A Biased Judgement

Author : Daniel Kahneman
Publisher : Little, Brown
ISBN 13 : 031645138X
Total Pages : 429 pages
Book Rating : 4.83/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Noise written by Daniel Kahneman and published by Little, Brown. This book was released on 2021-05-18 with total page 429 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the Nobel Prize-winning author of Thinking, Fast and Slow and the coauthor of Nudge, a revolutionary exploration of why people make bad judgments and how to make better ones—"a tour de force” (New York Times). Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients—or that two judges in the same courthouse give markedly different sentences to people who have committed the same crime. Suppose that different interviewers at the same firm make different decisions about indistinguishable job applicants—or that when a company is handling customer complaints, the resolution depends on who happens to answer the phone. Now imagine that the same doctor, the same judge, the same interviewer, or the same customer service agent makes different decisions depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday. These are examples of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical. In Noise, Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, and Cass R. Sunstein show the detrimental effects of noise in many fields, including medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, bail, child protection, strategy, performance reviews, and personnel selection. Wherever there is judgment, there is noise. Yet, most of the time, individuals and organizations alike are unaware of it. They neglect noise. With a few simple remedies, people can reduce both noise and bias, and so make far better decisions. Packed with original ideas, and offering the same kinds of research-based insights that made Thinking, Fast and Slow and Nudge groundbreaking New York Times bestsellers, Noise explains how and why humans are so susceptible to noise in judgment—and what we can do about it.

Author : Thomas Gilovich
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521796798
Total Pages : 884 pages
Book Rating : 4.92/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Heuristics and Biases written by Thomas Gilovich and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2002-07-08 with total page 884 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book, first published in 2002, compiles psychologists' best attempts to answer important questions about intuitive judgment.

Author : Henry Priest
Publisher : Independently Published
ISBN 13 : 9781070367521
Total Pages : 74 pages
Book Rating : 4.24/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Biased written by Henry Priest and published by Independently Published. This book was released on 2019-05-26 with total page 74 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Rational Man?Homo sapiens, the biological name for humans, literally means discerning, wise or sensible human being. But, are humans really sensible or rational? The Biased BrainResearch in psychology and economics has shown that human beings are systematically irrational. Not only do they misjudge situations, but they do it in fairly predictable patterns. Famous BiasesThis compilation of academic research by eminent psychologists and economists presents 50 famous cognitive biases that impair our judgment. These biases occur frequently and affect us all - from the baker to the banker, the pariah to the priest. 'Bias-in-Action' Alongside the biases you will find an easy-to-use tool or 'Bias-in-Action' to help you understand how the bias operates and prepare you for possible counter to them. FREE Bonus!Upon buying this paperback, you get a copy of its Kindle eBook, absolutely FREE!

Author : Daniel Kahneman
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521284141
Total Pages : 574 pages
Book Rating : 4.47/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Judgment Under Uncertainty written by Daniel Kahneman and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1982-04-30 with total page 574 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Thirty-five chapters describe various judgmental heuristics and the biases they produce, not only in laboratory experiments, but in important social, medical, and political situations as well. Most review multiple studies or entire subareas rather than describing single experimental studies.

Author : James M. Redwine
Publisher : Author House
ISBN 13 : 1452030839
Total Pages : 530 pages
Book Rating : 4.38/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Judge Lynch! written by James M. Redwine and published by Author House. This book was released on 2008-07-15 with total page 530 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Judge Lynch Holds Court! That was the banner headline in a Posey County, Indiana newspaper after seven African American men were murdered by a white mob during October, 1878. The paper described the lynch mob as consisting of two to three hundred of the countys best men. Then the newspaper editor, who had been an eyewitness to the murders on the campus of the Posey County courthouse, called for the, dark pall of oblivion, to cover the crimes. Although it comes too late to help the victims and their families, perhaps their story will at last come to light and help prevent some contemporary or future injustice.

Author : Neophytos Papaneophytou
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0323859771
Total Pages : 592 pages
Book Rating : 4.76/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Emerging Programs for Autism Spectrum Disorder written by Neophytos Papaneophytou and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2021-06-10 with total page 592 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Emerging Programs for Autism Spectrum Disorder: Improving Communication, Behavior, and Family Dynamics brings forward a hybrid and a transdisciplinary methodology to identify methods used to diagnose, treat, and manage those with autism within personal and social constructs and values building exemplary international experiences from across the globe. Luminary experts offer their superb level of expertise through their research, experience, and clinical work. The book addresses all the aspects of care, lifespan, and lifestyle issues from treatment to living. It will emphasize issues related to neurodiversity, individuality, best practices, and support of people on the Autism Spectrum and their families. In addition, this book includes specific case studies, highlighting family experiences and the application of best practices by therapists thereof. Provides a multidisciplinary approach of the diagnosis, management and treatment of autism spectrum disorders Includes specific case studies highlighting family experiences Emphasizes issues related to neurodiversity, individuality and improving quality of life

Author : James M. Redwine
Publisher : AuthorHouse
ISBN 13 : 1449016235
Total Pages : 348 pages
Book Rating : 4.34/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Gavel Gamut Greetings from Jpeg Ranch written by James M. Redwine and published by AuthorHouse. This book was released on 2009-08-19 with total page 348 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Gavel Gamut Greetings from JPeg Ranch is an anthology of entertaining and thought provoking newspaper columns on a wide range of topics from history to law to current events. These columns were published in five area newspapers and span the time period of 1990 to the present.

Author : Herbert I. Weisberg
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118058208
Total Pages : 268 pages
Book Rating : 4.06/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Bias and Causation written by Herbert I. Weisberg and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-01-06 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A one-of-a-kind resource on identifying and dealing with bias in statistical research on causal effects Do cell phones cause cancer? Can a new curriculum increase student achievement? Determining what the real causes of such problems are, and how powerful their effects may be, are central issues in research across various fields of study. Some researchers are highly skeptical of drawing causal conclusions except in tightly controlled randomized experiments, while others discount the threats posed by different sources of bias, even in less rigorous observational studies. Bias and Causation presents a complete treatment of the subject, organizing and clarifying the diverse types of biases into a conceptual framework. The book treats various sources of bias in comparative studies—both randomized and observational—and offers guidance on how they should be addressed by researchers. Utilizing a relatively simple mathematical approach, the author develops a theory of bias that outlines the essential nature of the problem and identifies the various sources of bias that are encountered in modern research. The book begins with an introduction to the study of causal inference and the related concepts and terminology. Next, an overview is provided of the methodological issues at the core of the difficulties posed by bias. Subsequent chapters explain the concepts of selection bias, confounding, intermediate causal factors, and information bias along with the distortion of a causal effect that can result when the exposure and/or the outcome is measured with error. The book concludes with a new classification of twenty general sources of bias and practical advice on how mathematical modeling and expert judgment can be combined to achieve the most credible causal conclusions. Throughout the book, examples from the fields of medicine, public policy, and education are incorporated into the presentation of various topics. In addition, six detailed case studies illustrate concrete examples of the significance of biases in everyday research. Requiring only a basic understanding of statistics and probability theory, Bias and Causation is an excellent supplement for courses on research methods and applied statistics at the upper-undergraduate and graduate level. It is also a valuable reference for practicing researchers and methodologists in various fields of study who work with statistical data. This book was selected as the 2011 Ziegel Prize Winner in Technometrics for the best book reviewed by the journal. It is also the winner of the 2010 PROSE Award for Mathematics from The American Publishers Awards for Professional and Scholarly Excellence

Author : Jennifer L. Eberhardt, PhD
Publisher : Penguin
ISBN 13 : 0735224943
Total Pages : 368 pages
Book Rating : 4.40/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Biased written by Jennifer L. Eberhardt, PhD and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2019-03-26 with total page 368 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Poignant....important and illuminating."—The New York Times Book Review "Groundbreaking."—Bryan Stevenson, New York Times bestselling author of Just Mercy From one of the world’s leading experts on unconscious racial bias come stories, science, and strategies to address one of the central controversies of our time How do we talk about bias? How do we address racial disparities and inequities? What role do our institutions play in creating, maintaining, and magnifying those inequities? What role do we play? With a perspective that is at once scientific, investigative, and informed by personal experience, Dr. Jennifer Eberhardt offers us the language and courage we need to face one of the biggest and most troubling issues of our time. She exposes racial bias at all levels of society—in our neighborhoods, schools, workplaces, and criminal justice system. Yet she also offers us tools to address it. Eberhardt shows us how we can be vulnerable to bias but not doomed to live under its grip. Racial bias is a problem that we all have a role to play in solving.

Author : Alex Mintz
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139487221
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.21/5 ( download)

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Download or read book Understanding Foreign Policy Decision Making written by Alex Mintz and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2010-02-22 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Understanding Foreign Policy Decision Making presents a psychological approach to foreign policy decision making. This approach focuses on the decision process, dynamics, and outcome. The book includes a wealth of extended real-world case studies and examples that are woven into the text. The cases and examples, which are written in an accessible style, include decisions made by leaders of the United States, Israel, New Zealand, Cuba, Iceland, United Kingdom, and others. In addition to coverage of the rational model of decision making, levels of analysis of foreign policy decision making, and types of decisions, the book includes extensive material on alternatives to the rational choice model, the marketing and framing of decisions, cognitive biases, and domestic, cultural, and international influences on decision making in international affairs. Existing textbooks do not present such an approach to foreign policy decision making, international relations, American foreign policy, and comparative foreign policy.