Conventional And Insidious Macroeconomic Balance Sheet Crises

Author : Mr.Bas B. Bakker
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 149838904X
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.44/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Conventional and Insidious Macroeconomic Balance-Sheet Crises written by Mr.Bas B. Bakker and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-08-22 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper describes the anatomy of two types of balance-sheet macroeconomic crises. Conventional balance-sheet crises are triggered by external imbalances and balance sheet vulnerabilities. They typically occur after capital inflows have led to a substantial build up of foreign currency exposure. Insidious crises are triggered by internal imbalances and balance sheet vulnerabilities. They occur in high-growth economies when an initially equilibrating shift in relative prices and resources and credit in favor of the nontraded sector overshoots equilibrium. The paper argues that policymakers are now better able to forestall conventional crises, but they are much less capable of early detection and avoidance of insidious crises.

Author : Mr.Bas B. Bakker
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498369944
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.47/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Conventional and Insidious Macroeconomic Balance-Sheet Crises written by Mr.Bas B. Bakker and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-08-22 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper describes the anatomy of two types of balance-sheet macroeconomic crises. Conventional balance-sheet crises are triggered by external imbalances and balance sheet vulnerabilities. They typically occur after capital inflows have led to a substantial build up of foreign currency exposure. Insidious crises are triggered by internal imbalances and balance sheet vulnerabilities. They occur in high-growth economies when an initially equilibrating shift in relative prices and resources and credit in favor of the nontraded sector overshoots equilibrium. The paper argues that policymakers are now better able to forestall conventional crises, but they are much less capable of early detection and avoidance of insidious crises.

Author : Roberto Perrelli
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.59/5 ( download)

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Download or read book The Role of Corporate, Legal and Macroeconomic Balance Sheet Indicators in Crisis Detection and Prevention written by Roberto Perrelli and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2002-03 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study tests the recent balance sheet explanations of external crises in emerging market countries and the role of standards in these crises. Using several unique data sets, it finds that corporate sector balance sheets have a very significant impact on both the likelihood and depth of external crises. The indicators supplement, rather than substitute for traditional macroeconomic variables with standards playing potentially an important role. The results have implications for strategies to limit external vulnerability: they suggest that policymakers need to promote sound private sector financial structures, support sound shareholder rights, in addition to employing prudent macroeconomic policies to reduce exposure to crises. In sample predictions point to potentially large improvements in the predictive power of models that include these indicators.

Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498344453
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.56/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Balance Sheet Analysis in Fund Surveillance written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-12-06 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Balance sheets convey vital information about economic prospects and risks. Balance sheet analysis captures the role that financial frictions and mismatches play in creating fragility and amplifying shocks. This is key to understanding the macroeconomic outlook, identifying vulnerabilities, and tracing the transmission of potential shocks and policies. This paper reviews the use of balance sheet analysis in the Fund’s bilateral surveillance and introduces some practical examples of how it can be deepened. Recent evaluations of IMF surveillance––including the 2014 TSR––have emphasized the importance of strengthening balance sheet analysis and coverage of macro-financial issues. This paper is a first step that highlights useful examples of such analysis conducted by staff over the last decade, documents the data and tools that have been used, and mentions some limitations. In addition, it discusses recent improvements in the coverage and quality of balance sheet data through initiatives launched in the wake of the global crisis, as well as key remaining gaps, addressing which requires international collaboration.

Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513556959
Total Pages : 17 pages
Book Rating : 4.56/5 ( download)

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Download or read book IMF Research Bulletin, December 2014 written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-09-15 with total page 17 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The December 2015 IMF Research Bulletin features a sampling of key research from the IMF. The Research Summaries in this issue look at “The Impact of Deflation and Lowflation on Fiscal Aggregates (Nicolas End, Sampawende J.-A. Tapsoba, Gilbert Terrier, and Renaud Duplay); and “Oil Exporters at the Crossroads: It Is High Time to Diversify” (Reda Cherif and Fuad Hasanov). Mahvash Saeed Qureshi provides an overview of the fifth Lindau Meeting in Economics in “Meeting the Nobel Giants.” In the Q&A column on “Seven Questions on Financial Frictions and the Sources of the Business Cycle, Marzie Taheri Sanjani looks at the driving forces of the business cycle and macroeconomic models. The top-viewed articles in 2014 from the IMF Economic Review are highlighted, along with recent IMF Working Papers, Staff Discussion Notes, and IMF publications.

Author : Sergei Antoshin
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484329619
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.10/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Credit Growth and Economic Recovery in Europe After the Global Financial Crisis written by Sergei Antoshin and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-11-17 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews the empirical relationships between credit growth, economic recovery, and bank profitability in Europe after the global financial crisis (GFC). We find that the post-GFC recoveries in Europe have been weaker than previous recoveries, with the “double-dip” recessions in 2011–12 in many countries and the worldwide reach of the GFC explaining the underperformance. Bank lending has been subdued as well, but this appears to have only held back the recovery relatively moderately. A 10 percent increase in bank credit to the private sector is associated with a rise of 0.6–1 percent in real GDP and 2–21⁄2 percent in real private investment. These relationships have not changed significantly during and after the GFC. Loan quality, customer deposits, bank equity price index, and bank capital appear to be closely linked to bank lending. As expected, bank profitability is positively and significantly influenced by credit growth, but this relationship has weakened after the GFC.

Author : United Nations
Publisher : UN
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 136 pages
Book Rating : 4.5Y/5 ( download)

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Download or read book The Global Social Crisis written by United Nations and published by UN. This book was released on 2011 with total page 136 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: During 2008-2009, the world experienced its worst financial and economic crisis since the Great Depression of the 1930s. The crisis followed the effects of the food and fuel price hikes in 2007 and 2008. In 2009, global output contracted by 2 per cent. This 2011 Report on the World Social Situation reviews the ongoing adverse social consequences of these crises after an overview of its causes and transmission.

Author : Robert Kuttner
Publisher : Vintage
ISBN 13 : 0307959813
Total Pages : 353 pages
Book Rating : 4.12/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Debtors' Prison written by Robert Kuttner and published by Vintage. This book was released on 2013-04-30 with total page 353 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: One of our foremost economic thinkers challenges a cherished tenet of today’s financial orthodoxy: that spending less, refusing to forgive debt, and shrinking government—“austerity”—is the solution to a persisting economic crisis like ours or Europe’s, now in its fifth year. Since the collapse of September 2008, the conversation about economic recovery has centered on the question of debt: whether we have too much of it, whose debt to forgive, and how to cut the deficit. These questions dominated the sound bites of the 2012 U.S. presidential election, the fiscal-cliff debates, and the perverse policies of the European Union. Robert Kuttner makes the most powerful argument to date that these are the wrong questions and that austerity is the wrong answer. Blending economics with historical contrasts of effective debt relief and punitive debt enforcement, he makes clear that universal belt-tightening, as a prescription for recession, defies economic logic. And while the public debt gets most of the attention, it is private debts that crashed the economy and are sandbagging the recovery—mortgages, student loans, consumer borrowing to make up for lagging wages, speculative shortfalls incurred by banks. As Kuttner observes, corporations get to use bankruptcy to walk away from debts. Homeowners and small nations don’t. Thus, we need more public borrowing and investment to revive a depressed economy, and more forgiveness and reform of the overhang of past debts. In making his case, Kuttner uncovers the double standards in the politics of debt, from Robinson Crusoe author Daniel Defoe’s campaign for debt forgiveness in the seventeenth century to the two world wars and Bretton Woods. Just as debtors’ prisons once prevented individuals from surmounting their debts and resuming productive life, austerity measures shackle, rather than restore, economic growth—as the weight of past debt crushes the economy’s future potential. Above all, Kuttner shows how austerity serves only the interest of creditors—the very bankers and financial elites whose actions precipitated the collapse. Lucid, authoritative, provocative—a book that will shape the economic conversation and the search for new solutions.

Author : David Stockman
Publisher : Public Affairs
ISBN 13 : 1586489127
Total Pages : 770 pages
Book Rating : 4.20/5 ( download)

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Download or read book The Great Deformation written by David Stockman and published by Public Affairs. This book was released on 2013-04-02 with total page 770 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A former Michigan congressman and member of the Reagan administration describes how interference in the financial markets has contributed to the national debt and has damaging and lasting repercussions.

Author : Charles Goodhart
Publisher : Anthem Press
ISBN 13 : 1783083042
Total Pages : 292 pages
Book Rating : 4.46/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Central Banking at a Crossroads written by Charles Goodhart and published by Anthem Press. This book was released on 2014-12-01 with total page 292 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book reflects on the innovations that central banks have introduced since the 2008 collapse of Lehman Brothers to improve their modes of intervention, regulation and resolution of financial markets and financial institutions. Authors from both academia and policy circles explore these innovations through four approaches: ‘Bank Capital Regulation’ examines the Basel III agreement; ‘Bank Resolution’ focuses on effective regimes for regulating and resolving ailing banks; ‘Central Banking with Collateral-Based Finance’ develops thought on the challenges that market-based finance pose for the conduct of central banking; and ‘Where Next for Central Banking’ examines the trajectory of central banking and its new, central role in sustaining capitalism.