Appraisal Risk And Uncertainty

Author : Nigel J. Smith
Publisher : Thomas Telford
ISBN 13 : 9780727731852
Total Pages : 156 pages
Book Rating : 4.58/5 ( download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Download or read book Appraisal, Risk and Uncertainty written by Nigel J. Smith and published by Thomas Telford. This book was released on 2003-11-28 with total page 156 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Projects need to achieve strategic goals and to that end must work in different levels of uncertainty. Engineers must be aware of methods to operate in ambiguous situations. This book offers one of the first integrated approaches to these three topics based on the views of experts in these disciplines.

Author : Shlomo Reutlinger
Publisher : Johns Hopkins University Press
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 116 pages
Book Rating : 4.36/5 ( download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Download or read book Techniques for Project Appraisal Under Uncertainty written by Shlomo Reutlinger and published by Johns Hopkins University Press. This book was released on 1970 with total page 116 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The appraisal of events that have uncertain outcomes is discussed with particular reference to a feasible method for evaluating the riskiness of investment projects. The essence of the uncertainty problem is that many of the variables affecting the outcome of a particular plan are outside of the planner's control. Uncertainty, which is relevant for most decisions, is best characterized in terms of a decision agent's subjective beliefs about probabilities. The probabilistic approach lends itself best to an appraisal of possible outcomes of a project that is affected by uncertainties from many sources. Probability judgments about many basic variables and parameters affecting the final outcome can be aggregated into an estimate of the probability distribution of that final outcome. This aggregation method is demonstrated for calculation of the economic returns of a project. The method of approximation by a simulated sample is described, and its application to probability distribution rates of returns from actual projects is explained. The preparation of a mathematical model is detailed, emphasizing the usefulness of computerized calculations. Fourteen tables and nine figures are provided.

Author : A. Z. Keller
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 86 pages
Book Rating : 4.46/5 ( download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Download or read book Uncertainty in Risk and Reliability written by A. Z. Keller and published by . This book was released on 1975 with total page 86 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Author : Terence Lucey
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 70 pages
Book Rating : 4.08/5 ( download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Download or read book Investment Appraisal written by Terence Lucey and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 70 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Author : Gavin C. Reid
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1134190360
Total Pages : 258 pages
Book Rating : 4.62/5 ( download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Download or read book Risk Appraisal and Venture Capital in High Technology New Ventures written by Gavin C. Reid and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2007-09-06 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a 'crossover' treatment of quantitative and qualitative risk analysis within the setting of new high technology ventures in the UK. Reid and Smith have based their research on extensive fieldwork in patent-intensive, high-technology firms. This has included face-to-face interviews with leading investors, and is illustrated by two chapt

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.06/5 ( download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Download or read book Risk and Uncertainty in Capital Investment Appraisal written by and published by . This book was released on 1979 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Author : T. Lucey
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 70 pages
Book Rating : 4.05/5 ( download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Download or read book Investment Appraisal written by T. Lucey and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 70 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Author : V.T. Covello
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 9780306425578
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.72/5 ( download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Download or read book Uncertainty in Risk Assessment, Risk Management, and Decision Making written by V.T. Covello and published by Springer. This book was released on 1987-05-31 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The subject of this volume--uncertainties in risk assessment and management--reflects an important theme in health, safety, and environ mental decision making. MOst technological hazards are characterized by substantial uncertainty. Recent examples include nuclear waste disposal, acid rain, asbestos in schools, carcinogens in food, and hazardous waste. realing with such uncertainty is arguably the most difficult and challeng ing task facing risk assessors and managers today. Four primary sources of uncertainty in risk assessment and management can be identified: (1) uncertainties about definitions; (2) uncertainties about scientific facts; (3) uncertainties about risk perceptions and atti tudes; and (4) uncertainties about values. Uncertainties about definitions derive primarily from disagreements about the meaning and interpretation of key concepts, such as probability. Uncertainties about scientific facts derive primarily from disagreements about failure modes, the probability and magnitude of adverse health or environmental consequences, cause and effect relationships, dose-response relationships, and exposure patterns. Uncertainties about risk perceptions and attitudes derive primarily from disagreements about what constitutes a significant or acceptable level of risk. Uncertainties about values derive primarily from disagreements about the desirability or worth of alternative risk management actions or conse quences. The papers in this volume address each of these sources of uncertainty from a variety of perspectives. Reflecting the broad scope of risk assess ment and risk management research, the papers include contributions from safety engineers, epidemiologists, toxicologists, chemists, biostatisticians, biologists, decision analysts, economists, psychologists, political scien tists, sociologists, ethicists, and lawyers.

Author : Jock R. Anderson
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 61 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Download or read book Forecasting, Uncertainty, and Public Project Appraisal written by Jock R. Anderson and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1989 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A measure of the probability of commodity price forecasts is not necessary for most project analysis, but it does give users a realistic view of the forecast's precision -- and imposes a useful discipline on the forecaster.

Author : P. Byrne
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1135821267
Total Pages : 176 pages
Book Rating : 4.65/5 ( download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Download or read book Risk, Uncertainty and Decision-Making in Property written by P. Byrne and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2002-11-01 with total page 176 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Provides undergraduates in surveying and property professionals with a clear practical explanation of the various management techniques to improve their property development decisions.