Balance Sheet Network Analysis Of Too Connected To Fail Risk In Global And Domestic Banking Systems

Author : Mr.Jorge A. Chan-Lau
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455200662
Total Pages : 27 pages
Book Rating : 4.65/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Balance Sheet Network Analysis of Too-Connected-to-Fail Risk in Global and Domestic Banking Systems written by Mr.Jorge A. Chan-Lau and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-04-01 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The 2008/9 financial crisis highlighted the importance of evaluating vulnerabilities owing to interconnectedness, or Too-Connected-to-Fail risk, among financial institutions for country monitoring, financial surveillance, investment analysis and risk management purposes. This paper illustrates the use of balance sheet-based network analysis to evaluate interconnectedness risk, under extreme adverse scenarios, in banking systems in mature and emerging market countries, and between individual banks in Chile, an advanced emerging market economy.

Author : Mr.Balazs Csonto
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484368509
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.03/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Bank Network Analysis in the ECCU written by Mr.Balazs Csonto and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-07-12 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper applies network analysis to assess the extent of systemic vulnerabilities in the ECCU banking system. It includes two sets of illustrative stress tests. First, solvency and liquidity shocks to each individual bank and the impact on other banks in the network through their biltareal net asset exposures. Second, country and region-wide tail shocks to GDP affecting capital and liquidity of all banks in the shocked jurisdictions, followed by the rippling effects through the regional network. The results identify systemic institutions that merit hightened attention by the regulator, as determined by the degree of connectivity with the rest of the system, and the extent to which they are vulnerable to the failure of other banks.

Author : Marco A Espinosa-Vega
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455200646
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.41/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Cross-Border Financial Surveillance written by Marco A Espinosa-Vega and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-04-01 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Effective cross-border financial surveillance requires the monitoring of direct and indirect systemic linkages. This paper illustrates how network analysis could make a significant contribution in this regard by simulating different credit and funding shocks to the banking systems of a number of selected countries. After that, we show that the inclusion of risk transfers could modify the risk profile of entire financial systems, and thus an enriched simulation algorithm able to account for risk transfers is proposed. Finally, we discuss how some of the limitations of our simulations are a reflection of existing information and data gaps, and thus view these shortcomings as a call to improve the collection and analysis of data on cross-border financial exposures.

Author : Ms.Camelia Minoiu
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455227056
Total Pages : 43 pages
Book Rating : 4.51/5 ( download)

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Download or read book A network analysis of global banking written by Ms.Camelia Minoiu and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-04-01 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper we explore the properties of the global banking network using cross-border bank lending data for 184 countries over 1978-2009. Specifically, we analyze financial interconnectedness using network metrics of centrality, connectivity, and clustering. We document a relatively unstable global banking network, with structural breaks in network indicators identifying several waves of capital flows. Interconnectedness rankings, especially for borrowers, are relatively volatile over the period. Connectivity tends to fall during and after systemic banking crises and sovereign debt crises. The 2008-09 global financial crisis stands out as an unusually large perturbation to the cross-border banking network.

Author : Ms.Li L Ong
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484368584
Total Pages : 610 pages
Book Rating : 4.89/5 ( download)

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Download or read book A Guide to IMF Stress Testing written by Ms.Li L Ong and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-12-23 with total page 610 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The IMF has had extensive involvement in the stress testing of financial systems in its member countries. This book presents the methods and models that have been developed by IMF staff over the years and that can be applied to the gamut of financial systems. An added resource for readers is the companion CD-Rom, which makes available the toolkit with some of the models presented in the book (also located at elibrary.imf.org/page/stress-test-toolkit).

Author : Mr.Jorge A. Chan-Lau
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451982755
Total Pages : 27 pages
Book Rating : 4.56/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Regulatory Capital Charges for Too-Connected-to-Fail Institutions written by Mr.Jorge A. Chan-Lau and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-04-01 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The recent financial crisis has highlighted once more that interconnectedness in the financial system is a major source of systemic risk. I suggest a practical way to levy regulatory capital charges based on the degree of interconnectedness among financial institutions. Namely, the charges are based on the institution’s incremental contribution to systemic risk. The imposition of such capital charges could go a long way towards internalizing the negative externalities associated with too-connected-to-fail institutions and providing managerial incentives to strengthen an institution’s solvency position, and avoid too much homogeneity and excessive reliance on the same counterparties in the financial industry.

Author : Mr.Nicolas Arregui
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484385071
Total Pages : 58 pages
Book Rating : 4.74/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Addressing Interconnectedness written by Mr.Nicolas Arregui and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-09-26 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews tools used to identify and measure interconnectedness and raises the awareness of policymakers as to potential cross-sectional implications of prudential tools aimed at controlling interconnectedness. The paper examines two sets of tools—developed at the IMF and externally—to identify the implications of interconnectedness in systemic risk and how these tools have been applied in IMF surveillance. The paper then proposes a preliminary framework to analyze some key internationally-agreed-upon and national prudential tools and finds that while many prudential tools are effective in reducing interconnectedness, the interaction among these tools is far less clear cut.

Author : Ms.Sheri M. Markose
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475531869
Total Pages : 58 pages
Book Rating : 4.62/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Systemic Risk from Global Financial Derivatives written by Ms.Sheri M. Markose and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-11-30 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial network analysis is used to provide firm level bottom-up holistic visualizations of interconnections of financial obligations in global OTC derivatives markets. This helps to identify Systemically Important Financial Intermediaries (SIFIs), analyse the nature of contagion propagation, and also monitor and design ways of increasing robustness in the network. Based on 2009 FDIC and individually collected firm level data covering gross notional, gross positive (negative) fair value and the netted derivatives assets and liabilities for 202 financial firms which includes 20 SIFIs, the bilateral flows are empirically calibrated to reflect data-based constraints. This produces a tiered network with a distinct highly clustered central core of 12 SIFIs that account for 78 percent of all bilateral exposures and a large number of financial intermediaries (FIs) on the periphery. The topology of the network results in the “Too- Interconnected-To-Fail” (TITF) phenomenon in that the failure of any member of the central tier will bring down other members with the contagion coming to an abrupt end when the ‘super-spreaders’ have demised. As these SIFIs account for the bulk of capital in the system, ipso facto no bank among the top tier can be allowed to fail, highlighting the untenable implicit socialized guarantees needed for these markets to operate at their current levels. Systemic risk costs of highly connected SIFIs nodes are not priced into their holding of capital or collateral. An eigenvector centrality based ‘super-spreader’ tax has been designed and tested for its capacity to reduce the potential socialized losses from failure of SIFIs.

Author : Peter Sarlin
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 364254956X
Total Pages : 243 pages
Book Rating : 4.64/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Mapping Financial Stability written by Peter Sarlin and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2014-05-08 with total page 243 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book approaches macroprudential oversight from the viewpoint of three tasks. The focus concerns a tight integration of means for risk communication into analytical tools for risk identification and risk assessment. Generally, this book explores approaches for representing complex data concerning financial entities on low-dimensional displays. Data and dimension reduction methods, and their combinations, hold promise for representing multivariate data structures in easily understandable formats. Accordingly, this book creates a Self-Organizing Financial Stability Map (SOFSM), and lays out a general framework for mapping the state of financial stability. Beyond external risk communication, the aim of the visual means is to support disciplined and structured judgmental analysis based upon policymakers' experience and domain intelligence.

Author : Mr.Andreas A. Jobst
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475557531
Total Pages : 93 pages
Book Rating : 4.34/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Systemic Contingent Claims Analysis written by Mr.Andreas A. Jobst and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-02-27 with total page 93 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The recent global financial crisis has forced a re-examination of risk transmission in the financial sector and how it affects financial stability. Current macroprudential policy and surveillance (MPS) efforts are aimed establishing a regulatory framework that helps mitigate the risk from systemic linkages with a view towards enhancing the resilience of the financial sector. This paper presents a forward-looking framework ("Systemic CCA") to measure systemic solvency risk based on market-implied expected losses of financial institutions with practical applications for the financial sector risk management and the system-wide capital assessment in top-down stress testing. The suggested approach uses advanced contingent claims analysis (CCA) to generate aggregate estimates of the joint default risk of multiple institutions as a conditional tail expectation using multivariate extreme value theory (EVT). In addition, the framework also helps quantify the individual contributions to systemic risk and contingent liabilities of the financial sector during times of stress.