and Tracing Decision Processes. The emphasis is on decision processes and structures and their applications, rather than formal modelling in isolation, thus reflecting current developments in research and practice which follow from the understanding of the nature and operation of decision theoretical models gained during the 1970's. The fifth section, A Symposium on the Validity of Studies on Heuristics and Biases, is of a different nature. The papers take stock of the considerable volume of work investigation ``heuristics and biases'' in decision making over the past decade, and their implication for theory and practice.

Author : Austin Lovegrove
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1468470809
Total Pages : 302 pages
Book Rating : 4.02/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Judicial Decision Making, Sentencing Policy, and Numerical Guidance written by Austin Lovegrove and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 302 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book describes an original, empirical study of judicial decision making. The process of determining sentences is a difficult one for judges and often unnecessarily intuitive, subjective, and complex. The present study introduces a conceptual outline and empirical technique for increasing the precision of sentencing policy, thus offering an aid to judges who sentence in the light of this policy. The primary purpose of this model of judicial decision making is to provide a framework for scaling the seriousness of any single case in relation to the facts of that case and for relating this assessment to the appropriate quantum of sentence. The validity of the model is tested and cross-validated in an archival study. This innovative research serves as an important prototype for a system of numerical guidance to judges and sentencers.

Author : J. Kozielecki
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9789027710512
Total Pages : 426 pages
Book Rating : 4.11/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Psychological Decision Theory written by J. Kozielecki and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 1982-03-31 with total page 426 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: