Adjustment Investment And The Real Exchange Rate In Developing Countries

Author :
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 49 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Download or read book Adjustment, Investment, and the Real Exchange Rate in Developing Countries written by and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: LDC adjustment packages Riccardo Faini and Jaime de Melo Developing countries have been hit by a fall in their terms of trade, high real interest rates on their external debt, and a drought in commercial lending from abroad. Their subsequent adjustment packages, often supported by loans from the IMF and World Bank, focused on a sharp real exchange rate depreciation to restore external balance and a host of microeconomic reforms to secure a simultaneous supply-side improvement. This paper examines the success of these ‘adjustment with growth' packages in a large sample of developing countries. We find these packages have been much more successful in LDCs which export manufactures than they have in those concentrating on primary exports (primarily low-income African countries); the latter have not resumed sustainable growth, and most of their external adjustment has arisen from expenditure reduction, not an increase in supply. The longer-term prospects for manufacturing exporters are also brighter: there we detect signs of increased efficiency and a smaller decline in investment than in primary exporters. But we also find that a high external debt burden and an unstable macroeconomic environment impede investment in all LDCs. In the longer term, adjustment with growth packages will succeed only if they are accompanied by a more stable macroeconomic environment and appropriate debt relief

Author : Luis Servén
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 24 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Download or read book Real Exchange Rate Uncertainty and Private Investment in Developing Countries written by Luis Servén and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2002 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Serven examines empirically the link between real exchange rate uncertainty and private investment in developing countries using a large cross country-time series data set. He builds a GARCH-based measure of real exchange rate volatility and finds that it has a strong negative impact on investment, after controlling for other standard investment determinants and taking into account their potential endogeneity. The impact of uncertainty is not uniform, however. There is some evidence of threshold effects, so that uncertainty only matters when it exceeds some critical level. In addition, the negative impact of real exchange rate uncertainty on investment is significantly larger in economies that are highly open and in those with less developed financial systems.

Author : Steve Brito
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484354834
Total Pages : 21 pages
Book Rating : 4.34/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Real Exchange Rates, Economic Complexity, and Investment written by Steve Brito and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-05-10 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We show that the response of firm-level investment to real exchange rate movements varies depending on the production structure of the economy. Firms in advanced economies and in emerging Asia increase investment when the domestic currency weakens, in line with the traditional Mundell-Fleming model. However, in other emerging market and developing economies, as well as some advanced economies with a low degree of structural economic complexity, corporate investment increases when the domestic currency strengthens. This result is consistent with Diaz Alejandro (1963)—in economies where capital goods are mostly imported, a stronger real exchange rate reduces investment costs for domestic firms.

Author : National Bureau of Economic Research
Publisher : Chicago : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 472 pages
Book Rating : 4.18/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Economic Adjustment and Exchange Rates in Developing Countries written by National Bureau of Economic Research and published by Chicago : University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 1986-11 with total page 472 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In spite of the attention paid exchange rates in recent economic debates on developing countries, relatively few studies have systematically analyzed in detail the various ramifications of exchange rate policy in these countries. In this new volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research, leading economists use rigorous models to tackle various exchange rate issues, while also illuminating policy implications that emerge from their analyses. The volume, divided into four main sections, addresses: the role of exchange rates in stabilization programs and the adjustment process; the importance of exchange rate policy during liberalization reform in developing countries; exchange rate problems relevant and unique to developing countries, illustrated by case studies; and the problems defining, measuring, and identifying determinants of real exchange rates. Authors of individual papers examine the relation between commercial policies and exchange rates, the role of exchange rate policy in stabilization programs, the effectiveness of devaluations as a policy tool, and the interaction between exchange rate terms of trade an capital flow. This research will not only prove crucial to our understanding of the role of exchange rates in developing countries, but will clearly set the standard for future work in the field.

Author : Mr.Tidiane Kinda
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455211877
Total Pages : 35 pages
Book Rating : 4.76/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Capital Flows, Exchange Rate Flexibility, and the Real Exchange Rate written by Mr.Tidiane Kinda and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-01-01 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the impact of capital inflows and exchange rate flexibility on the real exchange rate in developing countries based on panel cointegration techniques. The results show that public and private flows are associated with a real exchange rate appreciation. Among private flows, portfolio investment has the highest appreciation effect-almost seven times that of foreign direct investment or bank loans-and private transfers have the lowest effect. Using a de facto measure of exchange rate flexibility, we find that a more flexible exchange rate helps to dampen appreciation of the real exchange rate stemming from capital inflows.

Author : Shantayanan Devarajan
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Download or read book Aid, growth and real exchange rate dynamics written by Shantayanan Devarajan and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2008 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: Devarajan, Go, Page, Robinson, and Thierfelder argued that if aid is about the future and recipients are able to plan consumption and investment decisions optimally over time, then the potential problem of an aid-induced appreciation of the real exchange rate (Dutch disease) does not occur. In their paper, "Aid, Growth and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics," this key result is derived without requiring extreme assumptions or additional productivity story. The economic framework is a standard neoclassical growth model, based on the familiar Salter-Swan characterization of an open economy, with full dynamic savings and investment decisions. It does require that the model is fully dynamic in both savings and investment decisions. An important assumption is that aid should be predictable for intertemporal smoothing to take place. If aid volatility forces recipients to be constrained and myopic, Dutch disease problems become an issue.

Author : Pierre-Richard Agénor
Publisher : La Editorial, UPR
ISBN 13 : 9780674015784
Total Pages : 794 pages
Book Rating : 4.89/5 ( download)

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Download or read book The Economics of Adjustment and Growth written by Pierre-Richard Agénor and published by La Editorial, UPR. This book was released on 2004-09-30 with total page 794 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a systematic and coherent framework for understanding the interactions between the micro and macro dimensions of economic adjustment policies; that is, it explores short-run macroeconomic management and structural adjustment policies aimed at promoting economic growth. It emphasizes the importance of structural microeconomic characteristics in the transmission of policy shocks and the response of the economy to adjustment policies. It has particular relevance to the economics of developing countries. The book is directed to economists interested in an overview of the economics of reform; economists in international organizations, such as the UN, the IMF, and the World Bank, dealing with development; and economists in developing countries. It is also a text for advanced undergraduate students pursuing a degree in economic policy and management and students in political science and public policy.

Author : Marialuz Moreno Badia
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475523572
Total Pages : 23 pages
Book Rating : 4.77/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Real Exchange Rate Appreciation in Emerging Markets written by Marialuz Moreno Badia and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-01-10 with total page 23 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A number of emerging markets have experienced substantial real exchange rate appreciation in recent years, generating concerns about competitiveness and prompting policymakers to respond with a combination of mitigating policies. This paper shows that fiscal policy can play a role in alleviating these pressures. Using a sample of 28 emerging market economies over 1983-2011, we estimate a dynamic model of the real exchange rate and find that a permanent fiscal adjustment may reduce appreciation pressures over the long term. Furthermore, the composition of public spending matters, with reductions in current spending playing a key role. To illustrate the importance of these findings, the paper focuses on the case of Brazil. Our results suggest that maintaining fiscal discipline while increasing public investment in Brazil is likely to ease real appreciation pressures, highlighting the importance of tackling long-standing budget rigidities.

Author : Takatoshi Ito
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226386937
Total Pages : 466 pages
Book Rating : 4.35/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Changes in Exchange Rates in Rapidly Developing Countries written by Takatoshi Ito and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-12-01 with total page 466 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The exchange rate is a crucial variable linking a nation's domestic economy to the international market. Thus choice of an exchange rate regime is a central component in the economic policy of developing countries and a key factor affecting economic growth. Historically, most developing nations have employed strict exchange rate controls and heavy protection of domestic industry-policies now thought to be at odds with sustainable and desirable rates of economic growth. By contrast, many East Asian nations maintained exchange rate regimes designed to achieve an attractive climate for exports and an "outer-oriented" development strategy. The result has been rapid and consistent economic growth over the past few decades. Changes in Exchange Rates in Rapidly Developing Countries explores the impact of such diverse exchange control regimes in both historical and regional contexts, focusing particular attention on East Asia. This comprehensive, carefully researched volume will surely become a standard reference for scholars and policymakers.

Author : Mr.Mohsin S. Khan
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781557752093
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.95/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Exchange Rate Policy in Developing Countries written by Mr.Mohsin S. Khan and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1991-05-15 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper addresses analytical aspects of exchange rate policy and emphasizes the relationship among exchange rate flexibility, financial discipline, and international competitiveness.