A Practitioners Guide To State And Local Population Projections

Author : Stanley K. Smith
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9400775512
Total Pages : 417 pages
Book Rating : 4.10/5 ( download)

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Download or read book A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections written by Stanley K. Smith and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-12-16 with total page 417 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and local population projections. It describes the most commonly used data sources and application techniques for four types of projection methods: cohort-component, trend extrapolation, structural models, and microsimulation. It covers the components of population growth, sources of data, the formation of assumptions, the development of evaluation criteria, and the determinants of forecast accuracy. It considers the strengths and weaknesses of various projection methods and pays special attention to the unique problems that characterize small-area projections. The authors provide practical guidance to demographers, planners, market analysts, and others called on to construct state and local population projections. They use many examples and illustrations and present suggestions for dealing with special populations, unique circumstances, and inadequate or unreliable data. They describe techniques for controlling one set of projections to another, for interpolating between time points, for sub-dividing age groups, and for constructing projections of population-related variables (e.g., school enrollment, households). They discuss the role of judgment and the importance of the political context in which projections are made. They emphasize the “utility” of projections, or their usefulness for decision making in a world of competing demands and limited resources. This comprehensive book will provide readers with an understanding not only of the mechanics of the most commonly used population projection methods, but also of the many complex issues affecting their construction, interpretation, evaluation, and use.​

Author : Stanley K. Smith
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0306473720
Total Pages : 433 pages
Book Rating : 4.22/5 ( download)

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Download or read book State and Local Population Projections written by Stanley K. Smith and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2005-12-21 with total page 433 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The initial plans for this book sprang from a late-afternoon conversation in a hotel bar. All three authors were attending the 1996 meeting of the Population As- ciation of America in New Orleans. While nursing drinks and expounding on a variety of topics, we began talking about our current research projects. It so happened that all three of us had been entertaining the notion of writing a book on state and local population projections. Recognizing the enormity of the project for a single author, we quickly decided to collaborate. Had we not decided to work together, it is unlikely that this book ever would have been written. The last comprehensive treatment of state and local population projections was Don Pittenger’s excellent work Projecting State and Local Populations (1976). Many changes affecting the production of population projections have occurred since that time. Technological changes have led to vast increases in computing power, new data sources, the development of GIS, and the creation of the Internet. The procedures for applying a number of projection methods have changed considerably, and several completely new methods have been developed.

Author : Stanley K. Smith
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9789401738798
Total Pages : 448 pages
Book Rating : 4.93/5 ( download)

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Download or read book State and Local Population Projections written by Stanley K. Smith and published by . This book was released on 2014-01-15 with total page 448 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Author : Richard Irwin
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 102 pages
Book Rating : 4.95/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Guide for Local Area Population Projections written by Richard Irwin and published by . This book was released on 1977 with total page 102 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Author : Henry Van Beuren Stanbery
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 92 pages
Book Rating : 4.56/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Better Population Forecasting for Areas and Communities written by Henry Van Beuren Stanbery and published by . This book was released on 1952 with total page 92 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 12 pages
Book Rating : 4.1K/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Current Population Reports written by and published by . This book was released on 1969 with total page 12 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 52 pages
Book Rating : 4.12/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Projections of the Population of States, by Age, Sex, and Race written by and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Author : Van Buren Stanbery
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 80 pages
Book Rating : 4.07/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Better Population Forecasting for Areas and Communities written by Van Buren Stanbery and published by . This book was released on 1952 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 2 pages
Book Rating : 4.06/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Where the Growth Will Be--state Population Projections, 1993 to 2020 written by and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 2 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Author : Jack Baker
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319537458
Total Pages : 255 pages
Book Rating : 4.50/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Cohort Change Ratios and their Applications written by Jack Baker and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-04-21 with total page 255 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This textbook focuses on the cohort change ratio (CCR) method. It presents powerful, yet relatively simple ways to generate accurate demographic estimates and forecasts that are cost efficient and require fewer resources than other techniques. The concepts, analytical frameworks, and methodological tools presented do not require extensive knowledge of demographics, mathematics, or statistics. The demographic focus is on the characteristics of populations, especially age and sex composition, but these methods are applicable estimating and forecasting other characteristics and total population. The book contains more traditional applications such as the Hamilton-Perry method, but also includes new applications of the CCR method such as stable population theory. Real world empirical examples are provided for every application; along with excel files containing data and program code, which are accessible online. Topics covered include basic demographic measures, sources of demographic information, forecasting and estimating (both current and historical) populations, modifications to current methods, forecasting school enrollment and other characteristics, estimating life expectancy, stable population theory, decomposition of the CCR into its migration and mortality components, and the utility of the CCR. This textbook is designed to provide material for an advanced undergraduate or graduate course on demographic methods. It can also be used as a supplement for other courses including applied demography, business and economic forecasting and market research.